Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 hr 162 dc -4c ric near 0c precip from ark. to western va nc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 hr 156 over running precip from tx to va 0c runs dc to boot heal of missouri big 1036 hi in the plains I knew something was coming based on the MOS, but your maps are quicker so I couldn't tell we never do well with those event, usually some snow then changeover NE does the best, of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 hr 168 0c va/nc border ric -4 dc -12 ric 0.05 nothing north yet precip ark to va/nc coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 hr 174 ric -4 precip heading due east ric 0.10 0.05 ashland 1"plus tenn. to ark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 hr 168 0c va/nc border ric -4 dc -12 ric 0.05 nothing north yet precip ark to va/nc coast sounds like its getting suppressed with that cold High nosing in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 hr 180 hugh closed off 500 low coming out of new mex. if the euro bias is in play and this is faster could be something big precip is breaking out again in tx ark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 fwiw, at 168 RIC MOS is -3.9 at 850 but the thickness is up at 543 which suggests to me a warm layer above 850, probably 700-750 mb (sleet iow) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 sounds like its getting suppressed with that cold High nosing in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 hr198 1008 low southern miss fl panhandle precip to va 0c va/nc border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 hr198 1008 low southern miss fl panhandle precip to va 0c va/nc border here we go again... I'm sure there has to be some northern energy that is being downplayed now only to become stronger in future runs (assuming the southern system is still there) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 hr 204 1004 low in central ga trying to form another one off the nc coast 0c to ric 0.50" to ric dc 0.25" trough going neg tilt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 hr 210 1000 low southern sc 0c near ric 0.75" dc 0~0.25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 hr 216 sub 1000mb low off the nc coast ric -1c 1"+ dc near 0.50" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 hr 216 sub 1000mb low off the nc coast ric -1c 1"+ dc near 0.50" Loos like this might be another one of those storms. I really hope that it comes through this time around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 the southern storm actually fits with the MJO prediction of moving to Phase 8, so there's "some" credence in this solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 hr 216 sub 1000mb low off the nc coast ric -1c 1"+ dc near 0.50" Midlo, trough still negative or did it open up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 hr 222 992 low well east of va ric 1.25" dc 0.75 orf 2" upper low comes trough at this hour breaks out snow over va. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 hr 222 992 low well east of va ric 1.25" dc 0.75 orf 2" upper low comes trough at this hour breaks out snow over va. wow, that's the sign of a monster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 hr 228 low pulling way away dc near 1" ric ~1.50" well the one thing is the euro and the gfs pick up on something coming out of the midwest which they did not have before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 14, 2011 Author Share Posted January 14, 2011 WOW...i dont buy it. EURO took away my rain for early week. Had over an inch at 00z and now barely .30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 Wes is in the thread Give us some good news Wes! Anywho, another system to track thats 8-9 days away... so who's staying up for the 00z EURO tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 Sorry for jumping in late...I'm a bit confused. Are these two storms on the Euro connected or do they just happend to come back-to-back? I assume they're all snow with the temps you've posted at 850 being <0C? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 before the storm hr 192 looks like ridging all up into greenland and a 50/50 low is present, a little east, and a nice ridge out west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 Sorry for jumping in late...I'm a bit confused. Are these two storms on the Euro connected or do they just happend to come back-to-back? I assume they're all snow with the temps you've posted at 850 being <0C? 1st event is an over running event that hits the south east, as this moves off the coast a huge 500 closed low comes from new mexico generating another low and precip breaks out again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 1st event is an over running event that hits the south east, as this moves off the coast a huge 500 closed low comes from new mexico generating another low and precip breaks out again I, for one, am happy to quit doing any tracking whatsoever on the Monday/Tuesday event and skip right to the next cycle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 Wes is in the thread Give us some good news Wes! Anywho, another system to track thats 8-9 days away... so who's staying up for the 00z EURO tonight? I'm not impressed as its 500h pattern seems to be quite different from any of the gfs ens members. Heck the models haven't been good at 120 hours. If some of the other models start showing it, I'll start following it. Until then. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ENSHGT_12z/f216.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 And so it begins! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 Wow...that Day 10 panel has a lot of potential! Nice PNA ridge, -NAO...not a true 50/50, but some troughing in that area and a couple of sweet looking s/w's out west, one with the southern stream. The one downside is the cold seems marginal despite how cold it looks in southern Canada there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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