DomNH Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 RGEM looks very similar to the NAM but dont take my word for it because I'm not looking that closely at the bw graphics. Agreed. Massive, massive dump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 FWIW, RUC continues to look good for western zones as it takes low from near BID toward or just inside the CC Canel. Dry slot gets into BOS for a time if it verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Love the radar loop...snow in central PA is slowly shutting off as the OV low weakens while thunderstorms fire off the NJ coast and S of LI as the coastal low bombs. Yeah its really bombing out now, the radars lighting up like a christmas tree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
centralmass Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 TETERBORO 27 23 85 30 at 5 29.91 1013.0 0.2 6 X S+ ...KTEB only s+ I see at 10pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I"ll be happy with 12" Definetely hitting Wach Thur or Fri night this week. I'll be there Fri with the Hubb Ski Club Gardner schools have not canceled LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I have a feeling the radar is going to look like an MCS over CT/RI in about 6 hours. Alarm set for three Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Well in areas where BL temps arent near 32F, I could see ratios higher than 10 to 1 as long as snow growth is good...and it looks like snow growth will be pretty good in most areas. It will be even better ratios in the heavy bands. Will is the 850 C temps near -5 to -6 ..... warmer than 925 (which they are for a good majority of us) per SPC hourly mesoscale analysis....is this a red flag against good snow growth/ ratio's or not at all. i was concerned of a possible warmer layer around 8H. http://www.spc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfctest/new/viewsector.php?sector=16# Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 RGEM looks very similar to the NAM but dont take my word for it because I'm not looking that closely at the bw graphics. Plus your probably looking at the Pac west after taking ambien........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Yeah ratios arent as dependant on sfc temps as people think...it has a lot to do with snowflake type. Ive seen 15-1 ratios at 31-32F and ive seen 10-1 ratios at 10F. If im not mistaken BTV had 10-1 ratios in the valentines storm despite being around 10F. Yeah I've seen great ratios too just a tick or two below freezing. Really if its below freezing at all, then the ratios will be mostly determined by snow growth. Remember the baking powder bomb on 12/13/07? I think we were all mostly in the low 20s (with even some upper teens in N/C SNE) and our ratios were all near 10 to 1 because we had those fine flakes that made it like baking powder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 OK, I think GYX is reading my posts. They raised NH amounts, and lowered Maine, wow. Brought me from 8-12, down to 6-12, and Portland from 8-14 to 6-12...Disturbing to read before I go to bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 FWIW, RUC continues to look good for western zones as it takes low from near BID toward or just inside the CC Canel. Dry slot gets into BOS for a time if it verifies. I hope it ends up further west then modeled...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 currently 24 degrees here in manchester nh. once the snow starts temps will drop so initally snow ratios wil be quite hignh lets jst see if it stays that way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Alarm set for three I've been calling Blizz's house every ten minutes for the last hour. His posts are more entertaining when he's grumpy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 NNW New update? I see ENE still on tne ndbc site. Whats your thought on temps? I think the NAM would have us looking good through 12z.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 OK, I think GYX is reading my posts. They raised NH amounts, and lowered Maine, wow. Brought me from 8-12, down to 6-12, and Portland from 8-14 to 6-12...Disturbing to read before I go to bed. Whatever happens happens. Remember, nws offices cant control the wx. Go to bed thinking good thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I'll be there Fri with the Hubb Ski Club Gardner schools have not canceled LOL Wow they canceled Westminster earlier tonight.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Will is the 850 C temps near -5 to -6 ..... warmer than 925 (which they are for a good majority of us) per SPC hourly mesoscale analysis....is this a red flag against good snow growth/ ratio's or not at all. i was concerned of a possible warmer layer around 8H. http://www.spc.ncep....r.php?sector=16# The good omega is going to be ripping all the way past 500mb in this one...at leats initially...and the values are so good that I don't think we'll see bad snow growth...later in the storm if you get into a partial dryslot (say it dries out above 750mb or 700mb), then it could become an issue, but its hard to say how far NW that problem would make it....doesn't seem like it will be an issue for most areas, but we'll cross that bridge when we see it later overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 . . . Intellicast has "Blizzard" forecasted for my zip code (06234), but I don't see that on the NWS maps. Why is that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Alarm set for three I'd make it 230 looking a the VV's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Yeah I've seen great ratios too just a tick or two below freezing. Really if its below freezing at all, then the ratios will be mostly determined by snow growth. Remember the baking powder bomb on 12/13/07? I think we were all mostly in the low 20s (with even some upper teens in N/C SNE) and our ratios were all near 10 to 1 because we had those fine flakes that made it like baking powder. Oh yeah, i remember 12/13/07. Dendrites were nowhere to be found in my area for the most part. Kinda weird too since the omega was bullseyed in the dendritic growth zone. I still dont really understand it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 . . . Intellicast has "Blizzard" forecasted for my zip code (06234), but I don't see that on the NWS maps. Why is that? Intellicast is TWC...at least they copy their forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Moderate snow northern Queens new York 100 yrs it was called long island temp 28.9 were gonna get our first inch any time. Thanks Jeff, all you guys' plows going to need new front ends soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 2011/01/12 03:09 KHPN 120309Z 05006KT 3/4SM -SN OVC012 M04/M07 A2988 RMK AO2 P0001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 New update? I see ENE still on tne ndbc site. Whats your thought on temps? I think the NAM would have us looking good through 12z.... the nam is a snow bomb all the way to HYA. it has over an inch qpf falling as snow before it flips at around 13z...then it's .2 or so rain, before back to snow with another .2 to .3. so for you it's probably all frozen. per bufkit at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 FWIW, RUC continues to look good for western zones as it takes low from near BID toward or just inside the CC Canel. Dry slot gets into BOS for a time if it verifies. The RUC wants to run it between the Canal and Boston, by a little after 7am it's dry slotting all of EMA/RI and parts of CT. It's either scoring or coup or proving once and for all it's useful for verifying 5h etc, blows with EC Lows. I hope it ends up further west then modeled...... No ambien, I'll nap for a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 the nam is a snow bomb all the way to HYA. it has over an inch qpf falling as snow before it flips at around 13z...then it's .2 or so rain, before back to snow with another .2 to .3. so for you it's probably all frozen. per bufkit at least. Cool! Thanks Phil, I appreciation the confirmation. Let's see what the GFS does....we could use a tick east and we'd really get clobbered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 the nam is a snow bomb all the way to HYA. it has over an inch qpf falling as snow before it flips at around 13z...then it's .2 or so rain, before back to snow with another .2 to .3. so for you it's probably all frozen. per bufkit at least. actually it's pretty darn good all the way out to CHH with .8 or .9 falling as snow before the flip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Nice band blew threw went from sugar to dimes in minutes cool see ya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Wow they canceled Westminster earlier tonight.. Quabbin was 2:30 this aft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Rest of the RGEM just updated...just an annihilating hit everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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