Baroclinic Zone Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 18z suite will be rolling out shortly. Snow will be flying mere hours for many and there is still a decent spread for some of us in the models. Previous discussion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I think I'll side with the mesoscale models on this one...and not b/c they are the potent solutions, but just b/c they may be handling some aspects of the storm better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 18z suite will be rolling out shortly. Snow will be flying mere hours for many and there is still a decent spread for some of us in the models. Previous discussion. http://www.americanw...1-12-snowstorm/ \new thread same question, PVD metro big changeovr? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 What are peoples feeling on the timing for the heavy precip in SNE? Midnight till noon tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
centralmass Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Anyone agree with Margusity: Models are totally missing the strength of the Ohio storm. Pressure right now is 1013 mb. Models have the pressure at 1016-1020 mb. Implications could mean the Ohio storm just drudges east down I-80 and picks up the coastal on the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 EURO is going to win. Hate to say it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 What are peoples feeling on the timing for the heavy precip in SNE? Midnight till noon tomorrow? Precip will just barely be arriving at midnight in many places in SNE; not expecting first flakes until after 3 AM in here in Boston. Beyond that, it looks like this sucker peaks from 8-12, but there're still decent hours of snow to be had after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 EURO is going to win. Hate to say it LOL..everyone has already stated it initialized too far SE and the mesos have the low position better ..but ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 \ new thread same question, PVD metro big changeovr? I'd lean against that area changing over. Just NW of PVD looks to be an area that will jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Precip will just barely be arriving at midnight in many places in SNE; not expecting first flakes until after 3 AM in here in Boston. Beyond that, it looks like this sucker peaks from 8-12, but there're still decent hours of snow to be had after that. Thanks. Relatively quick mover, should keep those expecting 20" in check with reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Latest OKX snow total's map is scandalous. y'all enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Uptons new snow map for those of us in Southern CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 EURO is going to win. Hate to say it Please provide a 10-page paper with evidence supporting your thesis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Something else to watch once we get into tonight is how the LLJ develops and how strong it becomes, seems to be quite a difference in the strength of it between the NAM/GFS and I think that could be playing a role in the differences in QPF...NAM has a beautiful 60-70 kt LLJ just crashing into us from the SE while the GFS is like 20-30 kt weaker and more from the E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Uptons new snow map for those of us in Southern CT That is hot ****. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 OKX chucking 'em high and chucking 'em far! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Uptons new snow map for those of us in Southern CT My first reaction was "what a gradient"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Uptons new snow map for those of us in Southern CT okx has been knocking it out of the park as of late, hard to go against them/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I'd lean against that area changing over. Just NW of PVD looks to be an area that will jackpot. Wild, just NE of PVD 4 straight miles, typically 2-3 degrees cooler, on Attleboro border. This storm plays with me big time, got a truck comming up from Virginia today. Guy asked what time we wanted to unload tomorrow morning I just laughed at him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonkis Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 new thread same question, PVD metro big changeovr? Most guidance says no, probably not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Not me in VT Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Looks good, I'm in new haven county, but I have a feeling I will be busy at the FD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Uptons new snow map for those of us in Southern CT Damn, that has to just chew at the NYC group. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Uptons new snow map for those of us in Southern CT They missed the EC memo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Most guidance says no, probably not. Pretty crazy in our neck of the woods for this storm huh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 For the gentlemen in Kingston, MA, I would expect a period of changeover. How long that is, is yet to be determined. You'll still see a solid front end thump though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Please provide a 10-page paper with evidence supporting your thesis. Ok, I'll have it ready by 00z Thursday. Be prepared to be blown away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 My first reaction was "what a gradient"... My first reaction was "holy ****" my second reaction was.. I'm right on the gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 SREFs should be out momentarily... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 SREFs should be out momentarily... coming out now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 The 00z model runs will still be important, but even if we had EXACT agreement between all the models under the sun, it still comes down to radar/obs watching since these intense storms throw all sorts of things at you that the models just can't exactly handle. Mesoscale things are always fickle. The bottom line is that there's a big dog coming...everyone is in the mix right now...no one should be down. Some will be disappointed in the end and some will be elated. +1 The voice of reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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