lwg8tr0514 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 the NAM total QPF 1.5" :yikes: Dare I say it, SOUTHERN TREND? Trout seems to have a good handle on climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwc Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 the NAM total QPF 1.5" :yikes: That's a ton of qpf, but how much of what is the question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Dare I say it, SOUTHERN TREND? Trout seems to have a good handle on climo. At work so I can't really look too much... But NAM looks much colder...850's actually look like they hang close or just north of the area for some of the heavy precip. And this is typically a "warmer model", right?. There may be some other warm layers though. Maybe we get more sleet than expected? Maybe this thing gets an occluded front which stops some of the WAA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 At work so I can't really look too much... But NAM looks much colder...850's actually look like they hang close or just north of the area for some of the heavy precip. And this is typically a "warmer model", right?. There may be some other warm layers though. Maybe we get more sleet than expected? Maybe this thing gets an occluded front which stops some of the WAA. If we do stay cold I hope we could get more sleet instead of frz rain. I remember a sleet storm back in the 70's where we had sleet most of the day and it turned to big snowflakes at night. At least with sleet you can drive easier in it and it doesn't stick to the trees and power lines. We do seem to get more fzr rain than sleet anymore so it may not even matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 At work so I can't really look too much... But NAM looks much colder...850's actually look like they hang close or just north of the area for some of the heavy precip. And this is typically a "warmer model", right?. There may be some other warm layers though. Maybe we get more sleet than expected? Maybe this thing gets an occluded front which stops some of the WAA. This is a possibility. The storm is modeled to occlude to our West. Also, we actually have a fresh arctic air mass with a High to the North in almost perfect position to funnel low level cold air down. Climo tells me the warm air will win in our area, but this storm is a bit different than what we typically see. Verbatim 12z NAM gives us .25 of ZR. Even during the heaviest precip we are precariously close to freezing per the Bufkit text and its not until after we get into the dry slot with just drizzle that we get close to 40 before the cold front sweeps through and cools us off again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lwg8tr0514 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 If we do stay cold I hope we could get more sleet instead of frz rain. I remember a sleet storm back in the 70's where we had sleet most of the day and it turned to big snowflakes at night. At least with sleet you can drive easier in it and it doesn't stick to the trees and power lines. We do seem to get more fzr rain than sleet anymore so it may not even matter. What are the chances and not weenie-casting here that we get a 50-75 mile jump south we are most if not all snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITblizz Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Looking at the gfs, it looks like it agrees with the nam that we see a more potent "first punch" of frozen precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITblizz Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 And the gfs comes in warmer.. Good luck with this one,nws.. haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 1055 AM EST MON JAN 31 2011 OHZ039-040-048>050-PAZ021-029-073>076-WVZ001-002-010000- /O.UPG.KPBZ.WS.A.0003.110201T0000Z-110202T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KPBZ.WS.W.0003.110201T0000Z-110201T2200Z/ TUSCARAWAS-CARROLL-COSHOCTON-HARRISON-JEFFERSON OH-ALLEGHENY- WASHINGTON-WESTMORELAND-WESTMORELAND RIDGES-FAYETTE- FAYETTE RIDGES-HANCOCK-BROOKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW PHILADELPHIA...DOVER... UHRICHSVILLE...CARROLLTON...COSHOCTON...CADIZ...HOPEDALE... STEUBENVILLE...PITTSBURGH