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NYC Jan 11-12 Regional Obs Thread


jm1220

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Had 2.0" as of 10:45 pm, then shoveled until 11:05 pm and measured again and we had 2.5", i.e., that means we're getting rates of 1.5" per hour - it's really coming down heavily, with little wind - big flakes. Gorgeous out there.

If we get 1.0-1.5" per hour until maybe 4-5 am, that would be another 5-8" on top of our 2.5", which would lead to 7-11" which is right about where Mt. Holly had us on the snowmap (~9"). I'd be very happy with that, but wouldn't be upset if we got some really heavy bands and/or longer snowfall duration to get a foot or more.

Really coming down now. 1.5" in the last hour - up to 4.0". Just went for a nice walk - please don't just stay inside and post on these boards - get out there and walk around, maybe make a snow angel or two, enjoy it...

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Guest Patrick

I could be wrong, but that awesome band spanning the atlantic highlands right now is going to make it as far west as passaic county....

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Just measured shy of 4 inches..around 3.8-3.9 in several spots. Hoping to cross the magic double digits..will need some help from the snow gods in this one.

its good to know this appears to at least not be an underperformer, and it still remains to be seen if it can overperform. People in the philly thread reporting mostly around 4 with a couple higher ones (tombo at 4.2 already) so its not a stretch that philly ends up around 6

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To everyone who is panicking right now about the fast movement of the storm:

First off, the storm was always supposed to be fast and dump most of its snow within 12 hours. This is a much different beast than the slowing, cutting off 12/26 storm. It's nowhere near as strong pressure-wise and the blocking upstream allowed it to cut off and stall for a time.

But although the radar looks like it's booking it east, it is, but the pivoting will change the complexion within the next few hours or so. The precip will pivot to become more NW-SE oriented and less N-S by around 9z. The snow will end in a more W-E fashion than N-S because of that, and very often when storms bomb out they slow down for a while.

For Long Island, I still don't see it ending before 7-8am. Light snow might still linger afterward, but our fortunes lie on where the banding sets up from around now until 7am. That will dictate the massive 12"+ totals from somewhat less than that. And 3" of snow/hr for 4 hours= anybody? That's certainly possible here on in.

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The first signs of major deformation now pushing northwest onto Western Long Island

Massive fluffy flakes starting to mix in due to the approaching band here in NE Queens. Really coming down man. This is one thing we were really missing from the previous storm because of the strong winds.

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2" new snow measured at midnight in Port Jeff...

1.8" here at midnight. I had estimated 2" at 11:30 looking out the window at a snow stake I placed, but there was less on the boards when when I actually measured at midnight. The snow has gotten light here at the moment, but it looks like extreme rakeage is about to commence. I'm going to bed now but that doesn't preculde getting up in the middle of the night to gawk. I hope you have a good one John! Maybe I will post in a couple of hours, but I've been burning the midnight oil for a week now. Bad planning, I guess.

And thanks for the call the other night...much appreciated.

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To everyone who is panicking right now about the fast movement of the storm:

First off, the storm was always supposed to be fast and dump most of its snow within 12 hours. This is a much different beast than the slowing, cutting off 12/26 storm. It's nowhere near as strong pressure-wise and the blocking upstream allowed it to cut off and stall for a time.

But although the radar looks like it's booking it east, it is, but the pivoting will change the complexion within the next few hours or so. The precip will pivot to become more NW-SE oriented and less N-S by around 9z. The snow will end in a more W-E fashion than N-S because of that, and very often when storms bomb out they slow down for a while.

For Long Island, I still don't see it ending before 7-8am. Light snow might still linger afterward, but our fortunes lie on where the banding sets up from around now until 7am. That will dictate the massive 12"+ totals from somewhat less than that. And 3" of snow/hr for 4 hours= anybody? That's certainly possible here on in.

Agree completely. The storm is just starting to bomb. On a side note, we're back to heavy snow here in RVC.

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