Baroclinic Zone Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 GGEM bombs... but looks like it chooses to enter SNE upper levels yeah, surface not seeing it cold storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 upper levels yeah, surface not seeing it cold storm just saying. the black and white maps have the surface low in MA at 108. But alot can change. Precip much though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 just saying. the black and white maps have the surface low in MA at 108. But alot can change. Precip much though? nah thats cool yoda, im not saying i was right, just those b and w maps are always a mess, color looks to be a bomb right along the coastline... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Very nice. Seems like nobody is paying attention to it. I've been paying attention since Saturday. Initially feared not being able to get in from TPA Thursday evening but that appears to be no problem. Friday will be huge. So many people (not me) are getting hit hard tomorrow/Wed that they are not paying attn. GFS is growing each run, ENS are major hit, and CMC is a downright shut down NE blizzard. All are cold....this one should have high ratios and not at all pasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 GGEM verbatim is a huge cold snow dump with an occluding low crossing the cape..possibly up the canal. Sound familiar? Dry slots eastern MA but not before alot of snow. Stays cold as the low occludes as it crosses the cape. The pattern this year is to have cape crossing lows and everyplace west of it gets mainly frozen. See this past week and 12/26. Fresh cold can do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I've been paying attention since Saturday. Initially feared not being able to get in from TPA Thursday evening but that appears to be no problem. Friday will be huge. So many people (not me) are getting hit hard tomorrow/Wed that they are not paying attn. GFS is growing each run, ENS are major hit, and CMC is a downright shut down NE blizzard. All are cold....this one should have high ratios and not at all pasty. I don't Jerry. Verbatim the GGEM looks warm for southern areas. 0c 850's make it all the way up to the CT/MA/RI border, than dryslot. Maybe all of that occurs before the dryslot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I don't Jerry. Verbatim the GGEM looks warm for southern areas. 0c 850's make it all the way up to the CT/MA/RI border, than dryslot. Maybe all of that occurs before the dryslot. I thought the H85 line just goes above the Cape but not further north? Either way...alot of snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 12z EC looking better for Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 12z EC looking better for Friday. Lock in 4-8? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 1000mb at 96hr just south of MTP...then in the GOM at 102hr at a bit under 992mb. Only advisory snows verbatim, but there's still time. Maybe we'll tap into some of that brutal QB/ON cold this run too with the better coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Looks like more in the pipeline. We may build some serious snowpack over the next 10-15 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 1000mb at 96hr just south of MTP...then in the GOM at 102hr at a bit under 992mb. Only advisory snows verbatim, but there's still time. Maybe we'll tap into some of that brutal QB/ON cold this run too with the better coastal. The trend is our friend. I'm thinking 4-8 minimum Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 The trend is our friend. I'm thinking 4-8 minimum Friday. I'll be flirting with a solid 30" snowpack in time for the frigid stuff Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I'll be flirting with a solid 30" snowpack in time for the frigid stuff Saturday. No doubt. And don't discount what's coming beyond Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 All these winters around here...this is the first one in a long time that the woods I walk in within the Boston city limits have had durable snow cover fwith no real end in site. So many mild winter days the past few years spent in the mud.... This year it's snowy....and cold enough to keep it around. This morning's jaunt in the woods and pond areas was cold...but wonderful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I'll be flirting with a solid 30" snowpack in time for the frigid stuff Saturday. Yeah, this is what I meant when I said nne will play catch up, last week. No block means lows will come close to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Another low offshore at hr 144. Verbatim it's strong, but lots of signals for cstl lows. PV near Hudson Bay will do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Oh hey. Let's keep trending that 144hr low NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I'm liking the GFS/Euro agreement on the overrunning advisory event end of this week. Especially welcome for us coastal folks...our snowpack is gonna be hanging on for dear life after the next 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 All these winters around here...this is the first one in a long time that the woods I walk in within the Boston city limits have had durable snow cover fwith no real end in site. So many mild winter days the past few years spent in the mud.... This year it's snowy....and cold enough to keep it around. This morning's jaunt in the woods and pond areas was cold...but wonderful. Taken 4 days after midweek HECS....yesterday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I'm liking the GFS/Euro agreement on the overrunning advisory event end of this week. Especially welcome for us coastal folks...our snowpack is gonna be hanging on for dear life after the next 48 hours. It will probably be a low end warning event. Overrunning events seem to frequently overperform due to the juice available and the fairly strong cold entrenched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I'm liking the GFS/Euro agreement on the overrunning advisory event end of this week. Especially welcome for us coastal folks...our snowpack is gonna be hanging on for dear life after the next 48 hours. My street is still covered in snow and I'm sitting at 18.1. I doubt I go above 35ish tomorrow. Any snowmelt will be minimal imo especially after the 2-5 inches I'm expecting on the frontend tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 My street is still covered in snow and I'm sitting at 18.1. I doubt I go above 35ish tomorrow. Any snowmelt will be minimal imo especially after the 2-5 inches I'm expecting on the frontend tomorrow Quite the optimist! You could very well flip early and approach 40 under a driving rainstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 All these winters around here...this is the first one in a long time that the woods I walk in within the Boston city limits have had durable snow cover fwith no real end in site. So many mild winter days the past few years spent in the mud.... This year it's snowy....and cold enough to keep it around. This morning's jaunt in the woods and pond areas was cold...but wonderful. It's astonishing how much snow is still stuck to the trees and buildings. I'd guess we have about an 8-10" snowpack downtown, but just drove around Newton and Brookline and it's easily 6" deeper out there. Just a winter wonderland. But this stretch is making us antsy to get out of downtown and find a place with parking and some outdoor space. For all the beauty of the storms and the snowpack, city living wears on you fast when you are climbing over a snowmound and trying to get a kid into a car seat without stable ground to stand on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 It's astonishing how much snow is still stuck to the trees and buildings. I'd guess we have about an 8-10" snowpack downtown, but just drove around Newton and Brookline and it's easily 6" deeper out there. Just a winter wonderland. But this stretch is making us antsy to get out of downtown and find a place with parking and some outdoor space. For all the beauty of the storms and the snowpack, city living wears on you fast when you are climbing over a snowmound and trying to get a kid into a car seat without stable ground to stand on. I predict you end up in either Newton or West Roxbury or perhaps Rozzie? But schools would argue Newton. I'm getting out of this place as soon as I recoup the $100k that went out the door in 2010 over and above expected expenses...so at this moment we're sort of reeling but recovering. This house is 130 years old and I've had enough. We'll head over to Newton or beyond. I'll craft a commute that enables working from home some. But I'll miss the walk to work and that's what's keeping us here right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Well, we dont have a shortage of storms. Tommorows mess, possible light precip after it, Fridays storm, possible Sunday storm. And all this with a 15" snowpack before we even start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Quite the optimist! You could very well flip early and approach 40 under a driving rainstorm. agree, not sure that's likely but possible. I'm a bit worried that parts of SNE ends up with a kicking screaming 35-40 rain because of the wind dir and overall flow, high moving offshore rather than anchored etc. Maybe it's just the skeptic in me, but it seems possible. The juicy s stream systems always ended up screwing us when I lived in the far southern parts of NE, always seemd to flip to rain sooner than predicted, sometimes not even snowing at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 18z NAM looks like it's ready for lift off at hr 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 18z NAM looks like it's ready for lift off at hr 84. yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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