NorEaster27 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 just over an inch here in southern queens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lisnow66 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Lee Goldberg on WABC Channel 7 just said about 8 does it for NYC. This sound right? Also calls for only 6-9 in most of nassau county. Anyone want to chime in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 snow is finally picking up in intensity here... about 10 minutes ago, it was basically flurries, but that's not a surprise in this area. I can't tell what I have but eyeballing maybe an inch or so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Light snow and a coating on all surfaces here on n. shore of eastern long island...all of a sudden feeling not so certain about being in the jackpot zone for this one.. Right about now seems like the most uncertainty about where the jackpot zone will be. The bright side is, most of us are still in the game...it may not be "decided" yet. At the moment, Uptons stock seems pretty high. Man have they been on a roll. Thats only 17 miles from here...been driving me a little nuts. The east west bands (35 - 45 DBZ) moving over Suffolk from the ocean are going to pound central Suffolk with 2 - 3" per hour rates in awesome waves of snow, but the stuff down the Jersey shore may set up and train a little farther west...maybe become the main def band. Basically, the radar looks awesome for most of LI. I'm not sure how much bright banding is down the Jersey shore, but there are reports of rain on the coast and presumably the precip over the ocean is heavy rain, which should translate to the crazy snow rates depicted earlier by the high res models. The temp will rise and we are going to flirt with freezing for a while, but hopefully any mix or rain will stay east of FOK and mostly along the south shore. It does seem that they are going to have some mix out that way for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Some subsidence in NE NJ at the moment it appears..but it looks to be recovering over Monmouth Co already with heavier echoes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Moderate snow, probably an inch and a half here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Huge flakes and just heavier and heavier snow. Ratios definitely have to be greater than 10:1 now, the snow is very fluffy and piling up effectively. Around 2.5". it is pouring snow right now in Woodmere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 based on totals already reaching 2-3in in some areas I think it is likely that in the least the lower end of the totals will verify, and if the RUC is right the upper end may be too little Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Lee Goldberg on WABC Channel 7 just said about 8 does it for NYC. This sound right? Also calls for only 6-9 in most of nassau county. Anyone want to chime in? He did not say that. He said 9-12 from Brooklyn and Queens east and 12-18 Suffolk east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 By the way, I don't want to hear the GFS was "the winner" with this storm..it jumped northwest about 75 miles since it's 12z run. Obviously will have to be discussed as to where the models actually ended up comprimising. Seems to me that since last night, the RGEM did the least amount of shifting in terms of QPF. The NAM and GFS comprimised (in terms of QPF) with a lean towards the GFS. But of course, this will be discussed afterwards. Time to enjoy the spoils. More moderate snow now here since a slight break in precipitation across Somerset county on the radar. Looks to come back with full force in 10-15 minutes with some heavier bands approaching from Burlington county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 It was great with the 12/26 storm, had the band over my house and rotting there from 18 hours out. Well then, my secondary max may just verify in W. Ct. after all! 0.7" out there - snow growth has been lackluster thusfar, however... pixie dust for the most part, mixed with some dendrites. Expect that to change in next few hours as storm deepens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Some subsidence in NE NJ at the moment it appears..but it looks to be recovering over Monmouth Co already with heavier echoes yea, i know about subsidence... lowest totals in the tri-state.. FTW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 He did not say that. He said 9-12 from Brooklyn and Queens east and 12-18 Suffolk east. yes and 6-9 west of Bkyln and Queens, like 8 inches for the park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Any reports from the NJ shore? There are like 50 DBZ returns along the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lisnow66 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 He did not say that. He said 9-12 from Brooklyn and Queens east and 12-18 Suffolk east. Yes you are correct. Meant 6-9 for city on west and 9-12 for most of nassau. But do you agree or you think those are too low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Do I have the right to say that it is pouring snow over here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Yes you are correct. Meant 6-9 for city on west and 9-12 for most of nassau. But do you agree or you think those are too low? I like 9-12 for my area sounds good to me. I think Nassau will probably be closer to the 12. Anything beyond that is hard to predict with any real accuracy especially because there is still some disagreement on the placement of the heaviest snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Sounds like the lower end of the snowfall predictions is the way to go...this thing is moving out much faster than origionally thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ray8002 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Any reports from the NJ shore? There are like 50 DBZ returns along the coast. Insane John... Insane. Was raining about an hour ago and now it ++SN and we already have an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Some subsidence in NE NJ at the moment it appears..but it looks to be recovering over Monmouth Co already with heavier echoes I saw that too, but nice band over monmouth now. It'd be nice to tug in those strong bands offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Sparta, NW NJ 11:30PM Heavy Snow: 2.8" Liquid 0.15" Ratio: ~ 18:1 Temp: 22 DP: 19 Wind: N 2 Pressure: 1011.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Right about now seems like the most uncertainty about where the jackpot zone will be. The bright side is, most of us are still in the game...it may not be "decided" yet. At the moment, Uptons stock seems pretty high. Man have they been on a roll. Thats only 17 miles from here...been driving me a little nuts. The east west bands (35 - 45 DBZ) moving over Suffolk from the ocean are going to pound central Suffolk with 2 - 3" per hour rates in awesome waves of snow, but the stuff down the Jersey shore may set up and train a little farther west...maybe become the main def band. Basically, the radar looks awesome for most of LI. I'm not sure how much bright banding is down the Jersey shore, but there are reports of rain on the coast and presumably the precip over the ocean is heavy rain, which should translate to the crazy snow rates depicted earlier by the high res models. The temp will rise and we are going to flirt with freezing for a while, but hopefully any mix or rain will stay east of FOK and mostly along the south shore. It does seem that they are going to have some mix out that way for a while. Im worried about the temps as well, you should be in better shape than me in that respect. Hopefully all of us outside of the south fork can hold on to all snow. The next couple of hours will be fun to watch unfold. We're at 1.5" here now,now has been mostly moderate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 .50-.75 on the ARW for NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonli18t Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 the temperature peaked at 29.3 degrees here, and now sits at 26.2 as winds shifted more northeast over the last hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Sounds like the lower end of the snowfall predictions is the way to go...this thing is moving out much faster than origionally thought maybe in your BY.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 12, 2011 Author Share Posted January 12, 2011 Sounds like the lower end of the snowfall predictions is the way to go...this thing is moving out much faster than origionally thought The pivoting hasn't really started yet, and it was always supposed to be mainly a 7-9 hour bomb. It should slow down as the low deepens off NJ. BTW, it's snowing at about GOOD LORD intensity outside my window currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Sounds like the lower end of the snowfall predictions is the way to go...this thing is moving out much faster than origionally thought It has only now started to bomb out ... precipitation shield still has to build some and pivot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 What an incredible image...banding everywhere returns seem to be tilting back torwards the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 .50-.75 on the ARW for NYC Sounds like a significant cut-back in precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 .50-.75 on the ARW for NYC The storm is upon us why look at models? look at radars! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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