frozenoze Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 ah ha BOX finally updated - WSW all around! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 wow...the 6z NAM bufkit has 35 units of omega crossing into the region of best snow growth with the -15C contour crossing right through it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 20"+ from me points west to Will. Will, are you feeling a little better about some 20" lollis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 20"+ from me points west to Will. Will, are you feeling a little better about some 20" lollis Yeah a bit...after 00z suite and seeing the >12" SREFs. I just like to make sure there isn't huge last second trends that could screw it up, but I don't think we'll see that at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/cobb_namm/nam_kbdl.dat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 http://www.meteor.ia...mm/nam_kbdl.dat Good God Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Good God Nice 29:1 ratios going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 RGEM is pretty obscene...looks closer to the SREF jackpot rather than the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Nice 29:1 ratios going. Those totals of 34'' are composed of the 29:1 ratios with only 1.55'' of QPF Imagine if QPF was closer to 2'' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Yea, RGEM jackpot Attlehole and NE RI (1.6")....a hair s of the SREF. I think 12:1 ratios are a safe bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 RGEM is pretty obscene...looks closer to the SREF jackpot rather than the NAM. What areas did the SREF jackpot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 What areas did the SREF jackpot? Norwood area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I think the EURO is a good compromise.....between the NAM and RGEM\SREF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Norwood area. Certainly could see that happening, somewhere out in that vicinity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 06z GFS thru 12h is a bit more amped than the 00z run. Not surprising considering how the 00z run was on the southeast envelope of guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Certainly could see that happening, somewhere out in that vicinity. I think it may end up a bit N of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 GFS reamains stubbornly over the BM....it will come around at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I think it may end up a bit N of there. Actually I agree with you. I had thought Norwood was a bit further north but I checked on a map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Actually I agree with you. I had thought Norwood was a bit further north but I checked on a map. I like my area (ducks and runs off to bed). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Just woke up to hit the can...asleep since 1130...holy ****e...this thread should be put in the weenie hall of fame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I like my area (ducks and runs off to bed). I definitely would feel very good if I were in your position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Yeah GFS has been stubborn, but its probably wrong. We'll find out very soon though. I'd be leaning toward the consensus of the Euro/ensembles/SREF...somewhere in that camp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Yeah GFS has been stubborn, but its probably wrong. We'll find out very soon though. I'd be leaning toward the consensus of the Euro/ensembles/SREF...somewhere in that camp. Euro is in the middle of the SREF and NAM.....good comprmise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Those totals of 34'' are composed of the 29:1 ratios with only 1.55'' of QPF Imagine if QPF was closer to 2'' It's not 29:1 the entire time but still..the BUFKIT totals did this same thing for the Boxing Day storm. It's fun to look at them for kicks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 GFS QPF amounts still make me a little nervous back this way Luckily it's on the lower side of guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 GFS QPF amounts still make me a little nervous back this way Luckily it's on the lower side of guidance. Only a matter of miles from this becoming an advisory event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 It's not 29:1 the entire time but still..the BUFKIT totals did this same thing for the Boxing Day storm. It's fun to look at them for kicks. It's always good to keep yourself entertained by looking at stuff like that...so long you don't set your expectations on it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Only a matter of miles from this becoming an advisory event. Luckily every other model is much more juicy, if something like the Euro and SREFS were towards the GFS than I'd be very concerned and probably wouldn't have done 10-20'' statewide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Clown map jackpot BABY! pretty confident GFS is playing catch up on the nam. i just don't want the nam to come in any more west! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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