METRO AREA...WASHINGTON...CANONSBURG... DONORA...CALIFORNIA...CHARLEROI...MONONGAHELA...MCMURRAY... GREENSBURG...NEW KENSINGTON...JEANNETTE...LATROBE...MONESSEN... LIGONIER...DONEGAL...NEW FLORENCE...ACME...CHAMPION...UNIONTOWN... CONNELLSVILLE...POINT MARION...NORMALVILLE...FARMINGTON... OHIOPYLE...MARKLEYSBURG...TORONTO...WEIRTON 1055 AM EST MON JAN 31 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PITTSBURGH HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE AND SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM EST TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * ACCUMULATION: ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH OF ICE. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW. * TIMING: LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN TONIGHT...MIX TO SLEET AND THEN FREEZING RAIN BY TUESDAY MORNING. FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TUESDAY. A CHANGEOVER TO RAIN IS EXPECTED LATE TUESDAY...BUT MAY MIX BACK TO FREEZING RAIN BRIEFLY TUESDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS: ICE AND SNOW ACCUMULATION ON UNTREATED ROADS WILL LEAD TO HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. ACCUMULATING ICE MAY CAUSE TREE LIMBS AND WIRES TO BREAK... MAKING POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. REPORT YOUR SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1-877-633-6772. && $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwc Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 LOL @ NAM. We're gonna need a bigger boat.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 And the gfs comes in warmer.. Good luck with this one,nws.. haha. Wouldn't worry about the GFS temps so much just that it agrees with the NAM. I think the NAM will have a better grasp on the temps considering this is a damming situation and the NAM's higher resolution should help with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Great input everybody, this set-up is so damn tricky. There's almost no wiggle room with this forecast, you have climo, models, and a solid snowpack all involed. I wanna say that south of 422 and west of the ridges will warm up pretty fast, but I can't. Too many variables this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jen16226 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 They just changed mine..... URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 1055 AM EST MON JAN 31 2011 MDZ001-OHZ041-PAZ007>009-013>016-020-022-023-010000- /O.UPG.KPBZ.WS.A.0003.110201T0000Z-110202T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KPBZ.WS.W.0003.110201T0000Z-110202T1500Z/ GARRETT-COLUMBIANA-MERCER-VENANGO-FOREST-LAWRENCE-BUTLER-CLARION- JEFFERSON PA-BEAVER-ARMSTRONG-INDIANA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OAKLAND MD...GRANTSVILLE... EAST LIVERPOOL...SALEM...COLUMBIANA...EAST PALESTINE... WELLSVILLE...CALCUTTA...SHARON...HERMITAGE...GROVE CITY... GREENVILLE...FARRELL...OIL CITY...FRANKLIN...SUGARCREEK... TIONESTA...NEW CASTLE...ELLWOOD CITY...BUTLER...ZELIENOPLE... CLARION...PUNXSUTAWNEY...BROOKVILLE...REYNOLDSVILLE...BROCKWAY... ALIQUIPPA...BEAVER FALLS...AMBRIDGE...MONACA...BEAVER... KITTANNING...FORD CITY...LEECHBURG...FREEPORT...APOLLO...INDIANA 1055 AM EST MON JAN 31 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PITTSBURGH HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND ICE...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * ACCUMULATION: ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH OF ICE. 3 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW. * TIMING: LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE TONIGHT. ACCUMULATING SNOW TUESDAY... MAY MIX WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. THE THREAT OF FREEZING RAIN WILL PERSIST INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS: ICE AND SNOW ACCUMULATION ON UNTREATED ROADS WILL LEAD TO HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. ACCUMULATING HEAVY WET SNOW AND ICE MAY CAUSE TREE LIMBS AND WIRES TO BREAK... MAKING POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Looks like a non-event down here, probably 90% rain. Greene county is the only one in all of PA without