mattb65 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 18z NAM looks like it's ready for lift off at hr 84. Was just about to post the same - really looks like it's digging the trough at 78, strong 300 mb is really driving the energy into the base of the trough. How close to the coast would you think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I predict you end up in either Newton or West Roxbury or perhaps Rozzie? But schools would argue Newton. I'm getting out of this place as soon as I recoup the $100k that went out the door in 2010 over and above expected expenses...so at this moment we're sort of reeling but recovering. This house is 130 years old and I've had enough. We'll head over to Newton or beyond. I'll craft a commute that enables working from home some. But I'll miss the walk to work and that's what's keeping us here right now... It will be tough to find a place that works. I cherish my lack of commute and ability to walk to restaurants, shops, etc. If we could find something right in a town center near a train, that would be ideal, I suppose. But it's tough to find. We've got other stuff in the air that could have us leave completely, too. At least for several years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Now that's some cold air, yessuh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 In their AFD, GYX mentions a few inches accumulation possible with the Friday storm. I'm thinking a heckuva lot more than a few inches is possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Now that's some cold air, yessuh. Someone left the freezer open north of here, The storm at the end of the Nam run looks like it was getting its act together heading this way........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 In their AFD, GYX mentions a few inches accumulation possible with the Friday storm. I'm thinking a heckuva lot more than a few inches is possible. Ah, yeah... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 It will be tough to find a place that works. I cherish my lack of commute and ability to walk to restaurants, shops, etc. If we could find something right in a town center near a train, that would be ideal, I suppose. But it's tough to find. We've got other stuff in the air that could have us leave completely, too. At least for several years. I'm never moving out of this city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 GFS looking sweet for the Friday storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 gfs for friday look great!! 988mb just east of the cape!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 GFS looking sweet for the Friday storm. I hope it doesn't shift much from this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I hope it doesn't shift much from this. Could bomb a little sooner but, yeah, the track is great for many. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Could bomb a little sooner but, yeah, the track is great for many. lol Warning snows tomorrow...lingering inverted trough -SN's Wednesday as another s/w approaches from the W...a cold break on Thu...a possible higher ratio thump on Fri...then a frigid weekend with highs in the 10s and lows below 0F. Classic week of New England winter weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Warning snows tomorrow...lingering inverted trough -SN's Wednesday as another s/w approaches from the W...a cold break on Thu...a possible higher ratio thump on Fri...then a frigid weekend with highs in the 10s and lows below 0F. Classic week of New England winter weather. You said it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Warning snows tomorrow...lingering inverted trough -SN's Wednesday as another s/w approaches from the W...a cold break on Thu...a possible higher ratio thump on Fri...then a frigid weekend with highs in the 10s and lows below 0F. Classic week of New England winter weather. Making up for the weak December quite nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Warning snows tomorrow...lingering inverted trough -SN's Wednesday as another s/w approaches from the W...a cold break on Thu...a possible higher ratio thump on Fri...then a frigid weekend with highs in the 10s and lows below 0F. Classic week of New England winter weather. Really awesome eh? Reminds of the stretch of Dec 19-22 2008, my first winter here. 5" on the 19th, 12" on the 21st and another 13 or 14 on the 23rd. And remember how it never stopped snowing between the 2 big events? Of course we didn't start that run with 20 already down. My over under (set 2 weeks ago) was 45 down by the end of Jan. We just might have 65 down by then. Guess I just might come back here Thursday night and not stay in Philly for the Friday event. Mywhole schedule this week timed around snowstorms. Was going to go to Philly today and come home tomorrow, but this weekend changed it to going Wednesday and home either Thursday or Friday depending upon the forecast....