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NYC Jan 11-12 Regional Obs Thread


jm1220

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It's definitely safe at this point to say that the storm tracked north and west of the guidance from today..and in fact may have leaned 70/30 towards the 06z NAM from last night..with a hefty cut of QPF. I don't know what caused the models to go so far east today..but the 12z GFS was about 75 miles too far east and not amplified enough with the surface low..in a near term forecast. That is a disaster.

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  On 1/12/2011 at 6:34 AM, simpsonsbuff said:

http://forecast.weat...OKX&product=PNS

There's a rarity... Granted they measured later than everyone else... KNYC has the highest total in the tristate right now...

Im confident Staten island will top that once they get an updated measurement there. Havent measured in a bit but Im very confident.

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  On 1/12/2011 at 6:40 AM, Manny said:

4.5" in Central Park, we could make a run for it.

All the stations NYC/JFK/LGA claim on their midnight climo reports that no snow fell on 1/10...that does not seem right at all to me...I just got home though and measured 4.3 so it seems they are very close...they may have rounded up

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  On 1/12/2011 at 6:44 AM, patrick05 said:

lol, that's what i'm literally doing right now...:lmao:

what do you think...??

Personally think you'll be fine either way..but the sfc low definitely tracked west of the model progs by a good bit. There's no way to bounce around it now. The radar makes it very, very evident. But either way you slice it, that huge CCB is coming over you. So get ready and get excited.

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