CNYWxGuy Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Compare to both the GFS and NAM 6 hour forecast for 18Z, the current low position seems to be about 80 miles NNW of it's forecast position and a bit stronger. Hmmmmm. Like Tornado Girl said, it probably is just faster. Northern extent of precip shield looks pretty well modeled so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTERWEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST FRIDAY. * LOCATIONS: MOHAWK VALLEY...SARATOGA REGION AND GLENS FALLS AREA. * HAZARDS: SNOW OF VARYING INTENSITY. * ACCUMULATIONS: 3 TO 6 INCHES. * TIMING: DEVELOPING LATE THIS EVENING...CONTINUING OVERNIGHT BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY NOON FRIDAY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 AS OF 315 PM EST...THIS IS A QUICK FORECAST DISCUSSION UPDATE TOACCOUNT FOR CHANGES IN THE HEADLINES WITH AN UPCOMING LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW EVENT. BASED ON THE LATEST TRENDS OF THE NAM...SREFS...AND EVEN THE CANADIAN GUIDANCE WE WILL BE UPGRADING A PORTION OF THE WINTER WX ADVISORY TO A WARNING. THESE AREAS INCLUDED THE BERKSHIRES...AND LITCHFIELD COUNTY CT. WE ARE EXPECTING 5-10 INCHES OF LIGHT FLUFFY SNOW WITH SNOW TO LIQUID RATIOS AROUND 15:1. THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN LITCHFIELD COUNTY CT WILL HAVE THE BEST SHOT OF THE HIGHER TALLIES. WE ARE ALSO EXPANDING THE ADVISORY TO INCLUDE THE MOHAWK RIVER VALLEY...AND THE LOWER REACHES OF THE LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION. WE ARE EXPECTING 3-6" IN THESE AREAS. WE ARE ALSO EXPECTING 3-6" IN THE CAPITAL DISTRICT. THE WINTER WX ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR 4-8" ACROSS THE ERN CATSKILLS... HELDERBERGS...SCHOHARIE VALLEY...MID HUDSON VALLEY...TACONICS...AND SRN VT. THE MORNING COMMUTE LOOKS MESSY. A MORE DETAILED FORECAST DISCUSSION WILL FOLLOW SHORTLY. THANKS FOR THE COLLAB WITH BOX AND BGM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 looks like it's snowing in Toronto. Hopefully it makes it up here soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Snowing at probably 1" / Hr around BGM now as I would estimate. Snow flake production is looking good with nice fine dendrites... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted January 21, 2011 Author Share Posted January 21, 2011 Just looked at radar and there is a lot of mesoscale banding taking place over PA. We should see this lessen as the coastal low takes over. Right now the radar is showing snow over southern and central ny. When I looked at the 00z runs I saw no major changes from the 12z or 18z. It looks like the snowfall forecast will stay where it is. Friday afternoon LES should start to set up SE -E of Lake Ontario. causing 6-8 inches with 12-24 inches in spots. The weekend will be very cold. The high pressure over the Saint Lawrence Valley will cause temps to fall Sunday Overnight temps could reach -30 to -40 in some spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigDeal Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Light snow has started here, I have a light dusting on the windshield now. Saw the first tiny flakes at around 10:45. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Couchsachraga Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 in Queensbury as of 8am this morning. Finally starting to look like winter around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 About the same here... 3.8" officially. That was about what I expected and also as expected it did get it's act together for a better hit in the snow magnet of Southern NE. Let's hope we can get a coastal plain or hugger track next week, but not so far west that we get screwed in reverse. in Queensbury as of 8am this morning. Finally starting to look like winter around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roady Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 5.75" here with the quick shot over performing storm. 5:30 clears skies and very bright moon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted January 21, 2011 Author Share Posted January 21, 2011 I picked up 1.5 inches of synoptic snow; now I'm just waiting to see what the lake does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Picked up 5" here in the MV.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 ended up with 4.5" here as expected. this brings the seasonal total to 43" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 :snowman: :snowman: 3/4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Couchsachraga Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Since you posted I went out and measured again this evening... still here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Since you posted I went out and measured again this evening... still here. Good LE snow here late this afternoon............... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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