Karl_Racki Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Ratio's are plenty high even with low qpf totals will be pretty high. By all accounts this system is going to be flying, NWS gives us a 10-12 hour period of snow.. I think 2-5" for city is safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Great Map.. This looks like a very quick event for WPA.. I would trim highlands from 7-11 to maybe 4-8 and put 4-7 area at 2-5.. Great map...nam gives my area .5 qpf, gfs prob gives about .4. Going wit a 15:1 ratio I think that 4-7 is a very good early call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 By all accounts this system is going to be flying, NWS gives us a 10-12 hour period of snow.. I think 2-5" for city is safe. I don't think that 4-7 inches in a 10-12 hour period is unreasonable at all....half an inch an hour ratios aren't ground breaking...I got 3 inches or so in a 5-6 hour period with the last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 18, 2011 Author Share Posted January 18, 2011 I don't think that 4-7 inches in a 10-12 hour period is unreasonable at all....half an inch an hour ratios aren't ground breaking...I got 3 inches or so in a 5-6 hour period with the last storm. I got 4" from the 6hr snow the other storm too. This will likely be another storm were .5-1" per hr rates are likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I got 4" from the 6hr snow the other storm too. This will likely be another storm were .5-1" per hr rates are likely. Agreed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I got 4" from the 6hr snow the other storm too. This will likely be another storm were .5-1" per hr rates are likely. Agreed partner! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I got 4" from the 6hr snow the other storm too. This will likely be another storm were .5-1" per hr rates are likely. Nice map and a good 1st call bro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 Nice map and a good 1st call bro Thanks. All our forecast can be seen at our website. The facebook link is in my signature. And the website is analystwxcast.org Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Thanks. All our forecast can be seen at our website. The facebook link is in my signature. And the website is analystwxcast.org whats the timing? when i looked earlier, it appeard it would start about 1am Friday and snow until about 2 pm....is that still abot right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 whats the timing? when i looked earlier, it appeard it would start about 1am Friday and snow until about 2 pm....is that still abot right? Ya looks about right. The way the storm start earlier lately though maybe start before 12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 whats the timing? when i looked earlier, it appeard it would start about 1am Friday and snow until about 2 pm....is that still abot right? I hope so, because school would most likely be canceled!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSU8315 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I've always wondered, and forgive me if this kind of question is out-of-line: Is there any type of rivalry between NWS guys and on-air mets and "professional" mets (the guys who work for private companies)? I mean, is a position with the NWS a goal that most mets have, or not really? I imagine they're apples v oranges so it's not much of a competition, but figured I'd ask. (For the record, as a journalist, it's no rivalry really until someone infringes on your specific coverage area) Around here at least, there is no rivalry between on-air mets and the NWS -- we all have the ability to communicate with the NWS, especially during times of severe weather and will sometimes share information with them. In general, I would say most TV mets like directly communicating to viewers and just like the TV setting. That being said, that's not to say some (including myself) wouldn't consider moving to a non-broadcast position like an Accuwx or NWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Down to 27° here in State College with precip on the doorstep. The parking lot of my apartment complex is pretty icy after thawing out during the day....could be treacherous in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Some very light sprinkles beginning to fall here as that secondary batch of precip tries to push thru. Had the handheld out a bit ago and it was lurking near 32 with a 25 degree dewpoint.. hopefully this stuff gets on thru quickly because alot of stations east of the Laurels are near or below freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 PSU8315 and MAG, Wanted to mention this....today I had six people ask me in person and via Twitter where the "big storm" was. I asked what the meant, and they went on about how this major storm was supposed to happen and it was going to be a really bad ice storm. Thing is, when I asked where they heard it, they said either TV or the National Weather Service. When I told them no, there were no one calling for it, they kinda got defensive and said no this was hyped to be a really bad storm and we got next to nothing. These are not dumb people. I often wonder where the hell people hear this stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Some very light sprinkles beginning to fall here as that secondary batch of precip tries to push thru. Had the handheld out a bit ago and it was lurking near 32 with a 25 degree dewpoint.. hopefully this stuff gets on thru quickly because alot of stations east of the Laurels are near or below freezing. Yeah, that precip really held together. Might be a bit of a surprise tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTERWEATHER ADVISORY FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION...WHICH IS IN EFFECTUNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY.