Itstrainingtime Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 06Z RUN of my new NEM (Name Pending). North East Model. Nice! Question: wouldn't the placement of the low pressure on your last panel argue that the heaviest snows would be in southern PA? From everything I'm hearing and reading this morning, it's sounding like the heavier amounts are now forecasted to be up north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 Nice! Question: wouldn't the placement of the low pressure on your last panel argue that the heaviest snows would be in southern PA? From everything I'm hearing and reading this morning, it's sounding like the heavier amounts are now forecasted to be up north. Good qpf would be placed about 100 miles or so north of the low. So S.Central into central do good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Good qpf would be placed about 100 miles or so north of the low. So S.Central into central do good. So, having said that, will they have to revisit our numbers, or are we still in the 3-5 range... Another question about next weeks event. I have been reading in the other threads, some are worried about temps, yet we are on tap to have our coldest temps of the year, low 20's as high and single digits as low? sup with that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 So, having said that, will they have to revisit our numbers, or are we still in the 3-5 range... Another question about next weeks event. I have been reading in the other threads, some are worried about temps, yet we are on tap to have our coldest temps of the year, low 20's as high and single digits as low? sup with that? Next week I think we are snow if there is a storm. Only areas like 50-75 miles east of MDT would have to worry. Tonights storm 2-4" seems good for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSU8315 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 So, having said that, will they have to revisit our numbers, or are we still in the 3-5 range... Another question about next weeks event. I have been reading in the other threads, some are worried about temps, yet we are on tap to have our coldest temps of the year, low 20's as high and single digits as low? sup with that? I'm still in the 2-4" camp for now down your direction, so I think most of the forecast numbers will not change that much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 If that bottom stuff in WV is the southern boundary we are golden. http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/centgrtlakes_loop.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 Latest from my AnalystWxCast post 7:00 AM 1/20/11 (PA) | Today will be mostly cloudy with temperatures ranging from the upper 20's north to lower 30's south. Snow will begin to move into the western part of the state by 5PM, into central areas around 8PM and into the east by 12AM. Accumulations will range from 2-4" over much of the region. Western areas, the laurel highlands, and the far eastern areas could get 4-6" amounts. Final call map coming this afternoon. (Forecaster Brisko) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Hey Zack, those maps are sick...nice job Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 I'm still in the 2-4" camp for now down your direction, so I think most of the forecast numbers will not change that much. thanks. seems very similar to the January 11th and 12th.. powdery as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 Hey Zack, those maps are sick...nice job Thank you. I'll be making them in times of storms. Experimenting now but, will pretty much be what it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 6Z Local model aint playing games. Heavy dumpage! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 I never saw that model before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 I never saw that model before Here is the link to them all. Enjoy. The NMM12G and NMM4N are the best. Click on Sim reflect hover and you can scroll over each hour. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/localmodels.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Festus Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Latest from my AnalystWxCast post 7:00 AM 1/20/11 (PA) | Today will be mostly cloudy with temperatures ranging from the upper 20's north to lower 30's south. Snow will begin to move into the western part of the state by 5PM, into central areas around 8PM and into the east by 12AM. Accumulations will range from 2-4" over much of the region. Western areas, the laurel highlands, and the far eastern areas could get 4-6" amounts. Final call map coming this afternoon. (Forecaster Brisko) Very nice work. Thanks for your efforts! (BTW - 3 hrs prep time = You need to hire some staff ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 Very nice work. Thanks for your efforts! (BTW - 3 hrs prep time = You need to hire some staff ) Haha. Thank you. I been watching the weather ever since age 5. Forecasting since about 10. Pretty much self taught along with some psu courses. It's very enjoyable and have fun with it ever day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 Video Update for all you folks. Final call map included. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Video Update for all you folks. Final call map included. I wish I could see this here at work, guess I'll have to wait until I get home. Seriously though, thanks for all of your input and the great maps. I'm really looking forward to seeing what you come up with for next week... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 I wish I could see this here at work, guess I'll have to wait until I get home. Seriously though, thanks for all of your input and the great maps. I'm really looking forward to seeing what you come up with for next week... No problem. Next week is going to be a test for sure. Let's get this one out of the way first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 I wish I could see this here at work, guess I'll have to wait until I get home. Seriously though, thanks for all of your input and the great maps. I'm really looking forward to seeing what you come up with for next week... yep, i'm the same way, i normally can't see his maps. For some reason yesterday late, i could though. Now i can't again? A couple coworkers told me they have heard that some have inched up our totals for tomorrow. I don't pay attention other then here so i don't know who their speaking of. The radio station on the way in still said 2-5. I told them not to get their hopes up and stick with the 2-5. Next weeks storm looks like our best bet so far for the season anyhow to get a really decent shot. Time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Video Update for all you folks. Final call map included. As someone who works a lot with Penn State faculty and students on multimedia as a teaching tool as part of my job, I really enjoyed this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Karl_Racki Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Video Update for all you folks. Final call map included. Awesome job.. Really enjoyed your thoughts throughout this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 As someone who works a lot with Penn State faculty and students on multimedia as a teaching tool as part of my job, I really enjoyed this. Thanks JamieO. Awesome job.. Really enjoyed your thoughts throughout this. Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Thanks JamieO. Thank you No prob. Your generation communicates differently than any before. Seems the NAM is getting a bit wetter each run, at least at UNV. 0Z: .23 6Z: .27 12Z: .34 I guess it's better than going the other way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 No prob. Your generation communicates differently than any before. Seems the NAM is getting a bit wetter each run, at least at UNV. 0Z: .23 6Z: .27 12Z: .34 I guess it's better than going the other way. OT i know, but i just told my daughter this same thing the other night. i think at MDT we are still at .25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSU8315 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 No prob. Your generation communicates differently than any before. Seems the NAM is getting a bit wetter each run, at least at UNV. 0Z: .23 6Z: .27 12Z: .34 I guess it's better than going the other way. Yeah, the 0z numbers were pretty anemic. 12z has a pretty good thumping during the first half of the night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 .5-1" per hr rates right here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 is this storm over producing out west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 is this storm over producing out west? Think it is right on track. I think I heard Kansas city got 9". So here and there higher totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Think it is right on track. I think I heard Kansas city got 9". So here and there higher totals. i know i have no idea what i'm talking about, but that radar looks really good to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 Here is the critical HR for us on the 12Z NEM. Rest of the run can be seen at our FB page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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