burgertime Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Looks like the GFS is hinting at something around the Jan 19th period. The question will be the temps. We might want to keep an eye on this system though. So what are your thoughts for the next storm if any coming up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 If it's a low bombing off the coast, that would be a better chance than this thing we have today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 10, 2011 Author Share Posted January 10, 2011 If it's a low bombing off the coast, that would be a better chance than this thing we have today. Thanks for your great insight...actually thought the 6z did show a bomb off the coast but again temps were border line for everyone outside of 40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Looks like the GFS is hinting at something around the Jan 19th period. The question will be the temps. We might want to keep an eye on this system though. So what are your thoughts for the next storm if any coming up? Yeah, I noticed this timeframe also...The 12z euro had the storm but a little to far east....Temps look cold though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hugo Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Burger, don't do this to me, man. I'm going to have a stroke by the time this winter is over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterhawk Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Given the flip-flop of temperature predictions for that time frame (I keep going from 20's & 30's to 40's to 60's) I'd say anything is possible; it's probably more likely to happen if the Euro shows it around 4-5 days out; so stay tuned!! NAO forecast keeps flip-flopping also; that's something else to keep a keen eye on.. I'd be interested in what the mets on this board have to say.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelJ Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Looks like the 540 line will be well to our North it is possible we could see some early light Fr. Rain in the normal CAD areas (ie N. NC foothills etc.) but quickly changing to rain and will be mainly rain for the vast majority of the SE if not all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 10, 2011 Author Share Posted January 10, 2011 Yeah, I noticed this timeframe also...The 12z euro had the storm but a little to far east....Temps look cold though! Yea the Euro looked great from this time frame...kind of had the Christmas look to it the low was just a little too south. Burger, don't do this to me, man. I'm going to have a stroke by the time this winter is over. You and me both... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 This has sort of got my attention. Looks like another week of forecasting to come.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tgarren Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 12z euro looks very interesting. trend it a little north and its a carolina crusher. glimmer of hope for those of us that didnt see much from this storm. looks like i won't get decent sleep again until at least feb. this pattern has to end eventually right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx4life Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 At the rate this winter has gone so far with storms and upcoming threats I might just might get a full night sleep in April edit:also,my 3 month time period of ignoring my husband might be extended...Oh,he will be thrilled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowpressure Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Classic Fred G Sanford- nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 10, 2011 Author Share Posted January 10, 2011 Looks like the 540 line will be well to our North it is possible we could see some early light Fr. Rain in the normal CAD areas (ie N. NC foothills etc.) but quickly changing to rain and will be mainly rain for the vast majority of the SE if not all. Here are what the models look like verbatim for the 19th time frame storm 00z GFS would be snow in the lower part of SC 00z Euro too warm for everyone 6z GFS When the bulk of precip moves in 40 N all snow 12z GFS too warm for everyone 12z Euro too far south then it bombs out too far east So there is certainly a chance for someone in and SC...doesn't look to good for GA but you gotta start somewhere...of course it's all tempered with this is 150 hours out. Just figure for a lot of folks who may get shafted in RDU it might be something to take their minds off of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I believe we stand the chance to see one more accumulating winter event this month, whether that be in the form of snow, ice, or both. The pattern supports for such a chance and next mid week might be the time period for the threat. The NAO/AO briefly trend toward the neutral phase around the 16th before going back down negative again with the PNA inching closer and eventually to positive. Also if you haven't noticed, the Pacific seems to be awfully busy with a couple of major storm systems out there. Right now there is one that is closing in on the West Coast and that might be the one that affects us next week, but there's another one on its hills that could be it also (the way I see it). We'll have to keep a close eye on this one but like Burger said, temperatures are going to have to cooperate for this one. Hopefully the folks who are missing out with our current event will be able to get in more snow by that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darkabyssus Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Burger, don't do this to me, man. I'm going to have a stroke by the time this winter is over. That comment just made my day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Here are what the models look like verbatim for the 19th time frame storm 00z GFS would be snow in the lower part of SC 00z Euro too warm for everyone 6z GFS When the bulk of precip moves in 40 N all snow 12z GFS too warm for everyone 12z Euro too far south then it bombs out too far east So there is certainly a chance for someone in and SC...doesn't look to good for GA but you gotta start somewhere...of course it's all tempered with this is 150 hours out. Just figure for a lot of folks who may get shafted in RDU it might be something to take their minds off of it. Wow burger, appreciate you taking the time to look at the models while the current storm is just now exiting stage right...thanks for the initial breakdown for us, now it's time to sit and watch! I'm excited just to have another chance as this one was terrible for my area. If it's a low bombing off the coast, that would be a better chance than this thing we have today. Haha...oh Brick...Keep in mind the fail system we had today for central NC showed a low bombing off the coast at 138 hours out and totals over .8" for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Here are what the models look like verbatim for the 19th time frame storm 00z GFS would be snow in the lower part of SC 00z Euro too warm for everyone 6z GFS When the bulk of precip moves in 40 N all snow 12z GFS too warm for everyone 12z Euro too far south then it bombs out too far east So there is certainly a chance for someone in and SC...doesn't look to good for GA but you gotta start somewhere...of course it's all tempered with this is 150 hours out. Just figure for a lot of folks who may get shafted in RDU it might be something to take their minds off of it. Would like to add that 18z GFS is similar to 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 Would like to add that 18z GFS is similar to 12z GFS. Yep, looks like it might be a great rain producer if nothing else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Yep, looks like it might be a great rain producer if nothing else. Lakes cutter or OTS, with the HP progged to come in on the backside, to weak and it is through the MS Valley, to strong and it is OTS. As modeled by the global, would be an all RN event with a track through the Apps. When does the growing season start? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Lakes cutter or OTS, with the HP progged to come in on the backside, to weak and it is through the MS Valley, to strong and it is OTS. As modeled by the global, would be an all RN event with a track through the Apps. When does the growing season start? Ill favor an OTS track right now... doesnt take much to turn OTS into big snow event in eastern NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Ill favor an OTS track right now... doesnt take much to turn OTS into big snow event in eastern NC It definitely has the potential, Ill be keeping an eye on it throughout the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 spent the last 8 or so days tracking today's storm...can't stand the thought of doing that all over again. Maybe the models will lose it just to bring it back again about 24 hours from the start! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 If it shows it, we will follow.... spent the last 8 or so days tracking today's storm...can't stand the thought of doing that all over again. Maybe the models will lose it just to bring it back again about 24 hours from the start! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 If it shows it, we will follow.... Indeed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 ugh Another winter storm...this snow lovers getting sick of snow. Please come back La Nina haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 We need a widespread foot-plus storm this year, from mountains to the coast! Special Order. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 If it shows it, we will follow.... It's what we do during winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 It's what we do during winter! Dang right! Though I haven't gotten much sleep in the past few days. This is what happens when you become a weather nerd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 As long as it isn't a Miller B. And no more dang dry slots. I'm sick to death of getting dry slotted, while everyone, and I mean everyone, else gets hammered, lol. Gfs has had it for a while around the end of next weekend. I'm waiting, and hoping. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowflake29684 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 lOOKS LIKE THE EURO HAS THIS ONE SHOWING AS WELL GOING TO BE ANOTHER FUN WEEK OF MOSDEL WATCHING NEXT WEEK!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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