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NYC Jan 11-12 Regional Obs Thread


jm1220

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It's definitely safe at this point to say that the storm tracked north and west of the guidance from today..and in fact may have leaned 70/30 towards the 06z NAM from last night..with a hefty cut of QPF. I don't know what caused the models to go so far east today..but the 12z GFS was about 75 miles too far east and not amplified enough with the surface low..in a near term forecast. That is a disaster.

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lol, that's what i'm literally doing right now...:lmao:

what do you think...??

Personally think you'll be fine either way..but the sfc low definitely tracked west of the model progs by a good bit. There's no way to bounce around it now. The radar makes it very, very evident. But either way you slice it, that huge CCB is coming over you. So get ready and get excited.

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