moneypitmike Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 00Z run: http://www.nco.ncep....0/model_m.shtml thx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 The western qpf gradient is much more intense this run... interesting I think an intense qpf gradient makes sense, as this low bombs out and the mid level lows move east and develop. Obviously the exact location will have a huge outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Naked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 What did the Euro spit out last night? 1.00" over you, 1.25" down in extreme SW Ct and Eastern LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 if the nam is right it'll kinda be like 12/19/09 for attlehole...intense band comes up from the south but is transient and sets up somewhere to the west. Brief dryslot would probably occur...but then ccb eventually comes slamming back. We'll see. It looks pretty wild down in your old hood. What town did you grow up in, again?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Naked. With your locks covering all private parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Is it not odd that the NAM and GFS are making no attempt to converge? I mean - we are basically at D1 here. One of them is going to lose - bad. Good point, Could be some suicides if its the Nam........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Confuzzled Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 QPF map gets even better for 36 HR total precip...wow I am not even going to look because you have to be joking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 It looks pretty wild down in your old hood. What town did you grow up in, again?? I grew up on the north fork of long island...about 20 min west of the orient point ferry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 if the nam is right it'll kinda be like 12/19/09 for attlehole...intense band comes up from the south but is transient and sets up somewhere to the west. Brief dryslot would probably occur...but then ccb eventually comes slamming back. We'll see. What do you know, dryslotting/ precip issues for Attleboro/Seekonk. whats this groundhog day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Naked. Dont do that...u wl scare the wildlife away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I am not even going to look because you have to be joking I'll make you look Just incredible at how widespread this is. I just can't believe the NAM is NOT backing off any. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Good point, Could be some suicides if its the Nam........... I'd be more worried if the GFS weren't alone, and the NAM, Euro, RGEM, etc. weren't all hammering us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grinch1989 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I am not even going to look because you have to be joking Please make a new weenie map for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Anybody want to throw out numbers for ASH/MHT/CON? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Would love to SE a Wallt Drag AFD, transportation shutdown, life threatening road closures etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 had to save this one...12z NAM has a 2.34" QPF asterisk literally right on top of me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 NAM just punishes SNE with some Old Testament ****. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Is it not odd that the NAM and GFS are making no attempt to converge? I mean - we are basically at D1 here. One of them is going to lose - bad. GFS will lose. It's becoming the bigger outlier, and as Tip would say, it has no business handling such a storm. Not saying the NAM will end up 100% right with these amounts though because...yeahhh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cannae Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 The mesoscales sure seem to be picking up something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Would love to SE a Wallt Drag AFD, transportation shutdown, life threatening road closures etc. Don't forget the heart attacks. They should bring him in like a guest DJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 So the 12 shifts just a nudge east and fends off the dryslot from BOS... this? This I like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I grew up on the north fork of long island...about 20 min west of the orient point ferry. Per NAM, it looks like they should be just west of any mixing..if I'm right with the town's location. That area through CT looks to go nuts for about 4-6 hrs, as the whole thing goes to town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grinch1989 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 1.00" over you, 1.25" down in extreme SW Ct and Eastern LI Verbatim WCT is not in the HECS type snow by much, so I'm hoping we lock in right here, which I think is a good bet. SUNY MM5 and ARM should be interesting in a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 had to save this one...12z NAM has a 2.34" QPF asterisk literally right on top of me Not sure what is left from this past weekend, but if anything close to this were to verify, would there be roof issues in CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 So the 12 shifts just a nudge east and fends off the dryslot from BOS... this? This I like. It still tries to come up here..may even get west for a time, but it is east of 06z with the whole ccb. Maybe if the CF collapses more se, that would help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Anybody want to throw out numbers for ASH/MHT/CON? 12-16 I bet, with spot 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 9z ETA made a shift SE. Looks like a track over ACK as opposed to up Cweats fanny. edit: 9z RSM has a track outside of ACK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Well you know, when you take a look at the amount of moisture advection going on a 925/850 it's no surprise the NAM is throwing out these insane totals, were looking at a 60-80 kt LLJ coming feeding into the region from the SE...plus you have the perfect storm track so were in the PERFECT spot for the strongest lift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 This seems amazing. Love snowstorms on top of snow. Condolences to snow lovers in Chicagoland. I have been thinking...really can't remember the last time I had a good snowstorm on top of already decent snowpack. its been awhile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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