weathafella Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Our 21z 12km WRF has incredible snowfall totals... jackpot HVN-BAF with widespread 20"+ totals. What's it have for the rest of us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
centralmass Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rivers Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Our 21z 12km WRF has incredible snowfall totals... jackpot HVN-BAF with widespread 20"+ totals. woohoo!! fingers crossed!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 Gotta go to the store and make sure i get some provisions. Let's see...beer, bread, milk, beer, chips, soup, beer, water, soda, beer, tv dinner, pasta, lunch meat, beer. Did i miss anything? Generator. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 14"... same as W Hartford reasonable, however I can only hope you're wrong and we sit under a band from Hell for 4 hours giving us 12" just in that time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 18z GFS bufkit has just over .8'' of QPF at BDL, however, snow ratios are higher than the NAM, pretty close to 15:1. Looking at omega values and such I would think the GFS might be underdoing things QPF wise...that's a great deal of lift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 You and me are among the few that are fine with the chase but always enjoy the actual event the best. So many lose something once it starts... Count me among the old stalwarts who still enjoy <1/4 mi. vis. SN+ and the ability to be out in it vs. the "sick" radar image on the computer screen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 as the sun goes down it's time to hide the women and children pete's heavy heavy winter is upon us......last chance for any and all to repent most everyone at this point is jackpot hunting.....W/CT berks? LWM to ORH to C Ct. ? NW RI to N. shore? wondering wether i go to bed at 10-11 or just pull and all nighter. it looks like GFS gets precip in here faster tonite. dissing the two old guys, you are cutoff. bouncers enroute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 So, um yeah, I'm like 2 miles from being in the Blizzard Warning area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Not sure if I'll see the brunt of the CCB, but I'm pretty sure I won't dryslot. Hope some nice deformation banding parks itself over here. I actually love where we sit with this one. We pretty much have no shot at dryslotting and have a great shot at a deform band pivoting over us as the storm turns NE. I am kind of nervous about banding also though. This is the type of storm where the heavy stuff (1-3" per hour) will fall in about 8 hours. What if you are in an area of lighter precip for a couple of hours? Thats about 3-6 off of your total right there. The one thing I hope for is that the radar fills completely in, unlike the boxing day storm. If it does, I can see it look something like this...maybe a 25 miles east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Re: screwzone potential, northern ORH Co into southern Cheshire is a likely spot IMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 http://www.rap.ucar....e=-1&duration=5 It's about game time. If the NAM is going to be right we'll see a mega explosion of precip n/s over /just east of eastern NC/VA/DE in the next 2 hours and we should have balls to the walls t/storm type precip off the jersey coast by 830-900. The 18z NAM did seem pretty good placing some of the lift/precip just off the Jersey coast as we approach 0z. I hope someone here records these radars because the next 4 hours should be nothing short of spectacular. I'm confident that the 00z NAM will start chipping away at QPF.....likely to end up with a 1.5" bullseye, as opposed to greater than 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Did anyone address my concern about snow numbers? I still think it's a potential flag. Still paltry relative to qpf and temps region wide. Nobody answered. I think the flag is - we have to watch the next few hours. Let's face it once the echoes in central PA get to the coast they need to absolutely exploded as forecast while combining with some lift coming across VA/NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 What's it have for the rest of us? Go American Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
w1pf Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Our 21z 12km WRF has incredible snowfall totals... jackpot HVN-BAF with widespread 20"+ totals. All the NWS and broadcast mets are ratcheting down the numbers to the west (including IMBY here in Amherst MA) .. I'm taking this as an encouraging sign, given that history shows when the numbers drop in this timeframe we end up doing much better than prog'd. Or at least it feels that way. :snowman: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 For your viewing pleasure, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Heavy, heavy thundersnow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 Looks like the 18z GFS Emsm. paint N. Bristol County over to N. Plymouth County in the QPF jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 BTW Ray RUC pedaling away from the dry slot fast...it's gradually realizing it sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 For your viewing pleasure, Nice! Can I get a link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 BTW Ray RUC pedaling away from the dry slot fast...it's gradually realizing it sucks. That's funny! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 You and me are among the few that are fine with the chase but always enjoy the actual event the best. So many lose something once it starts... Count me in. I can sit and stare at the flakes falling in the floodlights all night. Speaking of flakeage, a few drifting down now. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 dissing the two old guys, you are cutoff. bouncers enroute Remember when it was just we three. The la Ninaists scoffed, the Warministas smirked, where are they now? All the warm after Christmas calls, the 1/2 of normal snowfalls if we were lucky, yet we were unwavering. Now everybody is trying to get into the party, hey, is that Socks trying to sneak in?lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Count me among the old stalwarts who still enjoy <1/4 mi. vis. SN+ and the ability to be out in it vs. the "sick" radar image on the computer screen. This times ten thousand, although 12/09/05 I did have to retreat to the lee side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Is the board timing out and running slowly for anyone else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Is the board timing out and running slowly for anyone else? Yes...thought it was just my internet connection but I guess not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ursa99 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 http://www.rap.ucar....e=-1&duration=5 It's about game time. If the NAM is going to be right we'll see a mega explosion of precip n/s over /just east of eastern NC/VA/DE in the next 2 hours and we should have balls to the walls t/storm type precip off the jersey coast by 830-900. The 18z NAM did seem pretty good placing some of the lift/precip just off the Jersey coast as we approach 0z. I hope someone here records these radars because the next 4 hours should be nothing short of spectacular. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Is the board timing out and running slowly for anyone else? No issues here that I can see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Is the board timing out and running slowly for anyone else? yes--a couple times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Count me among the old stalwarts who still enjoy <1/4 mi. vis. SN+ and the ability to be out in it vs. the "sick" radar image on the computer screen. love the chase, love showtime even more... will be out there taking as much footage as warranted by conditions, and encourage the same of all SNE members! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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