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New England Storm Dicussion - January 11-12


Baroclinic Zone

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Yes but it's a great run and colder vs 18Z....

I'm feeling good due west of the city.

Doesn't matter, Even the 12/26 storm didn't change or taint the snow in Boston and they got 18.2" If this system is colder and has a stronger High then I believe it will be all snow with very little mixing if any ecept fo r the far south shore, cape and islands.

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yeah i agree. the NAM would be a decent fit to BOX's snowmap for a lot of immediate eastern areas IMO...save for maybe down here where it would be overdone. i think that nam run would have a hard time producing much more than a couple/three inches IMBY...less east but substantially more somewhere west of me...maybe out by you or a hair west. it will be a very tight gradient between essentially nothing and 10" of snow i think for this general area.

I think we'd be in the same boat per the NAM we'd change quickly too.

It's the 33-36 hour panels that I question on the NAM and will until probably the 12z in the AM even if the others follow suit tonight.

We have an epic burst of UVV's off NJ at hour 33. At that exact moment the entire trough is instantly energized all the way back through the base of it the vorticity increases at a tremendous rate and we have a center jump effectively (contours aren't closed but it'll be there) by 36 hours as it rides up over Bob's head.

Not saying it isn't plausible, hopefully for a lot of folks including the bottom of my skiis it's supported by the others.

If the NAM is right this will be one fo the most incredible thumps I've ever seen.

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