WeatherX Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Well, this might be fun lol..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 3z ETA goes right over cweat's fanny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 You can't compare this storm to Boxing Day....it will never mature as early as that one was. There could be some brief dryslot issues with a 12/9/05 track, but even on this run you get destroyed. I know that....I just meant that this is just about as far I would want....a little too far even. I agree it's probably overdone, but the EURO is still trickling west..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I wonder what weenie hacked NCEP and ran this run off their own computer, lol....those qpf totals are ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I did NOT drink a 40 just to get 3 hours of sleep, was hoping for at least 5-6. But it's nice to wake up and read posts about the Euro showing a nice pounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 3z ETA goes right over cweat's fanny. That is def. a problem for E MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I wonder what weenie hacked NCEP and ran this run off their own computer, lol....those qpf totals are ridiculous. Holy crap you're right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin W Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I'm surprised no warnings have been put up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Holy crap, look at those >8" and >12" odds? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Regardless of what the QPF looks like, this run would have dry slot concerns inside of ORH-ASH and the ETA, I don't even want to look at. Hopefully the EURO doesn't trend anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Looks like a pretty big increase from the last run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Just rotting in the GOM through 45hr. 2"+ for NE MA/SE NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I would say no way but the NAM 06z run is realistic based on the continuous amplification trends in the height field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Regardless of what the QPF looks like, this run would have dry slot concerns inside of ORH-ASH and the ETA, I don't even want to look at. Hopefully the EURO doesn't trend anymore. I had worries about something like this potentially happening, hoping it doesn't pan out that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 This run gives me like 2.2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I'm going to overload; one half of mind interprets this as the odds for a HECS have increased, the other sees visions of Hbb Dave and Pete doing naked jack pot angels while I dry slot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 This run gives me like 2.2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 This one would be a crushing here, I'd probably get a good 14-18'' . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 More like 1.9".....2"+ jackpot is likely cf attributed and is just NW of me. That is over 20" here with ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Won't rest until a brotha has seen a clown map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 The way this thing nukes...it even keeps BOS all snow this run despite a track tucked that close in, I just checked all their soundings. The low is so compact and bombing so fast it tries to suck everything toward the center of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I'm intrigued to see what BOX will do with their next snowfall map update, also wonder when the warnings begin to fly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Won't rest until a brotha has seen a clown map. Have an Allan clown map. I'm off to bed. Up in 2hrs for work. Damn models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 The way this thing nukes...it even keeps BOS all snow this run despite a track tucked that close in, I just checked all their soundings. The low is so compact and bombing so fast it tries to suck everything toward the center of it. Will, this looks like an absolutely amazing snowstorm that will kill our sanitation department yet again! 2 HECS and its still not even the middle of January lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 The way this thing nukes...it even keeps BOS all snow this run despite a track tucked that close in, I just checked all their soundings. The low is so compact and bombing so fast it tries to suck everything toward the center of it. This phenomenon happens further down the coast too...its why NYC could stay all snow despite a track that possibly kisses E LI. You normally need a compact nuking low to do that. 12/9/05 probably would have kept BOS all snow if it hadn't been so early in the season with the SSTs....as was, it only changed them over for a a couple to 3 hours and then we know happened later. And again, that was with a track over Buzzards Bay inside the Canal. When the low is compact and nuking like that, you can see different rules WRT to tracks and R/S lines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Have an Allan clown map. I'm off to bed. Up in 2hrs for work. Damn models. I'm seriously hoping that white area is the 19+ and not the under 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 30.4 H7 VV @ hr 30!!: http://68.226.77.253/text/meso/NAM_KBED.txt Maxes me out at 32.7*......HELLO CF!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 The way this thing nukes...it even keeps BOS all snow this run despite a track tucked that close in, I just checked all their soundings. The low is so compact and bombing so fast it tries to suck everything toward the center of it. lol it sounds like a black hole sucking everything in, maybe complete with antimatter (thunderstorms) and a gravity wave or two to boot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 lol it sounds like a black hole sucking everything in, maybe complete with antimatter (thunderstorms) and a gravity wave or two to boot Well there would be all sorts of weird stuff if a NAM type solution verifies...probably a lot of thundersnow...good chance at gravity wave....who else knows. Maybe even a tropofold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 This phenomenon happens further down the coast too...its why NYC could stay all snow despite a track that possibly kisses E LI. You normally need a compact nuking low to do that. 12/9/05 probably would have kept BOS all snow if it hadn't been so early in the season with the SSTs....as was, it only changed them over for a a couple to 3 hours and then we know happened later. And again, that was with a track over Buzzards Bay inside the Canal. When the low is compact and nuking like that, you can see different rules WRT to tracks and R/S lines. Yea ppl in our thread are comparing it to the Millenium storm in how a west track can still keep it all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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