meatwad Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 0z NAM sucks, way east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Karl_Racki Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Yeah if the 12Z doesn't improve, I may write this off.. I still think it maybe a surprise and kill the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I'm ready to give up...no model support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PittWeatherWatch Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 0Z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
northpittweather Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Yeah just took a long break, Steelers did great, Black and Yellow and just doing a quick look at the models, the GFS shifted much west, Euro has been west along the coast, the only model that hasn't caught on is the NAM honestly we could get good snows if this storm comes near the coast and it will likely will WERE STILL IN THE GAME AND THIS GAME IS IN OVERTIME NOW, THIS COULD BE THE JACKPOT COULD BE A MASSIVE WEATHER WEENIE SUICIDE IN THE I-95 AREA AND COAST AREAS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 They did it, but losing Pouncey is going to kill them IMO.. I am happy they got this far, But Rodgers IMO is a bad matchup, especially in a dome on turf. Geez you're a downer! lol They just won the AFC Championship and you already have them losing the Super Bowl. Enjoy this! And I wouldn't count them out considering what they've been through with injuries this year. They have 2 weeks to heal and Pouncey isn't automatically out of the Super Bowl yet. Even if he is, I thought the line did pretty well without him against a very good Jets defense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Karl_Racki Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Geez you're a downer! lol They just won the AFC Championship and you already have them losing the Super Bowl. Enjoy this! And I wouldn't count them out considering what they've been through with injuries this year. They have 2 weeks to heal and Pouncey isn't automatically out of the Super Bowl yet. Even if he is, I thought the line did pretty well without him against a very good Jets defense. Downer? Did I not say I am happy they went this far? The line did fine? What game were you watching? The second half the offense couldn't even move the ball, they had a span of 5 out of 7 plays were 5 yard losses, they gave up a safety, and got no push. Plus, have you seen Packers offense play in doors? Atlanta game? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I'm ready to give up...no model support. Starting to come down to Canada against the world for us... It's been pretty consistent though The rest look like they are adjusting west but not enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PittWeatherWatch Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 THE NEXT SHORT WAVE IN THE NORTHERN BRANCH WILL PUSH INTO THE WESTERN LAKES BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON WILL PHASE WITH A LOW IN THE SOUTHERN BRANCH ALONG THE GULF COAST. THE STORM WILL MOVE TO THE EAST COAST BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND SHARPLY INTENSIFY. THE STORM WILL BE TOO FAR EAST TO BRING MUCH SNOW TO THE LOCAL AREA WITH THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SOME ACCUMULATION IN EASTERN TUCKER COUNTY IN WEST VIRGINIA AND EASTERN GARRETT COUNTY IN MARYLAND. LITTLE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Pretty decent changes overnight.....SREF's came way west, and now, most put us in the .25-.50 range, and some more than .5...IMO a really good sign considering that they had nothing at all yesterday. GFS/NAM are also both closer..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Pretty decent changes overnight.....SREF's came way west, and now, most put us in the .25-.50 range, and some more than .5...IMO a really good sign considering that they had nothing at all yesterday. GFS/NAM are also both closer..... Yeah, this is still close enough to at least pay attention to it. Looks like the NAM and GFS are still the eastern camp. I think a major hit is off the table (baring some dramatic NW shift) at this point though but I wouldn't rule out areas east of the city getting into maybe a 1-2 inch situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lwg8tr0514 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Pretty decent changes overnight.....SREF's came way west, and now, most put us in the .25-.50 range, and some more than .5...IMO a really good sign considering that they had nothing at all yesterday. GFS/NAM are also both closer..... Yea stayed tuned, fat lady was warming up but not singing yet. The Pros all to a man said even the current track modelled was not what was going to happen. I think we may see some more western movement today. Yesterday AM to be on the positive side, some of the models showed this thing sliding off OTS and hitting no one, and that turned out to be crap. Another 100 mile shift west, which is very doable, and some of us from Waynesburg to Kittaning maybe in the money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Karl_Racki Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Looks like NWS 20% of snow after 3PM is going to be go out the window.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Looks like NWS 20% of snow after 3PM is going to be go out the window.. Yeah, the Radar looks to really be breaking up as it approaches SWPA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 DT's map. http://www.wxrisk.