TheTrials Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 36 hours ARW Sim Radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 GGEM at 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 let's not forget that the gfs has been an outlier even to its own ensembles the past few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Very 12/30/00-ish depiction on a lot of the hi-res/mesoscale models. I know it's not the same kind of system because of the primary and overrunning inland, but the comma head and shape to the heavy precip and very rapid deepening of the storm somewhat resembles it. Tremendous hit upcoming for many of us early Wed morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Interesting, ARW had the jackpot spot over Monmouth for 12 z too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 39 Hours AWR sim radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 NMM 36 hour sim Radar. Long Island is no more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Sweet Jesus....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Sorry for jumpping thread but where do you guys get the NMM and ARW so early? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bobby Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Interesting, ARW had the jackpot spot over Monmouth for 12 z too. Not because I live there but Central Suffolk County on LI seems to be the bullseye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Sorry for jumpping thread but where do you guys get the NMM and ARW so early? http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 NMM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 http://www.nco.ncep....wprod/analysis/ They still have last nites 0z up there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 How did the ARW and NMM verify at this time range for the Dec.26-27 storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 They still have last nites 0z up there http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?model=&area=&prevPage=Param&page=Model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 They still have last nites 0z up there I'm having the same problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 http://mag.ncep.noaa...aram&page=Model thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 How did the ARW and NMM verify at this time range for the Dec.26-27 storm? If I remember correctly they showed some ridiculous solution where parts of the area would get 2 feet of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 If I remember correctly they showed some ridiculous solution where parts of the area would get 2 feet of snow. I don't know if it's speculation, or not, but someone said something about the ARW being more accurate than the NMM, maybe a Met idk, but I know for sure I read that earlier this week. Anyone think this is true? or am I just crazy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Where did you weenies find those meso models?? They are only just coming out on the NCEP site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Where did you weenies find those meso models?? They are only just coming out on the NCEP site. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?prevPage=Model&MainPage=index&model=HRW-ARW-EUS&area=&areaDesc=&page=Model&prevModel=HRW-ARW-WUS&prevArea=&currKey=model&prevKey=model&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 here Where did you weenies find those meso models?? They are only just coming out on the NCEP site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteoutwx1796 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 OK, I stayed up waaaaay too late. You hobbyists, met brainiacs and weather weenies (hahaha) know the WRF- ARW & NMM maps? Experimental but darn good so far. They SMACK the ENTIRE region with 1-2 feet Only the op gfs is outside the box and I have a feeling it's going to get pulled back in to it's more western and wetter ensemble from craig allen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 http://mag.ncep.noaa...=MODEL+GUIDANCE Cool. Didn't know it was available earlier on that site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.I.Pete Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 lol at 00 NAM BUFKIT - 40.4 inches for ISP. If only... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 from craig allen haha ... he was excited all day on cbs 880 radio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 lol at 00 NAM BUFKIT - 40.4 inches for ISP. If only... oh boy.. what are the ratios?? can you please post a link too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteoutwx1796 Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 oh boy.. what are the ratios?? can you please post a link too we're laughing now but can you imagine.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 If I remember correctly they showed some ridiculous solution where parts of the area would get 2 feet of snow. Lol... I found them to be spot on with some of the surprise trends (S Ct. getting screwed twice with 12/19 and 02/09 come to mind) during last year's storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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