* LOCATION...CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.* PRECIPITATION TYPE...A MIXTURE OF FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN...POSSIBLY ENDING AS LIGHT SNOW LATE TONIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA.* ACCUMULATIONS...A LIGHT GLAZE OF ICE IS EXPECTED. ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE LESS THAN AN INCH AND CONFINED TO THE MOUNTAINS NORTH OF I-80.* TIMING...THE WINTRY MIX WILL OVERSPREAD MOST OF THE AREA BETWEEN 9 PM AND MIDNIGHT. PRECIPITATION SHOULD TAPER OFF BETWEEN 5 AND 8 AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 light rain here...not freezing on the car. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 PSU8315 and MAG, Wanted to mention this....today I had six people ask me in person and via Twitter where the "big storm" was. I asked what the meant, and they went on about how this major storm was supposed to happen and it was going to be a really bad ice storm. Thing is, when I asked where they heard it, they said either TV or the National Weather Service. When I told them no, there were no one calling for it, they kinda got defensive and said no this was hyped to be a really bad storm and we got next to nothing. These are not dumb people. I often wonder where the hell people hear this stuff. Lol, yea I often wonder myself where people hear such things. It must be like in high school when someone hears about such and such and by the end of the day its the most outrageous thing you've ever heard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Lol, yea I often wonder myself where people hear such things. It must be like in high school when someone hears about such and such and by the end of the day its the most outrageous thing you've ever heard. It's just so odd to me. Anyway, that dumb 0Z NAM...not as good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSU8315 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 PSU8315 and MAG, Wanted to mention this....today I had six people ask me in person and via Twitter where the "big storm" was. I asked what the meant, and they went on about how this major storm was supposed to happen and it was going to be a really bad ice storm. Thing is, when I asked where they heard it, they said either TV or the National Weather Service. When I told them no, there were no one calling for it, they kinda got defensive and said no this was hyped to be a really bad storm and we got next to nothing. These are not dumb people. I often wonder where the hell people hear this stuff. People seem to hear what they want to hear sometimes. Even when I was growing up, people would say things about how 6" of snow was coming when all of the TV mets said snow showers or an inch or two. Unfortunately, some people will probably be caught off guard by the ice tonight. My car has a fresh glaze of ice on it and it's only 29 (and still raining). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Freezing rain and 29 here. Definitely freezing, nearly fell taking out the greyhound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 People seem to hear what they want to hear sometimes. Even when I was growing up, people would say things about how 6" of snow was coming when all of the TV mets said snow showers or an inch or two. Unfortunately, some people will probably be caught off guard by the ice tonight. My car has a fresh glaze of ice on it and it's only 29 (and still raining). I Tweeted about it to let people who follow me here know. I also do weather updates and a daily forecast for the helluva it using the hashtag #CentreCast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 30.7 Deg Light freezing rain Ice coating on roads and cars. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Light freezing rain falling here, decks glazin over. Its the fine raindrops too so its good for ice accretion on stuff. I agree with Brian, this could catch some folks off guard. Secondary roads and bridges/overpasses are def gonna have a high danger of black ice and if we have a changeover to snow before the precip shield gets through it could really be messy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Freezing rain here with sleet mixed in it sounds like. It's coming down fairly moderately so right now accumulations wouldn't be too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 29° with steady freezing rain. The sidewalks and parking lot are completely glazed over now...nasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 Some freezing rain still but, ready to go over to plain rain probably. Nearing 32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Yea, turns out what's falling here is plain rain with a bit of skeet thrown in for good measure. I think it was zr when started as much lighter but since it's light-moderate it doesnt appear to be freezing on my drive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 Yea, turns out what's falling here is plain rain with a bit of skeet thrown in for good measure. I think it was zr when started as much lighter but since it's light-moderate it doesnt appear to be freezing on my drive. Ohhhh skeet skeet mother... lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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