mattie g Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 being a meteorologist is almost like being a rockstar Would John Bolaris agree? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 14, 2011 Author Share Posted January 14, 2011 here comes the DT Facebook overunning southern event http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/fp0_144.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 here comes the DT Facebook overunning southern event http://www.nco.ncep....2/fp0_144.shtml looks impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 At least some interesting weather is possible in the near future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 looks impressive. BTW, what is your specific forecast for Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 BTW, what is your specific forecast for Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday? For where Im from? Monday cloudy mon night showers after midnight, Tuesday-showers in the morning-more steady rain in the afternoon tapering shortly after sunset, getting cold behind the front for tuesday night, watch for slick spots wed morning as a little black ice might be possible if breezy conditions dont dry out the puddles etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 By the time that overrunning gets here, it will have turned into a thread-the-needle phase job that exits the GA coast and swings wide right before hitting SNE. Book it now, folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 By the time that overrunning gets here, it will have turned into a thread-the-needle phase job that exits the GA coast and swings wide right before hitting SNE. Book it now, folks. Im more impressed with the clipper 240 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 looks like our clipper is trying to become a sne special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 For where Im from? Monday cloudy mon night showers after midnight, Tuesday-showers in the morning-more steady rain in the afternoon tapering shortly after sunset, getting cold behind the front for tuesday night, watch for slick spots wed morning as a little black ice might be possible if breezy conditions dont dry out the puddles etc. I like it. The only models I have access to with anything better than 12 hour jumps are the NAM, and the GFS. The NAM doesn't go out far enough and the GFS never has two solutions that look anywhere close to the same. From where I'm at, I still think we have about a 12 hour window Monday night during which freezing precip is possible. Snow-sleet-freezing rain death spiral, then to all rain at some point Tues. ending late Tuesday with a few flurries possible at the end, PC and cold Wed. Lows in the upper 20's Monday night, high Tuesday around 40, depending on cloud cover, amount of precip. Windy, cold, dry Wed. so who cares what the temp is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 360. Lock it up. Once the GFS gets it, it never wavers. OOPS, I meant to say 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 looks like our clipper is trying to become a sne special Let's hope so. They deserve it after the snow drought they've recently suffered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 canadian develops a low behind the first low and misses to the south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 i think the gfs 500 implies a second low as well.. something to watch i guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 I have no idea what this forecast from myforecast.com is generated off (definitely not the Euro, doesn't look like GFS either), but this excerpt from its forecast for the Bethesda area is awesome, if absurd. I mean, 15 inches of snow followed by highs in the teens? Hey, it can only be off by 5 or 10 degrees latitude . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 canadian develops a low behind the first low and misses to the south Does the second low end up hitting SNE? If so, seasonal pattern lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 I have no idea what this forecast from myforecast.com is generated off (definitely not the Euro, doesn't look like GFS either), but this excerpt from its forecast for the Bethesda area is awesome, if absurd. I mean, 15 inches of snow followed by highs in the teens? Hey, it can only be off by 5 or 10 degrees latitude . Is this the Farmers Almanac? Lol what a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 I have no idea what this forecast from myforecast.com is generated off (definitely not the Euro, doesn't look like GFS either), but this excerpt from its forecast for the Bethesda area is awesome, if absurd. I mean, 15 inches of snow followed by highs in the teens? Hey, it can only be off by 5 or 10 degrees latitude . LOL lows in the single digits. Not happening. (neither is the foot+ lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 LOL lows in the single digits. Not happening. (neither is the foot+ lol) Not only that if you look at the 7 day frecast....for this monday night it says flurries late but yet it has 1.00 of precipitation...Riight...Somebody needs to to hack into that web site and shut it down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 Not only that if you look at the 7 day frecast....for this monday night it says flurries late but yet it has 1.00 of precipitation...Riight...Somebody needs to to hack into that web site and shut it down. While you're at it... http://www.timeanddate.com/weather/usa/washington-dc/ext (Same backsource, slightly different forecast) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 While you're at it... http://www.timeandda...shington-dc/ext (Same backsource, slightly different forecast) I think these websites are based on the Cras, or some junk like that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 Not only that if you look at the 7 day frecast....for this monday night it says flurries late but yet it has 1.00 of precipitation...Riight...Somebody needs to to hack into that web site and shut it down. Or better yet - Moderate snow with a high of 40 that drops 15 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 Or better yet - Moderate snow with a high of 40 that drops 15 inches. I guess we know where all this hype crap comes from now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 Might as well punt the first event and pin our hopes on the 5% chance of the second low hitting us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 What do the Europeans think about our drizzle chances? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 What do the Europeans think about our drizzle chances? thru Tuesday 12Z .21" rain (maybe a little snow at the start) for BWI that is EDIT next 6 hrs .11" rain not a good sign, I liked the heavy rain of the 0Z w/the hopes it represented a pattern change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 thru Tuesday 12Z .21" rain (maybe a little snow at the start) for BWI that is EDIT next 6 hrs .11" rain not a good sign, I liked the heavy rain of the 0Z w/the hopes it represented a pattern change On the low-res maps, looks like a low moving through the Lakes, with a cold front passing through later on Tuesday. 850's go from -8 Monday morning, to +2 Tuesday a.m., back to -6 behind the front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 .38" rain total at BWI bos around an inch rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 weaker storm, trough axis is much faster and neg tilt but just to warm maybe a brief flake early winchester looks to be snow to ice ric went from 1"+ to 0.25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 hr 156 over running precip from tx to va 0c runs dc to boot heal of missouri big 1036 hi in the plains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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