Kbosch Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 BDL may come up with 30" from this storm! People are going to think you mean get 30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I don't think I'll ever beat the 27.5'' from Feb 06 Hockey is like my second life...I LOVE hockey. I need to watch it. feb 06 you got 28? where were you? i was in manahattan enjoying the TSSN.....my gf lived in Norwalk CT they got a dumping too but i dont know what the exact total was. i didnt think central/eastern areas of the state did as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 My very first post here, I live up in the Worcester hills and feeling good about this storm. Anyways, I've noticed talk elsewhere regarding the Low over the Ohio Valley being stronger than modeled and this possibly throwing a monkey wrench into our big storm chances. You guys clearly know your stuff, anyone seriously concerned about this? Welcome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 BDL may come up with 30" from this storm! Maybe 50!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 is DC getting screwed again? i gotta go check out their thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 is DC getting screwed again? i gotta go check out their thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I wonder where any little screwzone will be? Not that someone gets 7" while others get 20", but it seemingly could be two jackpots. One with the intense forcing and waa in CT and up through adjacent RI and MA, and the other perhaps further nw, and associated with mid level frontogenesis and even a trowal feature wrapping in from NNE. I just wonder how this will all play out, but it's probably safe to say, many near the BOS and PVD corridor on west will see at least a foot. I could extend this to Bob, but the NAM makes me a little uneasy for that area. It still could be possible with such a mega front end, or if the SREFs verify. Good point. I can certainly tell you where I hope it sets up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 is DC getting screwed again? i gotta go check out their thread. LOL they had advisories and WSW out for 2-4, 3-5" and the euro came in with less then .1" qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 well im just kidding i know its all climo at work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 is DC getting screwed again? i gotta go check out their thread. I'd tread lightly, NAM hung them out to dry. Compare the GFS and NAM for precip down there....one was right, one choked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Was this posted? Don't think so. It's pretty to look at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Worship it...15z ETA: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 I wonder where any little screwzone will be? Not that someone gets 7" while others get 20", but it seemingly could be two jackpots. One with the intense forcing and waa in CT and up through adjacent RI and MA, and the other perhaps further nw, and associated with mid level frontogenesis and even a trowal feature wrapping in from NNE. I just wonder how this will all play out, but it's probably safe to say, many near the BOS and PVD corridor on west will see at least a foot. I could extend this to Bob, but the NAM makes me a little uneasy for that area. It still could be possible with such a mega front end, or if the SREFs verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 now your talking crazy what did kevin do to you! BDL may come up with 30" from this storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Springfield's best hard at work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 BDL may come up with 30" from this storm! :o feb 06 you got 28? where were you? i was in manahattan enjoying the TSSN.....my gf lived in Norwalk CT they got a dumping too but i dont know what the exact total was. i didnt think central/eastern areas of the state did as well? West Hartford, was under the CCB band that dumped 14'' of snow in 3 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 NAM clown map for entertainment purposes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 We'll see in the end. As I've said before, 70% in the NAM camp is where I think this ends up which would get me about 16-18" (major, but not historic, but more than the 10-12" that the GFS/Euro gives me. I think it would be a big mistake to 100% discount the NAM like some may be doing. quote name='messenger' timestamp='1294778913' post='272904'] Leesun, all I'm saying is the NAM has been the least consistent of any model aloft. If the roles were reversed and the Euro and GFS were showing this mega hit and the RGEM/NAM were not it wouldn't even be a question, there would be a thousand reasons why the euro is best inside of 48 hours etc. Hey I hope you're right I'd like to see this craziness on the NAM, but the NAM is about 3 hours away in terms of timing at 5h and it's then much closer to the Euro.GFS The difference between today and 3 days ago is the m/l was already on an ENE trajectory so when the jump came later than modeled we ended up with the CCB between here and N.S. This whole system is moving NE, so the only difference would be to focus more QPF into E NNE and less to the SW but nobody should get screwed aside of the fringes. Kind of what it has done the last two runs. To assume it would continue is foolish, assuming it won't is foolish too in light of the other guidance saying it will. We just need to way and see the radar/wv/0z. The surface track is going to be independent of what goes on at 500/700 to some degree in terms of dry slotting and what not. Let's hope the bleed NE stops with the 18z GFS and we see a tick back. But this isn't about a miss vs hit, it's about the NAM historic snows and the euro historic snows just a little east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Was this posted? Don't think so. It's pretty to look at well there's something you don't see everyday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Like my earlier post. 100% discounting the NAM. That forecast is riding the GFS. Don't get it, Springfield's best hard at work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 NAM clown map for entertainment purposes They had to break out a new color! Framingham FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Like my earlier post. 100% discounting the NAM. That forecast is riding the GFS. Don't get it, Disagree...no one in W MA sniffs a foot on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Was this posted? Don't think so. It's pretty to look at Holy gradient Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 well there's something you don't see everyday. I've never seen anything like that before from them. This better deliver for all our sakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 :o West Hartford, was under the CCB band that dumped 14'' of snow in 3 hours. awesome man! yeah, i dont think youll top that.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 GYX members ... update to p/c ... upgrade in totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 15:1 ratios there. 10-12" on the GFS Disagree...no one in W MA sniffs a foot on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 awesome man! yeah, i dont think youll top that.... Too bad it was all virtually gone within the blink of an eye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sankaty Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 feb 06 you got 28? where were you? i was in manahattan enjoying the TSSN.....my gf lived in Norwalk CT they got a dumping too but i dont know what the exact total was. i didnt think central/eastern areas of the state did as well? We got about 16" in Middletown. A very good storm, but it was excruciating watching the mega band camp out just a few miles to our west and drop 28". Dec 19th 2009 was the opposite; we got about 6 inches and towns less than 10 miles east got 20 inches. I wonder if we'll get in on the band this time around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Disagree...no one in W MA sniffs a foot on the GFS. GFS had some pretty awesome snow ratios so while QPF may not be particularly high it's made up for by the higher ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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