BrokenASOS Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Nice looking eye??? Yeah, definitely wouldn't be surprising. And visible imagery will be ..well visible..during the height of everything which will be really nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 This run actually is great for LI but NYC is a bit too far west of the best dynamics. Same for NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 the greedy part of me lets the mind think about doubling my season snow total in Cambridge with this one storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Takes its sweet time letting up too. This could be a great one especially in view of the daytime or normal human awake time occurrence. Just an awesome thing if this could play out. Heck, even GC clears 1.25 on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Interesting the 21z SREFs have the highest probabilities of 12"+ snow near BDR/HVN/ISP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 -- I love the NAM. It's the Forrest Gump model, modeling is like a box of chocolates you never know what you'll get every six hours. Will be interesting to see how the other models handle it and whether it scored a coup. Honestly, I'm just relieved it didn't go over the canal again. I think consensus is starting converge on or a weenie's throw from Nantucket Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 ETauntonMA like the 00z NAM. Thanks Brian. Dude we are about to get crushed! lol if this verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 This run could have the CCB setup across central MA down through central CT and then pivot to cover much of NE MA. Not to be IMBY but I feel very good for this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 What was it Tip was saying about not discounting the NAM yesterday? Word of caution - do not discount the NAM in this type of scenario: It's high resolution and superior convective schemes (it is a tremendous tool in the summer for initiation btw, a hidden skill set...OT) suffice a system of this type that will be highly responsive to subtle smaller scale thermal field details - this is in particular why it scored so hugely for the Dec 9 2005 event. I've read some posts about outlier this and that and I think that is a mistake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Juicy run. 1.5+ for 2/3 of MA, most of CT, all of RI. 1+ from PWM-CON S and E. 0.75+ down east and up to the Lakes Region of NH and including S VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 What's great about these types of storms is that so many people bail on going to work that I'll have a smooth ride into Boston in my 4WD. This is going to be awesome viewing out of my 24th floor office looking east. December 5, 2005 was one of the most amazing days of viewing from that location. I may actually be exited to go to work for a change! Can it get through 12" of snow ok? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 ETaunton, what are you thinking for totals around our area? Do you think we have to worry about and mixing in this? This solution is better than the 18z NAM. It intensifies faster so that prevents a lot of warm air from invading. Verbatim this is an 15-20" solution for mby. There could be some pingers as there always is with these dynamic systems, but verbatim, I love this solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattdWX Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Boston-Providence sweet spot a possibility Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rivers Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Interesting the 21z SREFs have the highest probabilities of 12"+ snow near BDR/HVN/ISP perhaps a deformation zone sets up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 First call... too detailed? lol thats great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 anyone wanna guess where the nam clown map jackpot is (even thou damn near all of us do well) i would say union to NW RI up to ORH/495 and toward ray -ray. exactly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeVries Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 What's great about these types of storms is that so many people bail on going to work that I'll have a smooth ride into Boston in my 4WD. This is going to be awesome viewing out of my 24th floor office looking east. December 5, 2005 was one of the most amazing days of viewing from that location. I may actually be exited to go to work for a change! I work underground. At least things will be very slow that day. I'll take lots of breaks to the upper floors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 This is pretty damn impressive...the NAM has been getting juicer rather than cutting back totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Was the first 45hr image you posted from 18z? I'm guessing it was. Drats. Ahh crap. This is what I meant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Yeah, definitely wouldn't be surprising. And visible imagery will be ..well visible..during the height of everything which will be really nice. Some classic vis sat shots will be had on Weds... Future Schwartz/Kocin book cover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 IMBY post....I like it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Dude we are about to get crushed! lol if this verifies. Yeah we are Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Nothing wrong with a reach around every once in a while. With that being said, are we looking at some people seeing close to 24 hours of precip? You're not suggesting snow into Thursday, are you mister?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 NAM says no but you and I both know there aren't many times CT gets 2' and we stay all snow. This may be that time. It does sneak the 1000-850 c/t well over both of us. I may be close but I've lived here long enough to know the line will be 5-7 miles west even in this situation here. -- I love the NAM. It's the Forrest Gump model, modeling is like a box of chocolates you never know what you'll get every six hours. Will be interesting to see how the other models handle it and whether it scored a coup. yeah i agree. the NAM would be a decent fit to BOX's snowmap for a lot of immediate eastern areas IMO...save for maybe down here where it would be overdone. i think that nam run would have a hard time producing much more than a couple/three inches IMBY...less east but substantially more somewhere west of me...maybe out by you or a hair west. it will be a very tight gradient between essentially nothing and 10" of snow i think for this general area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 the low just goes crazy...1000mb at 30hr to 986mb at 36hr to 977mb at 42hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 This solution is better than the 18z NAM. It intensifies faster so that prevents a lot of warm air from invading. Verbatim this is an 15-20" solution for mby. There could be some pingers as there always is with these dynamic systems, but verbatim, I love this solution. Bob, you are money with these threads. Ullr will bless you with copious snow Possibly a top 5 for you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Tip!! 42124977513 03010 870134 30999693 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Ahh crap. This is what I meant. Nice. If this fantasy holds true, I can be right in the jackpot zone with some of the others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 FOUS adds up to 1.97 in melted qpf all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Too bad this is the NAM showing this. Hard to get too excited until a real model starts banging the drum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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