BeastFromTheEast Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Yeah, I guess it's possible the ground/object temps could lag a bit, but I'm pretty certain the 2m temps will go above freezing. If we had easterly flow in the low levels it would be a different story. Idk if it makes a difference but there is snow cover to the south of you so even with those south winds it will be blowing over some snow pack.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Thanks for your thoughts guys. It appears that we may get some icing at the onset of the transition from snow to rain, then get warm enough to alleviate the threat. The roads will probably not be an issue, but depending on 2m temps, I was concerned about icing on power lines and tree limbs overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Thanks for your thoughts guys. It appears that we may get some icing at the onset of the transition from snow to rain, then get warm enough to alleviate the threat. The roads will probably not be an issue, but depending on 2m temps, I was concerned about icing on power lines and tree limbs overnight. I'd be much more concerned about that if we were in an east to ne flow at the surface, but as previously mentioned since winds are supposed to be south at all levels I don't think this will be a major issue with this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Preparing for the worst is always something I mentally try to do, and I think back to all the snowcover-stealing torches weve had over the years (none moreso than in the insanely snowy 2007-08)...but honestly, there is no way we lose all this snowcover with 1 day in the mid-30s and a little rain. If we get to 40F, I think it will start to get sloppy, but if we can stay mid-30s it may just act like a sponge for any rain that falls. And even though it will be a wet, sloppy day Tuesday, once the remaining snowpack freezes up Tuesday night it will look better. Just in need of a refresher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Well it was nice knowing snowyles25--whoever they were has since been banned. Cromartie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Well it was nice knowing snowyles25--whoever they were has since been banned. Cromartie? That's my thinking as well. In any case, he won't be missed. He was exceptionally annoying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 That's my thinking as well. In any case, he won't be missed. He was exceptionally annoying. It has to be. I just glanced at his profile and it says he joined December 21. He also asked " Whatever happened to DVN Justin? That met." earlier, so he has obviously been here a while under previous names. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 WSW for NE MN. 6-8" in this area. Very light snow falling now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Good hit for areas just north of MKE... Saying 2 to 4 for here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Good hit for areas just north of MKE... Saying 2 to 4 for here... Are you in Milwaukee or LaCrosse? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Calling for 3-5 here. GRB is saying 3-6 for them. Looks like WI and N. MN may be the winners in this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Any chance the initial wave is weak, and a secondary develops? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...RESENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 650 PM CST SUN JAN 16 2011 ILZ003>006-008-010>014-019>023-032-033-039-INZ001-002-010-011-019- 170315- WINNEBAGO-BOONE-MCHENRY-LAKE IL-OGLE-LEE-DE KALB-KANE-DUPAGE-COOK- LA SALLE-KENDALL-GRUNDY-WILL-KANKAKEE-LIVINGSTON-IROQUOIS-FORD- LAKE IN-PORTER-NEWTON-JASPER-BENTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCKFORD...BELVIDERE...WOODSTOCK... WAUKEGAN...OREGON...DIXON...DEKALB...AURORA...WHEATON...CHICAGO... OTTAWA...OSWEGO...MORRIS...JOLIET...KANKAKEE...PONTIAC... WATSEKA...PAXTON...GARY...VALPARAISO...MOROCCO...RENSSELAER... FOWLER 650 PM CST SUN JAN 16 2011 /750 PM EST SUN JAN 16 2011/ ...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS POSSIBLE MONDAY INTO MONDAY EVENING... SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP MONDAY MORNING OVER NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS GRADUALLY SPREADING EAST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF NORTHERN ILLINOIS MONDAY AFTERNOON. STRONG SOUTH WINDS WILL BE USHERING IN PROGRESSIVELY MILDER AIR...WHICH WILL PROBABLY CAUSE THE SNOW TO RAIN MONDAY EVENING. THERE IS A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY OF A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY MONDAY EVENING AS THE PRECIPITATION TRANSITIONS TO RAIN. WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO HOVER RIGHT AROUND THEN JUST BARELY ABOVE FREEZING WHEN THE PRECIPITATION IS FALLING IT IS VERY TRICKY TO DETERMINE ACCURATELY EXACTLY WHAT TYPE OF PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR THIS FAR IN ADVANCE. CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE GREATEST RISK FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW...POSSIBLY A FEW INCHES...WILL BE OVER NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS EAST INTO THE NORTHERN SUBURBS OF CHICAGO...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS FARTHER SOUTH. THERE COULD BE SOME MINOR ICE ACCUMULATIONS IN SOME AREAS AS WELL. PERSONS PLANNING TRAVEL ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR LATER FORECASTS. $$ IZZI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Calling for 3-5 here. GRB is saying 3-6 for them. Looks like WI and N. MN may be the winners in this storm. What else is new? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Looks like pretty good snows north and west of the city. QPF looks decent as well so just have to wait and see. Cold air that has been aroound will not be that easy to push out so I think that most of the snow will be north of I88 unless the system comes more south than what is modeled so far. Could be several inches by tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Low pressure will bring another round of accumulating snowfall Monday and Monday night to southern Wisconsin...tapering off by early Tuesday morning. Accumulations should range from around 5 inches in the Fond du Lac and Sheboygan areas...to around 3 inches in the far southeast. In general, most areas will see around 4 inches of snow. Warmer temperatures pushing into the far south will help to keep amounts a little lower, while making the snow a little wetter and heavier. MKE area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 FWIW... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 NAM is coming in much colder it looks like, espically in the S. WI area. At hr 21 and 24 the 850 line is near Chicago, while 18z was in S. WI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 NAM is coming in much colder it looks like, espically in the S. WI area. At hr 21 and 24 the 850 line is near Chicago, while 18z was in S. WI and keeping the better precip further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Looks like pretty good snows north and west of the city. QPF looks decent as well so just have to wait and see. Cold air that has been aroound will not be that easy to push out so I think that most of the snow will be north of I88 unless the system comes more south than what is modeled so far. Could be several inches by tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 NAM has removed much of the precip south of I-80 and only drops about an inch here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 NAM seems to be developing the coastal much quicker on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Nam is deff colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 lol, so the price we must pay for colder profiles is an overall weaker system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 NAM No idea if it's right, but it sure is different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 lol, so the price we must pay for coder profiles is an overall weaker system. Always something that goes wrong.. We just cant get a nice strong system up in this **** D lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 How many bombogenesis storms is the n/e going to have this year? Unbelievable!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Nam is deff colder. Looks like some backside accumulation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 NAM No idea if it's right, but it sure is different. lol...yea actually meanders the 850 0 line north and south of us....but definitely colder. Might be due to the coastal cranking quicker??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 How many bombogenesis storms is the n/e going to have this year? Unbelievable!! Looks like Mostly Rain from Boston South Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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