Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 5z RUC brings the sfc low basically over BOS! Wow. Looks like a pivot point nearby here It's been absolutely insistent on moving this thing well west of absolutely all other pieces of guidance. As I sit here watching it snot/rain I can only think "something ain't right" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 It's wrong. I dunno it seems to match up with current sfc obs pretty well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Pretty nice dendrites though snow has lightened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 31.2 Im def taking advantage of the fact that Im JUST south of Mass bay with this east wind so its not a direct wind off the water here.Dropped back to 30.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NB-Weather Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Looks like New Haven east will be getting some nice snowfall rates for awhile.. looks beautiful on radar, 1-2+ inches an hour? ahh!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Didn't see this posted. MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0021 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1145 PM CST TUE JAN 11 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...SRN NEW ENGLAND...LONG ISLAND NY CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW VALID 120545Z - 120945Z PRIMARY THREAT FOR HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL SHIFT NEWD INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1-2 IN/HR LIKELY. SFC ANALYSIS AT 06Z REVEALED A RAPIDLY DEEPENING SFC LOW /AS MUCH AS 6 MB PER 2 HRS/ CURRENTLY POSITIONED S OF LONG ISLAND NY. THIS IS OCCURRING AS VERY STRONG MID-LEVEL ASCENT OVERSPREADS THE REGION AHEAD OF A VIGOROUS UPPER LOW AND ATTENDANT 140 KT UPPER JET. AS A RESULT...A SWATH OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS MUCH OF THE NYC-PHI CORRIDOR. SFC LOW WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN AND IS FORECAST TO TRACK NWD TO NEAR KBID BY 12Z. SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO ORGANIZE INTO BANDS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HRS...WITH THE CORRIDOR FROM ERN CT AND RI INTO ERN MASS THE FAVORED REGION FOR THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL. ENHANCED SNOWFALL RATES MAY DEVELOP AT TIMES FROM EMBEDDED CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN PLACE. WARM AIR WRAPPING AHEAD OF THE SFC CYCLONE MAY FAVOR RAINFALL AS THE PREDOMINANT P-TYPE IMMEDIATELY ALONG THE SERN COAST OF MASS. LATER THIS MORNING...STRENGTHENING WINDS MAY YIELD NEAR-BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES ACROSS MUCH OF ERN MASS...INCLUDING THE BOSTON METRO AREA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Don't panic. It's like 18-20 in EEN right now, cold air is very close by and on it's way. Down to 26.6 here from a high of 26.9 between 1:06 and 1:14 am. Hi was 28, here. 27.4\24 and edging upward, slowly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collinsville Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 5z RUC brings the sfc low basically over BOS! Wow. Looks like a pivot point nearby here Radar looks juicy and exciting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Can you imagine the outrage of canceling everything for 3 inches of slop? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Just wait 'till this moisture is rung out in the interior where it's 15-22 degrees right now. 15:1 ratios plus maybe a monster deformation band - easy 20" with good sg and easier accumulating of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevin1927 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 31.0 Hmm. My temp is going the other way according to Weatherbug. 32.2 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Can you imagine the outrage of canceling everything for 3 inches of slop? You're overreacting.. Roadways already covered here. Heavy snow right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 31.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Radar looks juicy and exciting! This storm may make up for the last 4 years of misery. We are absolutely pouring snow here right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Will what are your thoughts this evening? The radar is starting to look amazing for interior SNE for a possible pivot point somewhere....but sometimes it can be deceiving and can change in a hurry as everything rapidly develops a little further eastward. But I'm liking the trend. Also, I wouldn't pay attention to the RUC past about 4 or 5 hours...its been trying to rip the low west all evening only to keep moving it east the next cycle as it gets an hour closer. Earlier tonight it had a run that landfalled the low like W of PVD, lol and went over E MA. It brought the dryslot to GC and NW of HFD....and I somehow doubt that will happen. Just as an FYI for what it was doing several hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 31.5 30.9..... I mixed up a 9 and a 2... Its getting late lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 SFC ANALYSIS AT 06Z REVEALED A RAPIDLY DEEPENING SFC LOW /AS MUCH AS 6 MB PER 2 HRS/ CURRENTLY POSITIONED S OF LONG ISLAND NY. THIS IS OCCURRING AS VERY STRONG MID-LEVEL ASCENT OVERSPREADS THE REGION AHEAD OF A VIGOROUS UPPER LOW AND ATTENDANT 140 KT UPPER JET. AS A RESULT...A SWATH OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS MUCH OF THE NYC-PHI CORRIDOR. SFC LOW WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN AND IS FORECAST TO TRACK NWD TO NEAR KBID BY 12Z. SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO ORGANIZE INTO BANDS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HRS...WITH THE CORRIDOR FROM ERN CT AND RI INTO ERN MASS THE FAVORED REGION FOR THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL. ENHANCED SNOWFALL RATES MAY DEVELOP AT TIMES FROM EMBEDDED CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN PLACE. WARM AIR WRAPPING AHEAD OF THE SFC CYCLONE MAY FAVOR RAINFALL AS THE PREDOMINANT P-TYPE IMMEDIATELY ALONG THE SERN COAST OF MASS. LATER THIS MORNING...STRENGTHENING WINDS MAY YIELD NEAR-BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES ACROSS MUCH OF ERN MASS...INCLUDING THE BOSTON METRO AREA. it's snowing pretty decently about 2 miles inland. But the snow growth sucks, it's warm etc. Blizzard warning is in trouble on Cape Cod. We'll have the wind but I'm not sure we're going to have the snow...we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I dunno it seems to match up with current sfc obs pretty well Oh please....the surface low is not tracking over Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 You're overreacting.. Roadways already covered here. Heavy snow right now I am over reacting but I didn't expect things to unravel this quickly. And there are signs it's not transient. This low may come up our fannies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 31.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 31.6 31.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 31.7...unbelievable... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Its absolutely pouring snow outside. Should have an inch in the first hour since it commenced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Got about 4 hours of sleep, woke ut about an hour ago. Started to come down better here. Feeling at least a foot here not sure how much more though. Might try to lay down again for a bit though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 The radar is starting to look amazing for interior SNE for a possible pivot point somewhere....but sometimes it can be deceiving and can change in a hurry as everything rapidly develops a little further eastward. But I'm liking the trend. Also, I wouldn't pay attention to the RUC past about 4 or 5 hours...its been trying to rip the low west all evening only to keep moving it east the next cycle as it gets an hour closer. Earlier tonight it had a run that landfalled the low like W of PVD, lol and went over E MA. It brought the dryslot to GC and NW of HFD....and I somehow doubt that will happen. Just as an FYI for what it was doing several hours ago. Exactly.....Jackpot could very well be well west of here with the banding (I picked N ORH co and SW NH), but the low is not coming through Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Snow is light but nice flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 31.7...unbelievable... Look outside! Its pounding here right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sankaty Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Just woke up. Heavy snow. Even in darkness, I can tell that it's less than 1/4 mile visibility. Three inches new, so far. Snow began a little before 11PM, so it's averaged in inch/hour since it began. 24F. Radar looks great. Ryan, could this be the one? Back to sleep (or try to). Alarm set for 4:45. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 This storm may make up for the last 4 years of misery. We are absolutely pouring snow here right now. We are going to do very, very, well here Probably will go out for another measurement at 2 AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Oh please....the surface low is not tracking over Boston. I could see Buzzards Bay though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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