a WSW. Rain in the winter is one of my least favorite things, sort of a pet-peeve I guess. On to the next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 How is everyone on temps so far this afternoon? I went outside and it felt pretty warm so checked my Weather Underground and it was showing almost 34 degrees in New Kensington. Thats a good bit warmer than forecast. Wonder if that will have any effects on how things play out tonight? Dew point is only 6 though so I would image once precip starts falling temps will fall of quickly for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Looks like a non-event down here, probably 90% rain. Greene county is the only one in all of PA without a WSW. Rain in the winter is one of my least favorite things, sort of a pet-peeve I guess. On to the next one. peace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwc Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 How is everyone on temps so far this afternoon? I went outside and it felt pretty warm so checked my Weather Underground and it was showing almost 34 degrees in New Kensington. Thats a good bit warmer than forecast. Wonder if that will have any effects on how things play out tonight? Dew point is only 6 though so I would image once precip starts falling temps will fall of quickly for awhile. That thermometer must be sitting in the sun...temps in PA are below 30. Bowman (ch 2) and Ivory (ch 4) seem to be parroting the NAM re: timing and qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
passmaster16 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 looks like Euro went NW so maybe we'll be spared the heavy ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwc Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwc Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 MODEL DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 137 PM EST MON JAN 31 2011 VALID JAN 31/1200 UTC THRU FEB 04/0000 UTC ...SEE NOUS42 KWNO ADMNFD FOR THE STATUS OF THE UPPER AIR INGEST... 12Z MODEL EVALUATION INCLUDING THE ECMWF AND FINAL PREFERENCES ...UPPER TROUGH FORMING OVER THE ROCKIES/PLAINS THROUGH THE PERIOD... PREFERENCE: GEFS MEAN OR ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN THE GFS WEAKENS AND EJECTS THE LOW INTO THE PLAINS FASTER THAN THE NAM/ECMWF AND IS OUT OF PHASE WITH ITS OWN ENSEMBLE MEAN...WHILE THE NAM/ECMWF DEPICTS A MORE CONSOLIDATED CENTER LINGERING LATER IN THE PERIOD AND POSSIBLY DRIFTING AS FAR SOUTH AS MEXICO. 00Z SPAGHETTI DIAGRAMS SHOW MUCH GREATER SPREAD HOWEVER...AND GIVEN THE RUN-TO-RUN VARIABILITY REPRESENTED BY CURRENT GUIDANCE...THE RECOMMENDATION IS LEAN MOST HEAVILY UPON THE GLOBAL ENSEMBLE MEANS SUCH AS THE GEFS OR ECMWF ENSEMBLES. ...CYCLONE MOVING FROM THE S. PLAINS TO NEW ENGLAND THROUGH THE PERIOD... PREFERENCE: BEFORE 12Z WED...2/3 GFS TO 1/3 GEFS MEAN AFTER 12Z WED...1/3 EACH GFS/ECMWF/GEFS MEAN THE NAM IS A LITTLE SLOWER THAN THE GFS/ECMWF THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD WITH ITS SLOWER SPEED CONSIDERED DOUBTFUL DUE TO WORSE INITIALIZATION OF THE EVOLVING TROUGH OVER CALIFORNIA. OTHERWISE...THE NEW ECMWF HAS TRENDED FASTER WITH ITS NORTHEASTWARD ACCELERATION THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND TOWARD NEW ENGLAND WHICH IS ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN ITS PRIOR RUN AND THE GFS. THUS...EARLIER PREFERENCES FOR A GFS/GEFS MEAN SOLUTION WEIGHTED TOWARD THE DETERMINISTIC GFS EARLY AND GEFS MEAN LATE...REMAINS VALID. THE ONLY EXCEPTION IS TO INCLUDE A SMALL AMOUNT OF THE ECMWF SOLUTION LATE IN THE PERIOD TO REPRESENT A SLIGHT INCREASE IN CONFIDENCE OVER NEW ENGLAND. ...LOW PRESSURE FORMING ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST COAST THROUGH TUESDAY... PREFERENCE: EQUAL BLEND GFS/ECMWF FORECASTS AT THE SURFACE ARE SIMILAR. HOWEVER...THE NAM LIES NEAR THE STRONG EDGE OF THE GUIDANCE WITH ITS ASCENT FORMING WITHIN THE STRENGTHENING BAROCLINIC ZONE NORTH OF THE LOW INCLUDING AREAS BETWEEN ALBANY AND BOSTON...WHILE THE GFS/UKMET/ECMWF SHOW SIMILAR LARGER-SCALE STRUCTURE WHICH IS WEAKER THAN THE NAM. THUS...DUE TO CONSENSUS RECOMMEND DISCOUNTING THE STRONGER NAM AND RELYING UPON AN INTERMEDIATE SOLUTION BETWEEN THE GFS/ECMWF