EasternUSWX Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Just kill me already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Looks like we're finally gonna get the qpf numbers we've been wanting, but not the temps we need. This winter is pissing me off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Looks like we're finally gonna get the qpf numbers we've been wanting, but not the temps we need. This winter is pissing me off Thing is...that looks like alot of ZR whoever gets it, and with Pepco........ I'd still take that over regular rain tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Looks like we're finally gonna get the qpf numbers we've been wanting, but not the temps we need. This winter is pissing me off ? not if you beleive the NAM or EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 ? not if you beleive the NAM or EURO. Euro isn't out yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Euro isn't out yet Obviously I mean the EURO the latest EURO....I know it comes out at 1am, im just saying, the latest doesnt point to high qpf numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Were those graphics generated on the Atari 2600 or Intellivision? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Were those graphics generated on the Atari 2600 or Intellivision? Thats 4 AM... morning rush would be a disastah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 I only have the EURO at 500mb, but it looks kinda warm? 2nd storm goes boom big time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Gfs keeps warming up. Suckers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Gfs keeps warming up. Suckers! NAM keeps getting colder....sucker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 16, 2011 Author Share Posted January 16, 2011 Lol at ians behavior when he stands at no shot of frozen precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 NAM keeps getting colder....sucker Don't be mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Don't be mean. I want 2 feet of freezing rain!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 I'm fine with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 I love this from HPC. I guess the message here is don't get excited or discouraged. USED THE 00Z/16 ECMWF FOR THE PRELIMINARY FRONTS AND PRESSURES FOR DAYS 3 AND 4...WITH AN EVEN BLEND OF THE 00Z/16 DETERMINISTIC ECMWF AND 12Z/15 ECENS MEANS FOR DAYS 5 THROUGH 7. CONFIDENCE IS ABYSMALLY LOW FOR THIS FORECAST...WITH LITTLE IF ANY DETERMINISTIC RUN TO RUN CONTINUITY IN THE MODELS...AND CONFLICTING ENSEMBLE MEANS FROM THE GEFS...ECENS...AND CMCE. FELT THE BEST COURSE OF ACTION TO MAINTAIN AT LEAST SOME CONTINUITY WAS TO BLEND THE A SUBSTANTIAL PORTION OF ONE OF THE MEANS...WITH THE ECENS MEAN MOST CLOSELY RESEMBLING THE ECMWF THROUGH DAY 5. WITH ALMOST NOTHING UPON WHICH TO HANG A HAT...PLAYED THE ODDS OF IN-HOUSE SURFACE PRESSURE VERIFICATION OVER THE PAST FOUR MONTHS...WHICH GAVE THE DETERMINISTIC ECMWF A CONSIDERABLE EDGE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 I love this from HPC. I guess the message here is don't get excited or discouraged. USED THE 00Z/16 ECMWF FOR THE PRELIMINARY FRONTS AND PRESSURES FOR DAYS 3 AND 4...WITH AN EVEN BLEND OF THE 00Z/16 DETERMINISTIC ECMWF AND 12Z/15 ECENS MEANS FOR DAYS 5 THROUGH 7. CONFIDENCE IS ABYSMALLY LOW FOR THIS FORECAST...WITH LITTLE IF ANY DETERMINISTIC RUN TO RUN CONTINUITY IN THE MODELS...AND CONFLICTING ENSEMBLE MEANS FROM THE GEFS...ECENS...AND CMCE. FELT THE BEST COURSE OF ACTION TO MAINTAIN AT LEAST SOME CONTINUITY WAS TO BLEND THE A SUBSTANTIAL PORTION OF ONE OF THE MEANS...WITH THE ECENS MEAN MOST CLOSELY RESEMBLING THE ECMWF THROUGH DAY 5. WITH ALMOST NOTHING UPON WHICH TO HANG A HAT...PLAYED THE ODDS OF IN-HOUSE SURFACE PRESSURE VERIFICATION OVER THE PAST FOUR MONTHS...WHICH GAVE THE DETERMINISTIC ECMWF A CONSIDERABLE EDGE. I lol'd. Also, they're right This week in forecasting sucks the big one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 I really want this system to prove that our area can get substantial precip...until that happens whether it's rain or whatever I will not get excited over any model depiction of winter weather around here later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 0Z Euro comes up w/a diff scenario with next weekend's storm, pushing it back by a day or so but making it colder and all snow for IAD and BWI (and I looked at the 6 hr skewts that confirm precip as all snow) problem is, it will change again at 12Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 0Z Euro comes up w/a diff scenario with next weekend's storm, pushing it back by a day or so but making it colder and all snow for IAD and BWI (and I looked at the 6 hr skewts that confirm precip as all snow) problem is, it will change again at 12Z These do not agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 These do not agree what don't they agree with or was that just a very sick, sick joke? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 NAM gonna be dry again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 It's back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 It's back or never left Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 I love this from HPC. I guess the message here is don't get excited or discouraged. USED THE 00Z/16 ECMWF FOR THE PRELIMINARY FRONTS AND PRESSURES FOR DAYS 3 AND 4...WITH AN EVEN BLEND OF THE 00Z/16 DETERMINISTIC ECMWF AND 12Z/15 ECENS MEANS FOR DAYS 5 THROUGH 7. CONFIDENCE IS ABYSMALLY LOW FOR THIS FORECAST...WITH LITTLE IF ANY DETERMINISTIC RUN TO RUN CONTINUITY IN THE MODELS...AND CONFLICTING ENSEMBLE MEANS FROM THE GEFS...ECENS...AND CMCE. FELT THE BEST COURSE OF ACTION TO MAINTAIN AT LEAST SOME CONTINUITY WAS TO BLEND THE A SUBSTANTIAL PORTION OF ONE OF THE MEANS...WITH THE ECENS MEAN MOST CLOSELY RESEMBLING THE ECMWF THROUGH DAY 5. WITH ALMOST NOTHING UPON WHICH TO HANG A HAT...PLAYED THE ODDS OF IN-HOUSE SURFACE PRESSURE VERIFICATION OVER THE PAST FOUR MONTHS...WHICH GAVE THE DETERMINISTIC ECMWF A CONSIDERABLE EDGE. Rumors of storms and cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 like this statement. I really want this system to prove that our area can get substantial precip...until that happens whether it's rain or whatever I will not get excited over any model depiction of winter weather around here later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VA Mad Man Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 I believe it was an old Texas Instruments 2000 Were those graphics generated on the Atari 2600 or Intellivision? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 NAM likes the idea of a second batch of precip coming through still pretty dry though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notvirga! Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 like this statement. Yeah, me too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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