BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 It's indivual members look pretty ugly and with the 50 50 low gone it going to be tough to hold in the cold air. I didn't think the threat warranted much discussion. We won't get any snow from this. Remember the seasonal pattern! Agree Agree..Topic Cancel, this will be my last post on this one...See you all in a couple weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 12z euro hr 216 night and day from 0z 0z -36c can. border this run -8c lol huge 500 low hanging out west heights are much higher in the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 We won't get any snow from this. Remember the seasonal pattern! Yeh. It's time for something to cut to the Lakes and bring down more cold air. The cold air will stick around for a while as energy pulls a gently sweeping, left-hand curve after burying Atlanta & Charlotte and before burying NYC-BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2011 Author Share Posted January 12, 2011 this is over. When does the pattern get good wes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaSnow Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 With another low over the great lakes, the high position doesn't inspire confidence. It suggests an easterly component to the winds. The pressures being low over the lakes and higher offshore. Right now I wouldn't invest much in the system. It's not a good pattern for snow or even the surface temps staying below freezing. I noticed that the gfs ensembles are not very bullish. Thanks for bringing reality into the thread, Wes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 12z euro hr 216 night and day from 0z 0z -36c can. border this run -8c lol huge 500 low hanging out west heights are much higher in the east Love me some run-to-run consistency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Love me some run-to-run consistency. everything at h5 is wayyyyyyyyyy different from 0z hr 200 plus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 everything at h5 is wayyyyyyyyyy different from 0z hr 200 plus Now watch it all verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 With another low over the great lakes, the high position doesn't inspire confidence. It suggests an easterly component to the winds. The pressures being low over the lakes and higher offshore. Right now I wouldn't invest much in the system. It's not a good pattern for snow or even the surface temps staying below freezing. I noticed that the gfs ensembles are not very bullish. This folks. I'm on the rain train with this one as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 This folks. I'm on the rain train with this one as well. Well if takes rain to change the seasonal pattern i would take 2" of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Well if takes rain to change the seasonal pattern i would take 2" of it. We need it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Now based on the run beyond 192 hours... The euro wants to dig a peace of energy from the 168 through 192 and beyond into the south west. This might be Euro's south westerly energy bias. Not sure if that can explain the differences between the 0z and the12z in the long run but the energy just dives into the south west and takes up camp there. By hour 240 that energy starts to eject into the plains... there is a ridge at the surface centered off of Florida at this time as well.... combination with the energy coming out of the west equates to south westerly flow over most of the south east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 We need it Well i will take one for the team and waste 20 inches of snow in rainfall if this sets us up for a normal storm down the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Well i will take one for the team and waste 20 inches of snow in rainfall if this sets us up for a normal storm down the road. Just as long as SNE gets theirs, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Just as long as SNE gets theirs, right? Exactly they deserve it they are at like 36" or something already , i am almost like them i am at 3.6" . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 this is over. When does the pattern get good wes? The silence is deafening. That can't be a good sign. I suppose Wes is getting an emotional support team together for you before giving an answer. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Exactly they deserve it they are at like 36" or something already , i am almost like them i am at 3.6" . Traitor. SNE deserves nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Now based on the run beyond 192 hours... The euro wants to dig a peace of energy from the 168 through 192 and beyond into the south west. This might be Euro's south westerly energy bias. Not sure if that can explain the differences between the 0z and the12z in the long run but the energy just dives into the south west and takes up camp there. By hour 240 that energy starts to eject into the plains... there is a ridge at the surface centered off of Florida at this time as well.... combination with the energy coming out of the west equates to south westerly flow over most of the south east. Without the strong la nina, the pattern is looking more ninaish. We need the epo to go negative or to have the ridge over the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Traitor. SNE deserves nothing. I am one of the few with the unpopular opinion that hopes that everyone gets blasted. I just hoped we would not be the only place on the entire east coast getting screwed royally this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Without the strong la nina, the pattern is looking more ninaish. We need the epo to go negative or to have the ridge over the west. Do you mean without the strong blocking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I am one of the few with the unpopular opinion that hopes that everyone gets blasted. I just hoped we would not be the only place on the entire east coast getting screwed royally this winter. I don't mind them getting snow. Hell, they SHOULD get more snow. I dislike the attitude by ANYONE how feels they are more deserving tho. And I do not wish for us to get rain so that they can get the white stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I sure hope we don't have to wait another 5-6 years for wes to get bullish on a 6+ inch snowstorm for DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 This is a bit off topic, but since we are talking about rain it might be o.k. This is some of the most amazing footage of the evolution of a flash flood that I have ever seen. To sit there and watch all five minutes of it, really shows you a lot about the power of that situation. I think it was film yesterday in Australia -- that creek must have rose at least 20 feet in 20 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I sure hope we don't have to wait another 5-6 years for wes to get bullish on a 2+ inch snowstorm for DC. fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanVA Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 We are currently in phase 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Do you mean without the strong blocking? yes, I think I'm going senile. That's happening more and more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I don't mind them getting snow. Hell, they SHOULD get more snow. I dislike the attitude by ANYONE how feels they are more deserving tho. And I do not wish for us to get rain so that they can get the white stuff. Totally agreed that no one is more deserving, they should just be more expectant because they average alot more snow than us in a normal winter. I only wish for rain if that would reset the pattern for us, because the pattern we are in know is causing me to contemplate suicide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAB1 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 My 850mb temp at 240 hrs. 12z 1/12 GFS -18 12z 1/12 Euro +2 Which do you think is going to verify? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 My 850mb temp at 240 hrs. 12z 1/12 GFS -18 12z 1/12 Euro +2 Which do you think is going to verify? Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 My 850mb temp at 240 hrs. 12z 1/12 GFS -18 12z 1/12 Euro +2 Which do you think is going to verify? neither JMA all the way................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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