EasternUSWX Posted January 16, 2011 Author Share Posted January 16, 2011 im good with that i hate ice Question is even though you may stay snow there might not be too much precip back that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 12z Euro STILL has a snowstorm for us Friday-Saturday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Question is even though you may stay snow there might not be too much precip back that way. im ok with that. better than ice / rain depleting my snowcover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 16, 2011 Author Share Posted January 16, 2011 I love ice, not as much as snow. Def more fun than plain rain though. Makes for cool pictures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 I love ice, not as much as snow. Def more fun than plain rain though. Makes for cool pictures. i just dont like tree's falling on my house and no power. i do live out in the sticks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSU8315 Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 i just dont like tree's falling on my house and no power. i do live out in the sticks. Luckily, you shouldn't have to worry about that this time around. Any ice you see should be very light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 16, 2011 Author Share Posted January 16, 2011 CMC tons o ice, nam ummm... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Still have a gut feeling MDT sees a good buy if ice after our snow/sleet combo. Someone tell me my gut is wrong. And I hope the euro is right for next Friday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcfox1 Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 i just dont like tree's falling on my house and no power. i do live out in the sticks. I'm with you, no ice, had a tree fall and take my lines and box of the house several years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Still have a gut feeling MDT sees a good buy if ice after our snow/sleet combo. Someone tell me my gut is wrong. And I hope the euro is right for next Friday! I thought the Euro showed a miss with the 1st piece of energy on Friday, then showed a good thump of snow for next Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 I thought the Euro showed a miss with the 1st piece of energy on Friday, then showed a good thump of snow for next Sunday? Appears that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSU8315 Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Appears that way. Looks like there are two options for the Friday-Sunday period -- snow or arctic cold. 12z Euro operational for next Sunday is on the right, showing the storm. On the left is the Euro ensembles, which show an arctic high building down and no storm. The models are pretty much all showing the same with the southern branch feature, but are much different on phasing and timing. Should be interesting to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 I thought the Euro showed a miss with the 1st piece of energy on Friday, then showed a good thump of snow for next Sunday? You are right - I had my hours screwed up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Does 1-3 inches of snow followed by .10 - .25 of ice sound reasonable for my area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 17, 2011 Author Share Posted January 17, 2011 CTP goes 1" snow/sleet and .1-.2" ZR now. If models come wetter tonight I can see ice storm warnings for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Is there a specific number for ice warnings? Also, the Susquahanna here in Harrisburg is basically solid ice. It's so prettycompleteky iced over. I figure by next weekend we'll have idiots out there trying to walk across. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 17, 2011 Author Share Posted January 17, 2011 Is there a specific number for ice warnings? Also, the Susquahanna here in Harrisburg is basically solid ice. It's so prettycompleteky iced over. I figure by next weekend we'll have idiots out there trying to walk across. I think it's .25" + And btw 0Z NAM goes nuts!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jen2swt Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I'm not fond of the ice. I truly hope it's not ice. I would hate to travel into a place of work who doesn't understand when you have to call in late because of weather. I'm not driving all the way into Baltimore down 83 if it's icy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Wow, NAM is yet another warning-level snowstorm for NW Jersey. It is there year. Crazy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Wow, NAM is yet another warning-level snowstorm for NW Jersey. It is there year. Crazy! Not only NW NJ----Im pretty sure looking at the maps that the NAM gives us in the lower susquehanna 8 to 12" of snow in two different bursts. The map seems to indicate that the western low dissipates much earlier allowing the coastal to take over much sooner and shutting off the warm advection. I don't know how to find surface temps but I'd be willing to bet they stay below freezing. It looks like it starts snowing around 3AM Tuesday morning then quits around 2PM in the afternoon after dumping 6 to 8" of snow. Then there is a six hour lull with nothing, then it starts back up again after 7pm and continiues until 2PM Wednesday afternoon depositing another two to three inches. Meanwhile southern NJ and NYC get too close to the low and go over to rain after several inches of snow. Does my interpretation look ok?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 State College now has all rain Tuesday for the area... After the 00z NAM, why did they do that? WTF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 LOL...GFS shows a whole lot of nothing for CPA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 LOL...GFS shows a whole lot of nothing for CPA. I know! So weird...the NAM and GFS just flip flopped!?! I hate models! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 17, 2011 Author Share Posted January 17, 2011 I know! So weird...the NAM and GFS just flip flopped!?! I hate models! Amen. Worst modeling ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Its almost not fun when there is this much disagreement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Sorry guys for getting your hopes up even temporarily. Caught the numerical output of the NAM for MDT and saw that it gives us 2 to 3" of snow, followed by a period of sleet, then followed by some freezing rain. Then the lull, followed by plain rain as surface temps reach the mid 30's. Oh well...onto next weekend. ---Stephen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Wow...did any of you Harrisburg to Scranton guys see the GGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Wow...did any of you Harrisburg to Scranton guys see the GGEM? No. What did it show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Not sure what this means if anything, but my forecasted low last night was 10, the actual low was 23. Currently at 26 and hoping we get some further warming today to lessen our chances of freezing rain tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Not sure what this means if anything, but my forecasted low last night was 10, the actual low was 23. Currently at 26 and hoping we get some further warming today to lessen our chances of freezing rain tomorrow morning. Doesn't seem like it wants to warm to quickly though. I have been working outside since 6. Its cold out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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