Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Thanks scooter falls in line nicely with 6-12, Dr. Mel ftw. LOL Oh Lord Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 1 - 1.25 for the southern half of NH Same as 00z. Sounds great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Didn't really think it would do that, but I guess not a shock. Not sure what to make of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Trop fold?? yeah was afraid that was going to get buried in the posts. that's off the nam verbatim. pretty close! LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 philly / nyc threads going into panic mode over 12z euro.... fmartin says euro caved toward euro...however this maybe more qpf amounts for them is the following accurate for qpf? seems high for bos? per a poster about the euro PHL only .25 NYC about .50 Boston 2.00 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 The RUC changes over all of SE CT, RI, SE MA. Tight to the coast probably track over or near the canal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Lock that mutha down NOW! Best euro run yet here.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Trop fold?? Whats the euro do for me to you to Bob? Cold enough? QPF? If we're following the same pattern as 3 days ago there will be a minor correction again tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Hook FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Gibbs..post your answer key you just sent me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I'm standing here, screaming and irresponsibly waving a gun at the heads of all the mets: Will, Scott, Ekster... And I have just one question: How much for Boston? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Read above.... 1-1.25 would be incredible. OK GYX, time to bump us up to 10-16. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 philly / nyc threads going into panic mode over 12z euro.... fmartin says euro caved toward euro...however this maybe more qpf amounts for them is the following accurate for qpf? seems high for bos? per a poster about the euro PHL only .25 NYC about .50 Boston 2.00 inches I dunno about 2" for BOS...I think that is too much...it looks more like 1.6 or 1.7" or so to me. They definitely get absolutely hammered though. Its still a fantastic run for anyone east of the CT Valley....its west of there where this makes a difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Same as 00z. Sounds great. you are very much safely inside that zone...............1.25+ zone is not far off, near 495 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 Guess we'll see if the 15z SREF's shed any light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Best euro run yet here.......... Good trends but can't do cartwheels yet. Well, maybe a somersault or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 philly / nyc threads going into panic mode over 12z euro.... fmartin says euro caved toward euro...however this maybe more qpf amounts for them is the following accurate for qpf? seems high for bos? per a poster about the euro PHL only .25 NYC about .50 Boston 2.00 inches If you just posted inaccurate info I am going to sue you for rehabilitation costs for the stroke I just had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 WOW, Nice bump up here on qpf, .50" to 1.25"....... But it doesn't have armageddon-like totals in CT, so it must be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 you are very much safely inside that zone...............1.25 zone is not far off, near 495 Yeah, only a few miles away. Great run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Lock that mutha down NOW! Getting better! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Same as 00z. Sounds great. dom, what do you think our ratios wil be? 12 to 1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 i would definitely go w/10-15" for metro Boston at this point, not really sold at all on anything over 18" though. I think the NAM is too amped up plus considering the fact that EC of 24 h ago has verified better than the NAM. I just think the max QPF will be NW of where the GFS has it over SE Mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 non-experimental nmm and arw running http://www.nco.ncep....wprod/analysis/ wow nmm has about 3" QPF for our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 dom, what do you think our ratios wil be? 12 to 1? Better question for the mets...but personally I'm thinking 10:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Yes, Slight Hook left around the cape elbow, 1.00-1.25" towards us to the midcoast....... Thanks for the update! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 But it doesn't have armageddon-like totals in CT, so it must be wrong. I don't know, I think i may ride this horse, The Suuny MM5 was similar with the bands being further NNW as well.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gibbsfreeenergy Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Gibbs..post your answer key you just sent me... i think a blend of 15z sref+euro+meso modeling will be answer key this afternoon. still supports widespread 10-20 with locally 24 possible. All we are really figuring out is exactly when and where the mid level circ closes off over the coastal in order to create the anomalous U wind jet and setup deformation band. Sooner it does it, more western track, and more moisture on anomalous -U wind throws heavier precip farther west..later...its a bit east. All just details at this point for exactly where the centroid of max snow is. I still always shade northwest of 700mb low track as my best area, which is typically also northwest of qpf max in model world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 The RUC changes over all of SE CT, RI, SE MA. Tight to the coast probably track over or near the canal. "changes over" to rain? Wow, that sucks. I don't want to see this track any tighter, and a risk of rain in my neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I don't know, I think i may ride this horse, The Suuny MM5 was similar with the bands being further NNW as well.......... Didn't the MM5 nail the 12/26 banding? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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