ineedsnow Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 shift west!? SREF out to 36hrs.. any comments? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Some snow Sat night....... Hope so. 3 day weekend and I travel for 3 days Tues-Thurs next week. FL so hopefully nothing is missed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 shift west!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 SREFs are hair juicier on the NW edge though 36hr and have added more spread to the NW side of the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 baroclinic_instability, on 10 January 2011 - 06:57 PM, said: The 18Z GFS operational just looks bad, and it is no surprise its own ensemble suite is well W. The GFS/ECM ops have been the flattest and weakest from the start 5-6 days ago with this storm as it tracked through the OV. They are holding strong with a weaker solution farther E, but they will likely be wrong in the end--at least to some degree. forkyfork, on 10 January 2011 - 06:58 PM, said: the vort track is nearly perfect for the nyc metro CoastalWx, on 10 January 2011 - 06:59 PM, said: I def would be excited if I lived near NYC and ne NJ. This has the look of some very heavy snow for a time, as the low gets going and before the mid level lows jump east. some of the 3 best mets on the board. don't be suprised if NYC W CT jackpot. what's with this mid level low jump crap......don't we want the mid level lows effecting us longer for the heavy bands to sit on us longer. or am i reading into things too much. Well I just meant I'd be excited...I didn't necessarily mean they would jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonkis Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 The guy in northern Maine is going to be pissed. Didn't have enough map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Toying with us....should be more hours in by now. Nazis.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 look at it it is!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 SREFs are hair juicier on the NW edge though 36hr and have added more spread to the NW side of the low. Link? The NCEP site is only out to 27....maybe I have to clear cache... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 srefs go over ack & chh by the looks of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Well I just meant I'd be excited...I didn't necessarily mean they would jackpot. It is our year, and the SREFs tick back our way too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 SREF FTW: 1'' line extends a hair father in SNH in the later panel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Looks like very near ACK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Breaking News: The 0z NAM appears to be coming up with yet another unique solution at 500. It did adjust at 0h v 18z and it is flatter for sure than that run very early. In other news the SREF's shifted a good bit west. Be nice if it could pick a trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Over ACK? Thats about a 25 mi shift NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 wow looks great!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrokenASOS Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Link? The NCEP site is only out to 27....maybe I have to clear cache... Hand-entering the hours seems to work faster than the tables can adjust. Definitely farther nw this run. Low basically goes over the eastern tip of the Cape 18Z wed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/sref/21/images/sref_x24_054s.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 It is our year, and the SREFs tick back our way too. Yeah you guys are having fun. Someone near and just ne of NYC will get hit hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 The 1 inch contour is more expansive. Also, seems better for NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Looks like the 1'' contour is moved west to include more of the region, much less spread for eastern sections Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Yeah you guys are having fun. Someone near and just ne of NYC will get hit hard. I think LI should get demolished in this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Over ACK? Thats about a 25 mi shift NW. Yep. Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Yeah you guys are having fun. Someone near and just ne of NYC will get hit hard. I will volunteer for a second 12+ in one week...don't think it will happen though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Yep. Nice! And not to mention...AWT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Yeah you guys are having fun. Someone near and just ne of NYC will get hit hard. We are. Glad to hear you say that. I don't want to screw anyone but I like the slight ticks back to the NW we keep seeing. Bring it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 I think LI should get demolished in this. Models really hit LI hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Somehow, the NAM appears even more amped up this run early. EDIT: Maybe a smidge flatter across the east, but more amped in the midwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 One of the first things I always look at with a hugger is 2m termps and happily, it's cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Models really hit LI hard. the entire island? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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