baroclinic_instability Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 all over? An inside joke. All over in a good way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Messenger, how's it looking for us down in this neck of the woods? I figure I'll change over for a little but but hoping I can get a front end dump before so...thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 http://www.justin.tv/grumpy_pc#/w/749157392/5 Live Cam in Brooklyn, first flakes beginning to fall! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 2CT Diamond Earrings, on Meghan Fox! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 snow has started falling in Brooklyn, according to that webcam http://www.justin.tv/grumpy_pc#/w/749157392/5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Are you from around here? No I am from Minnesota, but I love all weather! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Ever been there? The trail count will probably go up to 100% shortly. The Birdland section serviced by the double is the part of the area with the less severe terrain (although there is still some nosebleed steep stuff in there as well). That section is far less prone to wind scouring than the Summit serviced by the Single. The vast majority of the terrain off the Single is very steep and at the Summit, with the very light dry snow they've been getting, susceptible to scouring. I'll be there Thursday and if the Single isn't running (though I expect it will be) we'll just skin up to access the goods in the steep trees. Best skiing in the East (sorry powderfreak). As for the not being tucked in to the coast as far as I can tell you're alone on that, so far. Cool, and no. Hoping to go this year. I noticed Burke has a low trail count too...no snow? Pressure falls look east of the Delmarva and then extending nw with the parent low, where they should be. Lows don't necessarily have to gravitate to the strongest pressure falls. All the models had this scraping the coast near 00z, but then the baroclinic zone slowly moves east, as the storm develops and moves north. I do agree NYC could get interesting, but it will be a close call! 100% agree. I don't see anything yet that makes me think any model is busting badly. Sure at 5h there's some issues, but that's been par for the course lately. Perhaps you didn't see some of the buoys earlier, but at 18Z there were reports of 1012, and at 21 Z 1013. 0Z it is off coast--and no buoys are available now where the low is progged to be. Best I can see now is 1012 but the low already passed through. I did, but I think SPC and everyone else decided it's kind of a flat area of low pressure right now around 1011-1013 which is right where the models have it. I think Scott explaiend everything else pretty well. Over the next few hours we'll see how it goes, this is where the NAM/Meso's went nuts (next 3 hours) and where there started to be some separation between solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 are we still looking at around midnite for precip starting in BOS......perhaps 11 in ORH or sooner. are we any closer to figuring out where the MID LEVEL lows close off (i.e) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 are you saying that's the ratios it's putting out...or that's what it'd be at those ratios? I'm hoping we don't get a nasty heavy wet snow like that. no good for skiing Rule 1. No snow is BAD for skiing. Jesus, you sound like one of my Western powder snob buddies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Feels like a repeat of Boxing Day MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0019 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0700 PM CST TUE JAN 11 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...ERN PA...NJ...SERN NY AND SRN CT CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW VALID 120100Z - 120600Z SNOWFALL RATES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH EVENING INTO THE EARLY MORNING FROM ERN PA AND NJ THROUGH SERN NY AND SRN CT. RATES LOCALLY GREATER THAN 1 INCH PER HOUR WILL BECOME POSSIBLE AFTER 03Z. THIS EVENING A STRONG 150+ KT UPPER JET WAS MOVING EWD THROUGH BASE OF TROUGH LOCATED OVER THE OH VALLEY. AGEOSTROPHIC FORCING WITHIN EXIT REGION OF THIS FEATURE WILL OVERTAKE BAROCLINIC ZONE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC SEABOARD...RESULTING IN DEEPENING OF SURFACE LOW OFF THE VA COAST AS IT LIFTS NWD OVERNIGHT. THE DEEPENING SURFACE LOW WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY AN INCREASE IN FRONTOGENETIC FORCING AND A STRENGTHENING LLJ WHICH WILL AUGMENT ISENTROPIC LIFT FROM THE MID ATLANTIC SEABOARD NWD INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT. TRENDS ALREADY INDICATE SNOW EXPANDING IN COVERAGE FROM ERN PA INTO NJ. THE SNOW WILL LIKELY BECOME ORGANIZED AS BANDS LATER THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. STEEPER MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WITHIN UPPER JET EXIT REGION WILL RESULT IN CONVECTIVE ENHANCEMENT WITH SOME LIGHTNING ACTIVITY ALSO POSSIBLE. A DEEP SUBFREEZING LAYER WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE MOSTLY AOA -5C WILL EXIST BENEATH THE DEVELOPING UNSTABLE LAYER WHICH COULD SERVE TO FURTHER AUGMENT SNOWFLAKE GROWTH THROUGH AGGREGATION. RATES WILL LIKELY LOCALLY EXCEED 1 INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY WITHIN CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 No I am from Minnesota, but I love all weather! You really must to be following this so intently . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Confuzzled Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 An inside joke. All over in a good way. Choose your words more carefully, I think two weenies already committed suicide.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 snowing already in CT and maybe heading towards the cape? We had some pixie dust here for 1/2 hour now actual flakes - near DXR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spit Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 [/b] Rule 1. No snow is BAD for skiing. Jesus, you sound like one of my Western powder snob buddies. Hey Ski MRG I'm taking my two girls sking Thurs. what's your best spot to go? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ursa99 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 BOX Snowfall Totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
centralmass Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Holy C NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Hey Ski MRG I'm taking my two girls sking Thurs. what's your best spot to go? Where are you and how old are they? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 We had some pixie dust here for 1/2 hour now actual flakes - near DXR. your gonna get buried.....hope everyone has their rulers handy....or yardsticks...no joke. do we know where the mid level low may close off over the coastal ..or a good idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Holy C NJ It wouldn't be right if I didn't point out that is heading right for me. I think I'm sitting in a great spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLove Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I'm thinking about taking a trip to Mad River Glen in Vermont. Anyone know if this mountain is good for skiing with kids? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RICoastalMan Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 BOX Snowfall Totals All the local mets here have a sharper cutoff to the higher totals farther inland from the cape, especially abc, but I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Holy C NJ I think there's some bright banding in there. ACY is over to RA and NEL & WRI are UP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 No I am from Minnesota, but I love all weather! Minnesota native here ... Owatonna til 1985. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 It wouldn't be right if I didn't point out that is heading right for me. I think I'm sitting in a great spot. With every radar/pressure update, the mesos seem to be looking better and better. Don't know about you, but I'm getting kind of excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I'm thinking about taking a trip to Mad River Glen in Vermont. Anyone know if this mountain is good for skiing with kids? MRG is basically the most hardcore place east of the Mississippi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spit Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Where are you and how old are they? college / CT Grew up sking as a member of the Springfield Ski Club. Tickets - 75 cents ! How funny is that! Rope tows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Holy C NJ Some kind of W to E propagating wave in there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I'm thinking about taking a trip to Mad River Glen in Vermont. Anyone know if this mountain is good for skiing with kids? If they aren't total beginners. MRG has a great intermediatesection but a little light on stuff for true novices. Great atmosphere and family friendly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 to bed.. up around 2.. later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Messenger, how's it looking for us down in this neck of the woods? I figure I'll change over for a little but but hoping I can get a front end dump before so...thoughts? Juggling little ones so not paying a heck of a lot of attention. Just did up this animation which is the 0z RUC v 6h Nam and 0z Ruc vs 6h GFS. NAM had a better handle I think one some things, GFS some others, probably would lean NAM seeing this overlay with the understanding that the RUC usually hits the vorticity even harder than the NAM and it's not there on the 0z. one thing to mention is the ML is slightly stronger than the NAM modeled I mean its a tiny difference but HM did mention in a post something about it kicking everything east. I haven't looked enough to care, in 40 minutes we'll have an answer anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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