Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Again don"t even look at or use any GFS products for this..garbage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I see diminishing winds with fog and readings close to 50 right when this tracks over Muskeget Channel to our west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 On 1/11/2011 at 12:26 PM, CT Rain said: I think the 6z GFS ramped up QPF a bit for you. Not really...just barely into the 0.75" zone...maybe it was a tight tick up from 0z. Not really concerned seeing as it's the eastern outlier...just commenting on how it still seems out to lunch. I'm more concerned the NAM will still set the trend and The storm will wind up dryslotting SE CT while SW CT cashes in again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 On 1/11/2011 at 11:52 AM, CapeCodWeather.net said: no kidding. its crazy Not to sound weenie-ish but when I first saw the maps this AM from BOX I was a little surprised. It looks more like a 06z NAM track vs a SREF/Euro one. Thy must be hedging themselves. Hopefully the 12z suite will put to rest any uncertainty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 On 1/11/2011 at 12:30 PM, CT Blizz said: Again don"t even look at or use any GFS products for this..garbage I certainly would take the GFS over the NAM normally. The Euro coming west though is a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Aight off to a funeral... please keep me posted with text updates at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 On 1/11/2011 at 12:34 PM, CT Rain said: Aight off to a funeral... please keep me posted with text updates at 12z Ugh, sorry to hear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I know this is a MBY question, but mixing on the north shore with the latest models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 On 1/11/2011 at 12:35 PM, CoastalWx said: Ugh, sorry to hear. paul's grandmother... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 On 1/11/2011 at 12:37 PM, SnowMan said: I know this is a MBY question, but mixing on the north shore with the latest models? I think you'll be ok...maybe Rockport or Gloucester possibly for a brief time, but looks ok for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 On 1/11/2011 at 12:33 PM, Mr. Windcredible! said: Not really...just barely into the 0.75" zone...maybe it was a tight tick up from 0z. Not really concerned seeing as it's the eastern outlier...just commenting on how it still seems out to lunch. I'm more concerned the NAM will still set the trend and The storm will wind up dryslotting SE CT while SW CT cashes in again. Such a large top loaded system even on the NAM, can you explain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 On 1/11/2011 at 12:39 PM, CoastalWx said: I think you'll be ok...maybe Rockport or Gloucester possibly for a brief time, but looks ok for now. Thanks...I am a little east of Ray...in Danvers, so I try to gauge my thoughts for this area based on what he is expecting. Valid to do so or would there be significant differences? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 On 1/11/2011 at 12:15 PM, weathafella said: Clouds have moved in....glad to see it as it keeps it colder but didn't expect. 17.4/11 You know, I didn't even notice sky cover. Sun's shinging and blue overhead, but immediately to my SW is a bank of clouds. Get excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 On 1/11/2011 at 12:43 PM, SnowMan said: Thanks...I am a little east of Ray...in Danvers, so I try to gauge my thoughts for this area based on what he is expecting. Valid to do so or would there be significant differences? You're fine in Danvers. Maybe the dryslot gets close..that's a bigger danger for you, rather than ptype. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 On 1/11/2011 at 12:37 PM, SnowMan said: I know this is a MBY question, but mixing on the north shore with the latest models? No. With such intesity thermal profiles are sufficent throughout the column. Dryslot S and E of Boston is more a concern ATT. Got that feeling. Ya know that cold dry snow feel. It gon snow bigtime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 without reading through 29 pages of last nights thread, can someone give me the low-down on last nights euro? did it track the low outside the cape, up the canal, or what? just trying to get an idea on what to expect in the KCON area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 On 1/11/2011 at 12:30 PM, CT Blizz said: Again don"t even look at or use any GFS products for this..garbage I wouldn't ride it solo but you have to factor in it to the equation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 On 1/11/2011 at 12:45 PM, SJonesWX said: without reading through 29 pages of last nights thread, can someone give me the low-down on last nights euro? did it track the low outside the cape, up the canal, or what? just trying to get an idea on what to expect in the KCON area. Start reading j/ k Over ACK, snow bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Lowest buoy pressure I could find... http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Can't wait til the gfs is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neweathereye Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 On 1/11/2011 at 12:22 PM, HubbDave said: Just a gorgeous sunrise this morning, lots of pinks, reds Red Sky in morning... er something... GFS is boring, NAM means take warning? I forget Red sky in the morning, sailors take warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 On 1/11/2011 at 12:22 PM, CoastalWx said: The 06z NAM also introduces the idea of possible meso screw zones for some. Another thing to complicate. GC would probably be buried with the 06z NAM track, but the forcing with this is so incredible. BOS could have most of their snow in a 4-6 hr period. As well as here........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 There are a handful of wrf/nmm runs that are much further se. Not important to most folks but this area it makes a huge huge difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 On 1/11/2011 at 12:30 PM, CT Blizz said: Again don"t even look at or use any GFS products for this..garbage Why would anyone look at that piece of junk right now unless it was showing a blizzard....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 On 1/11/2011 at 1:00 PM, Dryslot said: Why would anyone look at that piece of junk right now unless it was showing a blizzard....... I'm keeping it in mind. Just because it's a big let down for us up here I'm not discounting it. I'm thinking 6" mby ... hopefully that is too low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 On 1/11/2011 at 12:42 PM, Ginx said: Such a large top loaded system even on the NAM, can you explain? I'm no model expert...so I cant...other than to say the GFS sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 On 1/11/2011 at 12:48 PM, Ginx said: Start reading j/ k Over ACK, snow bomb cool, thanks I am thinking that this could be the first storm in over 4 years in which I break the 12" mark. of course it could be that i just jinxed it my thinking that. I look forward to measuring 11.5" tomorrow afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 On 1/11/2011 at 12:59 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: There are a handful of wrf/nmm runs that are much further se. Not important to most folks but this area it makes a huge huge difference. Phil MM 5 seems to be lock in step with Euro at fine detail, jackpots ELI RI BOS North Shore. I like its setup look. You would be OK.Also the geostrophic flow on this storm is signaling cold underbelly JMHO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 On 1/11/2011 at 12:30 PM, ackwaves said: I see diminishing winds with fog and readings close to 50 right when this tracks over Muskeget Channel to our west. Typical BS. These tracks always do this. Hopefully it goes east at the eleventh hour. I'm sick of western Suffolk County getting dumped on storm and storm the past decade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 On 1/11/2011 at 1:08 PM, HarveyLeonardFan said: Typical BS. These tracks always do this. Hopefully it goes east at the eleventh hour. I'm sick of western Suffolk County getting dumped on storm and storm the past decade. Valium available at the party see Wiz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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