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Really awesome eh? Reminds of the stretch of Dec 19-22 2008, my first winter here. 5" on the 19th, 12" on the 21st and another 13 or 14 on the 23rd. And remember how it never stopped snowing between the 2 big events? Of course we didn't start that run with 20 already down. My over under (set 2 weeks ago) was 45 down by the end of Jan. We just might have 65 down by then. Guess I just might come back here Thursday night and not stay in Philly for the Friday event. Mywhole schedule this week timed around snowstorms. Was going to go to Philly today and come home tomorrow, but this weekend changed it to going Wednesday and home either Thursday or Friday depending upon the forecast....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 You could triple bun me for that. Been doing it ever since i had enough frequent flyer points. First time was in 2000 I think...left the family during xmas week to go home to Philly for a storm for 2 days, then back to Florida. I am the Jerry of the North. Oh and then if you go back to Jan 96, I left 5K in consulting fees on the table and pretended my flight was cancelled the morning of Jan 6 in Philly. The Friday thing has taken me by surprise today. I knew there was something, but HPC was quiet about it over night and I was focused on tomorrow's event. Are all the models on board and what kinda qpf are they talking for what regions? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 You could triple bun me for that. Been doing it ever since i had enough frequent flyer points. First time was in 2000 I think...left the family during xmas week to go home to Philly for a storm for 2 days, then back to Florida. I am the Jerry of the North. Oh and then if you go back to Jan 96, I left 5K in consulting fees on the table and pretended my flight was cancelled the morning of Jan 6 in Philly. The Friday thing has taken me by surprise today. I knew there was something, but HPC was quiet about it over night and I was focused on tomorrow's event. Are all the models on board and what kinda qpf are they talking for what regions? Friday snuck on me as well. I usually pay attention to one system at a time but saw some chatter regarding Friday and took a gander. Can't say I've looked up many models, NAM looked like it'd produce and GFS was real nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 In their AFD, GYX mentions a few inches accumulation possible with the Friday storm. I'm thinking a heckuva lot more than a few inches is possible. That is just a function of so much of their attention being consumed by the near term....ultra vague and conservative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 off to dinner and a movie...ttyl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Fridays looks like a SECS to me....like to see it bomb a little faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 That is just a function of so much of their attention being consumed by the near term....ultra vague and conservative. It's just semantics but I guess I'm more accustomed to them saying that "it looks snowy" or something like that. Not a big deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 2 Snow days for this week have already been locked up..Heavy heavy snowpack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BDR Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 DGEX lookin nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 DGEX doesn't just randomly look nice either (like it often does). The hr60+ is beautiful on the NAM. I honestly like the idea of a MECS with this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 DGEX doesn't just randomly look nice either (like it often does). The hr60+ is beautiful on the NAM. I honestly like the idea of a MECS with this one When Sam chucks, I take note. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2011 Author Share Posted January 18, 2011 DGEX doesn't just randomly look nice either (like it often does). The hr60+ is beautiful on the NAM. I honestly like the idea of a MECS with this one It is definitely starting to have a classic Miller B look to it. The only limiting factor in it becoming a really big storm is a kicker system in the plains behind it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 DEEP MOISTURE MOVES IN THURSDAY NIGHT WITH LIFT IN THE DENDRITIC ZONE AFTER 06Z IN CT AND AFTER 09Z IN THE NORTHEAST. ALL QPF IS EITHER DRY OR JUST A COUPLE OF HUNDREDTHS THROUGH 06Z. TEMPERATURE PROFILES SUPPORT SNOW MOST PLACES...BUT GIVEN THE CURRENT PROJECTED TRACK IT WOULD BE REASONABLE FOR A PERIOD OF RAIN OR MIXED PCPN ON CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND. PRECIPITATION TOOLS SUGGEST A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION WITH THIS SYSTEM. STAY TUNED. You gotta love the "stay tuned" at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 You gotta love the "stay tuned" at the end. This event looks as if it wants to bomb near Boston, so there might be the potential for some wrap-around CCB snows in SNE that other areas like mine don't get. In any case, the 18z GFS had a very juicy overrunning scenario with the 18z NAM/18z DGEX confirming the potential. We'll see if the 0z ECM comes around to a stronger solution with more interaction between the northern and southern streams. Could be an impressive event given ratios with 850s near -10C on the back side and then arctic cold moving in afterwards with fresh snowpack on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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