Mr Torchey Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 LP did jump a couple hundred miles se from 12z, however qpf increased at 18z, in the end it either cuts well west without much damage or climo will win and it goes over the canal inland adds while the coastal plain takes a minor to moderate hit especially the further east you are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 Wow, euro weeklies completely flipped the script. They have the +PNA pattern on week 2, but evolve ridging into AK and western Canada on week 3, while having a +nao. This drives some cold air right into the US. Week 4 also has a +NAO but week + height anomalies over nrn Canada. It basically keeps most of the US below normal. Week 4 looks kind of ugly in the Bering Sea, but verbatim the weeklies are cold. They abandoned the -nao idea too. I think we are due for some +NAO bouts before we tank again in March; hopefully we get some help out west to coincide with the more +NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 LP did jump a couple hundred miles se from 12z, however qpf increased at 18z, in the end it either cuts well west without much damage or climo will win and it goes over the canal inland adds while the coastal plain takes a minor to moderate hit especially the further east you are. I agree, Joe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 GEFS a tad more bullish for Sat. night...1-3 regionwide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 LP did jump a couple hundred miles se from 12z, however qpf increased at 18z, in the end it either cuts well west without much damage or climo will win and it goes over the canal inland adds while the coastal plain takes a minor to moderate hit especially the further east you are. I checked out the GFS and then read all the eeyoring here. I considered it a win ... big shift to the east. Another one of those at 00z and we're talking big snows. I'm quite pleased. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 Wow, euro weeklies completely flipped the script. They have the +PNA pattern on week 2, but evolve ridging into AK and western Canada on week 3, while having a +nao. This drives some cold air right into the US. Week 4 also has a +NAO but week + height anomalies over nrn Canada. It basically keeps most of the US below normal. Week 4 looks kind of ugly in the Bering Sea, but verbatim the weeklies are cold. They abandoned the -nao idea too. It seems like Mother Nature will flip the indices around in any combination that keeps the US cold..LOL..I love it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 It seems like Mother Nature will flip the indices around in any combination that keeps the US cold..LOL..I love it I remember a case like that from the end of December 2008 through early January 09 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 I remember a case like that from the end of December 2008 through early January 09 Through most of January...not just early on. I wnt something like 3 consecitve weeks below freezing; granted it was during the dead of in winter, but here on the cp that is impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 GYX seems on board for snow.. My point forecast has no mention of rain either but does reach 37 and 36 on tue and wed. A MORE SIGNIFICANT LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG THE EAST COAST EARLY NEXT WEEK...THEN TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE COAST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 You're throwin those weenies around like it's August in Ptown. You must be feeling good Ray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 Actually, if you have a good arctic high in place at the lead in, you can getter a better front end dump by having the mid levels cut waaaaay west.....as opposed to up the Hudson or something. Dec 16, 2007 is a good example.....the primary push of the warm tongue was west of us, into NYS beccause it was so far west and we were more heavily influenced by the impressive +pp to the N of ME. This is why we had that classic obs map of Hyannis pounding snow, while Albany sleeted and rained. need that great high pressure in place and in the sweet spot dec 16 was an epic setup tremendous WAA over incredible CAD i recall it was -25C hours before on the morning that storm began here with buckets of gulf moisture on a rapidly bombing 980 low.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 need that great high pressure in place and in the sweet spot dec 16 was an epic setup tremendous WAA over incredible CAD i recall it was -25C hours before on the morning that storm began here with buckets of gulf moisture on a rapidly bombing 980 low.... You have a real Dec 16 fetish. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 clipper looks stronger on the nam over the lakes, no idea how that might translate east, but gefs dropped 1-3 this weekend on sne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 NAM says weak snow showers over northern areas. Coating to an inch. Move along folks, nothing to see here ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 Looks like overruning precip begins last Monday night? I may not be able to depart Tuesday...lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 So La Nina winters are dry? Looks like another moisture rich storm for next week, heavy low level cold, need a smidge more easterly, 850 flow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 So La Nina winters are dry? Looks like another moisture rich storm for next week, heavy low level cold, need a smidge more easterly, 850 flow How about Ninas with an active STJ? This Nina is creating new assumptions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 How about Ninas with an active STJ? This Nina is creating new assumptions. Jerry I have the radarscope app for iPad, amazing, I digress, anyway it gives the warnings for the country. I have seen flash flood warnings for Hawaii many times days prior to our prolific storms, they has a bunch yesterday. You remember the old met saying about Hawaii, pressure? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 I'm still adjusting to living up here. I got really upset about the tuesday storm...i guess a part of me was still in Philly. Then I realized where I live and got excited...worst case scenario is probably snow to rain followed by a flash freeze and thick crust on the snow pack. Best case scenario, quoting Brian, is a snow bomb. I've seen these things before from a philly perspective and they redevelop east and new england gets a cold solution while we in philly get frustrated and whiny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 NAM says weak snow showers over northern areas. Coating to an inch. Move along folks, nothing to see here ... Looks like 1-3 everywhere based on 7h and temps to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 you guys have had enough snow. hopefully this season finishes up like 05-06. edit: oh wait it snowed a lot in feb 06 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 Jerry I have the radarscope app for iPad, amazing, I digress, anyway it gives the warnings for the country. I have seen flash flood warnings for Hawaii many times days prior to our prolific storms, they has a bunch yesterday. You remember the old met saying about Hawaii, pressure? I think that's the seeds of EPO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 you guys have had enough snow. hopefully this season finishes up like 05-06. edit: oh wait it snowed a lot in feb 06 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 you guys have had enough snow. hopefully this season finishes up like 05-06. edit: oh wait it snowed a lot in feb 06 Love you longtime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 I'm still adjusting to living up here. I got really upset about the tuesday storm...i guess a part of me was still in Philly. Then I realized where I live and got excited...worst case scenario is probably snow to rain followed by a flash freeze and thick crust on the snow pack. Best case scenario, quoting Brian, is a snow bomb. I've seen these things before from a philly perspective and they redevelop east and new england gets a cold solution while we in philly get frustrated and whiny Marko this is a Markova special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 Love you longtime ive still got snow in the shady spots, so there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 Looks like 1-3 everywhere based on 7h and temps to me. Ok, I see what you're saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 ... of course, Kevin will greet the congregation tomorrow with 2-4, lollis of 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 ive still got snow in the shady spots, so there storm track inside delmarva NAO just little negative storm cut to benchmark dc rain new england big snow. ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 NAM could certainly potentially drop a few inches across parts of the region...looks rather juicy at H7. The strongest lift does stay north of SNE but as Scott mentioned earlier this morning some WAA might save the day for someone in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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