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/NE1C.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 DT's map. http://www.wxrisk.co...011/01/NE1C.jpg Looks reasonable. I am skeptical anyone will see 3 inches though given the latest models but I think his general idea of some precip making it back this way has merit. Also, keep in mind the range is 3-8 with the 8 coming to areas in the east, while those in the range on the western fringe would be 3 at most. NAM says no snow for anybody in PA lol. What a forecasting nightmare, glad I only do this for fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lwg8tr0514 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Looks reasonable. I am skeptical anyone will see 3 inches though given the latest models but I think his general idea of some precip making it back this way has merit. Also, keep in mind the range is 3-8 with the 8 coming to areas in the east, while those in the range on the western fringe would be 3 at most. NAM says no snow for anybody in PA lol. What a forecasting nightmare, glad I only do this for fun. I saw in the C Pa thread their NWS office is throwing out the NAM, been too all over the place. I am not even guessing on this storm right now. I may wait till todays 18z or tommorrows 0z to see. With the NAM out to lunch we are down one tool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherman5416 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 12Z GFS is a much better hit for the area. Much farther north than previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 12Z GFS is a much better hit for the area. Much farther north than previous runs. Yeah, verbatim, probably 1-2 inches for areas from the City on east. GGEM is way West, would be rain probably if it verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lwg8tr0514 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 12Z GFS is a much better hit for the area. Much farther north than previous runs. The placement of the center of the low does look the same as the 0z, but looks juicier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 12Z GFS is a much better hit for the area. Much farther north than previous runs. Much better than 6z run, but not that much different than 0z. Precip shield is a little further west with 12z compared to 0z, but not a big hit still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Hey folks, first off great win last night, still trying to find some balance after getting 2 hrs of sleep . As for the weather, everything is still proceeding as I thought, and I don't have much more to say about that. I'm glad we didn't have too long of a walk to diesel (afterparty) last night, because it was :shiver: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherman5416 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Much better than 6z run, but not that much different than 0z. Precip shield is a little further west with 12z compared to 0z, but not a big hit still. True, but at this point I would be happy with 2 or 3 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 12z CMC went east and took the precip with it... 12z run on top, 0z below... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lwg8tr0514 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 12z CMC went east and took the precip with it... 12z run on top, 0z below... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Sounds like the Euro jogged a bit east, but also lessened the NW extent of the precip shield too. I haven't seen or read any qpf totals for Pitt but would guess there is nothing for us on the Euro. I think by tonight's 00z runs a pretty solid consensus should have developed and if we are going to see it go east or west by 50-75 miles this is about the last shot. Looking at the best case scenario we only get about 1-2 inches so its about time to pack this one up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Karl_Racki Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Hey folks, first off great win last night, still trying to find some balance after getting 2 hrs of sleep . As for the weather, everything is still proceeding as I thought, and I don't have much more to say about that. I'm glad we didn't have too long of a walk to diesel (afterparty) last night, because it was :shiver: So you still think 6" +? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 Sounds like the Euro jogged a bit east, but also lessened the NW extent of the precip shield too. I haven't seen or read any qpf totals for Pitt but would guess there is nothing for us on the Euro. I think by tonight's 00z runs a pretty solid consensus should have developed and if we are going to see it go east or west by 50-75 miles this is about the last shot. Looking at the best case scenario we only get about 1-2 inches so its about time to pack this one up. Euro QPF KPIT - .1" KLBE - .2" KAOO/KJST - .25" KUNV - .15" KBTP/KBVI - .05" all have 2m temps above 0C during heaviest period... I personally think it would be all snow that far west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderhead Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 12z European QPF for PIT Wed-Thu is about 0.15". Better than nothing. It also trended drier for those in NE PA/Upstate NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 So you still think 6" +? Yes. I know that's a crappy answer, but it's all I have right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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