TO ACCOUNT FOR SOME LINGERING MODEL UNCERTAINTY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sunnykay Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 NWS has Latrobe Airport at 34. That thermometer must be sitting in the sun...temps in PA are below 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Reading through some other threads, I see mention of the NAM having initialization errors. Maybe this is what it ended up being so much colder? Either way, the trend today seems to be a tick or so warmer in most guidance so we may dodge the worst of this one. Once you get into Butler and Armstrong counties though things might be a different story. Looking at that cutoff is so disgusting! 50-75 miles or so to the North of Pittsburgh has the potential to get hammered. Edit: I see cwc posted some information to that regard also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Reading through some other threads, I see mention of the NAM having initialization errors. Maybe this is what it ended up being so much colder? Either way, the trend today seems to be a tick or so warmer in most guidance so we may dodge the worst of this one. Once you get into Butler and Armstrong counties though things might be a different story. Looking at that cutoff is so disgusting! 50-75 miles or so to the North of Pittsburgh has the potential to get hammered. Edit: I see cwc posted some information to that regard also. with ice? you dont want that do you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwc Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 236 PM EST MON JAN 31 2011 .SYNOPSIS... A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM COMING NORTHEAST FROM TEXAS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY WEDNESDAY. THE NORTHWARD PASSAGE OF THE SYSTEMS WARM FRONT WILL CAUSE TEMPERATURES TO WARM. SO SNOW TONIGHT CAN CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN AND EVEN RAIN FOR A TIME LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. THE SYSTEMS COLD FRONT WILL THEN BRING A CHILL DOWN LATE WEDNESDAY WITH A CHANGE BACK TO SNOW. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/... -- Changed Discussion --PRETTY GOOD MODEL CONSENSUS...HAS LED TO GREATER FORECAST CONFIDENCE. THEREFORE...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUED. ISENTROPIC LIFT DEVELOPING IN ASSOCIATION WITH WARM FRONTOGENISIS IS PRODUCING LIGHT PRECIP JUST SOUTH OF THE CWA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH RAIN FAR SOUTH EARLY. THIS AREA OF LIGHT SNOW WILL WORK NORTH THIS EVENING. EXPECT SUFFICIENT WARM UP IN THE PRECIPITATION FORMING LAYER ABOVE THE SURFACE...THAT THE PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL TRANSITION POSSIBLY FOR A SHORT TIME TO SLEET. AND THEN FOR A LONGER PERIOD TO FREEZING RAIN LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. LOCATIONS WITHIN THE I-80 CORRIDOR WILL BE SLOWEST TO CHANGE...AND MAY STAY ALL SNOW. LATEST NAM/GFS RUN SHOWS A SWATH OF QUARTER TO HALF INCH PRECIP BETWEEN 09Z TO 15Z TONIGHT OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE CWA...WITH LIFT WEAKENING FOR A PERIOD DURING TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS COULD BE A PERIOD OF VERY SIGNIFICANT ICING ACROSS THIS AREA... WHICH COULD LEAD TO TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES...IN ADDITION TO TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. EXPECTING THE WARM SURGE TO PUSH NORTH INTO THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE CWA TUESDAY AFTERNOON...CHANGING PRECIP OVER TO RAIN. SO HAVE ENDED THE WARNING OVER CENTRAL COUNTIES TUESDAY AFTERNOON TO COINCIDE WITH THIS RAIN CHANGEOVER.-- End Changed Discussion -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 236 PM EST MON JAN 31 2011 .SYNOPSIS... A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM COMING NORTHEAST FROM TEXAS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY WEDNESDAY. THE NORTHWARD PASSAGE OF THE SYSTEMS WARM FRONT WILL CAUSE TEMPERATURES TO WARM. SO SNOW TONIGHT CAN CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN AND EVEN RAIN FOR A TIME LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. THE SYSTEMS COLD FRONT WILL THEN BRING A CHILL DOWN LATE WEDNESDAY WITH A CHANGE BACK TO SNOW. