Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,586
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    23Yankee
    Newest Member
    23Yankee
    Joined

January 11-12 Snowmageddon disco- III


stratuslove

Recommended Posts

I was very close to that tornado in newington that day and saw the swirling as I came over the Charter Oak Bridge chasing it. and that is def up there

But this still crushes that

You're such a snow :weenie:

The Feb 1994 snowstorm rocked as well. 2007 April noreaster was good too.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 1.7k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

I'm going to be writing a post mortem on this event in a little bit. Overall the mesoscale models definitely were more accurate (as we thougt) in this setup than the global models....but the most important thing will be why it went from a general MECS to a HECS across a good chunk of the interior (and even CP up by Ray and SE NH).

There were a lot of interesting ingredients to this storm and they came together nearly perfectly.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'm going to be writing a post mortem on this event in a little bit. Overall the mesoscale models definitely were more accurate (as we thougt) in this setup than the global models....but the most important thing will be why it went from a general MECS to a HECS across a good chunk of the interior (and even CP up by Ray and SE NH).

There were a lot of interesting ingredients to this storm and they came together nearly perfectly.

Cool ..Looking forward to it. I might write a little piece on why i was convinced we'd see some 20-30 inch reports

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'm going to be writing a post mortem on this event in a little bit. Overall the mesoscale models definitely were more accurate (as we thougt) in this setup than the global models....but the most important thing will be why it went from a general MECS to a HECS across a good chunk of the interior (and even CP up by Ray and SE NH).

There were a lot of interesting ingredients to this storm and they came together nearly perfectly.

The most impressive radar shot was the 8 h inflow at BID, the radar at that time was one of the most impressive ever, it changed frame by frame.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Cpickett, the CCB performed pretty well. We had lots of TSSN when everything got going. The reason why parts of the area could not get to 20", was because of ratios..especially near me. This wasn't suppose to have 3-4" per hour snows..for 8 hours. CT benefited because they got the massive waa dump, and then as the mid level lows went to town and closed off, they got great banding with 15-20:1 ratios.

thanks for the reply ...i just wanted someplace to get 3'hr for 3/4 hr's since the CCB was billed as the best since 05 for a time. But the thing IS and this does lend credence to what messenger seems to say....is that those town's with just a bit more elevation in the sharon/ N. easton area IMO Had some high totals that didn't get reported. I mean why not.....some of those areas on sharon are near 400' they were a 1.5 or so F cooler (better ratio's) but nobody seems to send in reports from the area we the CCB May have destroyed for a few hours.....i mean did easton or sharon or stoughton or even a walpole report....spots in those towns above 250' i believe hit 20 or a tad higher". i mean do the math 3/hr x 3/4 hr's. it's too bad IMO.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'm going to be writing a post mortem on this event in a little bit. Overall the mesoscale models definitely were more accurate (as we thougt) in this setup than the global models....but the most important thing will be why it went from a general MECS to a HECS across a good chunk of the interior (and even CP up by Ray and SE NH).

There were a lot of interesting ingredients to this storm and they came together nearly perfectly.

I think it's easy for everyone to just point at the NAM and say how it schooled the other models... but I don't think it's that simple. Though the NAM had the right idea in being further west I think most mets (including you, me, and scooter) thought edging toward the western edge of the envelope was the way to go. As it turned out the NAM was too far west and too amped up (surprise) and it's QPF was on the high side (surprise again).

Everything came together perfectly to make this event overperform. I'm not sure it gives me any more faith in using the NAM in the future though lol.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think.....that the ECMWF overall did quite well. It and only it correctly targeted ME for big totals that they got. NAM though gave the signal which was loud and clear. I think that GFS/UKMET were in la la land. Uk corrected in the final run prior to the event ....6 hour lead time. CMC was decent from 2 days out. But NAM led them to water. Still though, ECMWF locked and loaded from 5 days out. Initially over the bm and correcting as we moved in.

Yeah, I would have to say the Nam and to some extent the euro, The nam really nailed it with the track thru or close to the canal, Plus it had the low making it into the GOM around Kittery's Lat and then drift ENE and thats basically what it has done........ :snowman:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

LOL did not you text me an hour ago you were going to bed. The adrenaline still pumping, mine is, snowing under a clear sky FTW

My eyes are shutting now,.Been up since 1:45 AM and then 5 hours of heavy heavy shovelling has done me in...I just have this sh it eating grin on my face tonight ..So content..

Allright weenies..nighty night

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'm going to be writing a post mortem on this event in a little bit. Overall the mesoscale models definitely were more accurate (as we thougt) in this setup than the global models....but the most important thing will be why it went from a general MECS to a HECS across a good chunk of the interior (and even CP up by Ray and SE NH).

There were a lot of interesting ingredients to this storm and they came together nearly perfectly.

Looking forward to the read.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'm going to be writing a post mortem on this event in a little bit. Overall the mesoscale models definitely were more accurate (as we thougt) in this setup than the global models....but the most important thing will be why it went from a general MECS to a HECS across a good chunk of the interior (and even CP up by Ray and SE NH).

There were a lot of interesting ingredients to this storm and they came together nearly perfectly.

the way the 500 low passed looked pretty nasty beforehand. i remember commenting a few times in our threads that people would get 2'+.. it looked like feb 5-6 down here in some ways. only part of it, but was a pretty sick signature there. every big storm is a ku now it seems. what happened to the 6-10 ric to bos storm? :P

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I thought the models were pretty good in showing the heavy snow for interior eastern areas, and then heavier snows out by CT and the Berks. Both were from somewhat different processes but worked out. The qpf max near my house was for real, but my snow is the classic..Tip blue snow bomb..lol. Tons of water content. I saved a bunch of progs for this event, since it was fascinating. Overall, I thought they performed pretty well within 36 and 48 hrs from the event. GFS was the eastern outlier, but we smelled that one, from a mile a way..esp when ensembles were west. What a great storm. One of my favorites.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think.....that the ECMWF overall did quite well. It and only it correctly targeted ME for big totals that they got. NAM though gave the signal which was loud and clear. I think that GFS/UKMET were in la la land. Uk corrected in the final run prior to the event ....6 hour lead time. CMC was decent from 2 days out. But NAM led them to water. Still though, ECMWF locked and loaded from 5 days out. Initially over the bm and correcting as we moved in.

No, it didn't bad - sure. But the NAM was better.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...