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/... -- Changed Discussion --PRETTY GOOD MODEL CONSENSUS...HAS LED TO GREATER FORECAST CONFIDENCE. THEREFORE...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUED. ISENTROPIC LIFT DEVELOPING IN ASSOCIATION WITH WARM FRONTOGENISIS IS PRODUCING LIGHT PRECIP JUST SOUTH OF THE CWA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH RAIN FAR SOUTH EARLY. THIS AREA OF LIGHT SNOW WILL WORK NORTH THIS EVENING. EXPECT SUFFICIENT WARM UP IN THE PRECIPITATION FORMING LAYER ABOVE THE SURFACE...THAT THE PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL TRANSITION POSSIBLY FOR A SHORT TIME TO SLEET. AND THEN FOR A LONGER PERIOD TO FREEZING RAIN LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. LOCATIONS WITHIN THE I-80 CORRIDOR WILL BE SLOWEST TO CHANGE...AND MAY STAY ALL SNOW. LATEST NAM/GFS RUN SHOWS A SWATH OF QUARTER TO HALF INCH PRECIP BETWEEN 09Z TO 15Z TONIGHT OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE CWA...WITH LIFT WEAKENING FOR A PERIOD DURING TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS COULD BE A PERIOD OF VERY SIGNIFICANT ICING ACROSS THIS AREA... WHICH COULD LEAD TO TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES...IN ADDITION TO TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. EXPECTING THE WARM SURGE TO PUSH NORTH INTO THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE CWA TUESDAY AFTERNOON...CHANGING PRECIP OVER TO RAIN. SO HAVE ENDED THE WARNING OVER CENTRAL COUNTIES TUESDAY AFTERNOON TO COINCIDE WITH THIS RAIN CHANGEOVER.-- End Changed Discussion -- I just read that and I am worried about power outages and tree damage as my neighborhood is covered with trees. Let's hope it is not that bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 with ice? you dont want that do you? Well, Id take up .15 of ice if meant more snow however I do not wish for a paralyzing ice storm. NWS makes mention that areas around I-80 may not even changeover from snow so that was the premise of my comment. IF the power does go out, I will be glad for my new vent-less natural gas heater I installed over Christmas. Family will be moving downstairs to the game room to keep warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jen16226 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Well, Id take up .15 of ice if meant more snow however I do not wish for a paralyzing ice storm. NWS makes mention that areas around I-80 may not even changeover from snow so that was the premise of my comment. IF the power does go out, I will be glad for my new vent-less natural gas heater I installed over Christmas. Family will be moving downstairs to the game room to keep warm. I work down in your neck of the woods........however since I live in that lovely area not too far north, I already told my boss I won't be in tomorrow. Hooray I will be sleeping in, crocheting and watching the storm unfold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I work down in your neck of the woods........however since I live in that lovely area not too far north, I already told my boss I won't be in tomorrow. Hooray I will be sleeping in, crocheting and watching the storm unfold. Probably not a bad idea to plan on staying home if you can. I imagine schools up that will probably be closed. NAM prints out almost .5 in ice on the 18z run per text output. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwc Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 18Z NAM is ridiculous! Almost .5" ice followed by over 1" of rain. Talk about a mess! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Z Probably not a bad idea to plan on staying home if you can. I imagine schools up that will probably be closed. NAM prints out almost .5 in ice on the 18z run per text output. Living in extreme southern Allegheny County, I'll hopefully be spared somewhat from the ice. It'll turn to rain sooner here. Of course, even if I get half of that .5, it'll still be trouble before the changeover. Then some flooding may become a possibility after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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