springfieldnewsnut Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I'll take a little more, but I'd rather not really deal with ice. It's a headache if it happens — but more importantly (wink) it's a headache on the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 12, 2011 Author Share Posted January 12, 2011 Anybody catch the meteor tonight? http://www.todaysthv.com/news/local/story.aspx?storyid=137947&catid=2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 My thermometer says 1º outside. Brr... Guess I better dress in layers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Morning guys! its 10! backing off on the snow now got the ice goin on now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Has anyone had a chance to look at the 12z GFS? I haven't... curious as to what it shows for late weekend/early next week. Hoping the trend of gloom and doom doesn't continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 12, 2011 Author Share Posted January 12, 2011 Has anyone had a chance to look at the 12z GFS? I haven't... curious as to what it shows for late weekend/early next week. Hoping the trend of gloom and doom doesn't continue. Generally light precip off and on entire forecast, temps close to or above freezing. GGEM was mostly north as well through 180. Waiting on king Euro since the other models tend to follow it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
springfieldnewsnut Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I don't know, but what's wrong with SGF's NWS site? I wish it were working like normal... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I don't know, but what's wrong with SGF's NWS site? I wish it were working like normal... whats it doing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 12, 2011 Author Share Posted January 12, 2011 Euro wasn't good either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 That's what I figured JoMo. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 12, 2011 Author Share Posted January 12, 2011 That's what I figured JoMo. Thanks! Wouldn't take much to make things kind of interesting. A lot of the ensembles have some kind of low/storm tracking east of here near or over the TN/MS/AR border area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 just throw me a bone give me something! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Springfield sounds to be getting concerned a bit from sunday night onwards. Lots of chances of mixed bag precip or snow they say. Model mayhem once again lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 tulsa NWS is going with a mix until monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 12, 2011 Author Share Posted January 12, 2011 yeah there are differences between run to run on the models and pretty huge changes on the GFS this run. (18z) The operational appears like a warm outlier compared to it's ensembles. (in the long range) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 Okay, so this is a bit of a rant... weather related - somewhat... so exactly why are some schools out going on DAY FOUR after a 1-2" snowfall?!?! I realize it hasn't all melted. I realized it is cold. But for the love of all that is good and decent... I can't imagine what some of these districts would do if they received 5 or 6 inches! Weather related completely now: Most OCMs don't seem too gung ho on the early week system. I am not sure it is going to amount to much unless something significant changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 13, 2011 Author Share Posted January 13, 2011 Okay, so this is a bit of a rant... weather related - somewhat... so exactly why are some schools out going on DAY FOUR after a 1-2" snowfall?!?! I realize it hasn't all melted. I realized it is cold. But for the love of all that is good and decent... I can't imagine what some of these districts would do if they received 5 or 6 inches! Weather related completely now: Most OCMs don't seem too gung ho on the early week system. I am not sure it is going to amount to much unless something significant changes. My guess is they don't want to expose the kids to the extreme cold. They don't want them at the school bus stops, etc. I'm not exactly sure why as I remember standing outside in a 7 degree temp during a bomb threat when I was in school. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 13, 2011 Author Share Posted January 13, 2011 Some complex phasing type stuff going on with the GFS tonight in the Day 4-5 time range. It'll be interesting to see if it keeps that solution, goes with a more northern low, or a stronger low than forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 JoMo, can you explain what that means. It looks like temps are slightly too warm. Am I reading that correctly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 13, 2011 Author Share Posted January 13, 2011 JoMo, can you explain what that means. It looks like temps are slightly too warm. Am I reading that correctly? Temps are close but too warm at this time. You can see the initial wave here located over S OK area. The energy that is diving in is over the Northwest: Fast forward to 114 and the initial wave has crapped out while the NW energy dives in. The problem for us is, it's generating a low over Nebraska while energy continues to dive to the south. The surface low is over Arkansas at this time: If that X isn't over Nebraska this would be a pretty decent setup for us all I think. Of course the GGEM is completely different and has a low skirting across the southern US @ 120. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozarkwx Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 Okay, so this is a bit of a rant... weather related - somewhat... so exactly why are some schools out going on DAY FOUR after a 1-2" snowfall?!?! I realize it hasn't all melted. I realized it is cold. But for the love of all that is good and decent... I can't imagine what some of these districts would do if they received 5 or 6 inches! Weather related completely now: Most OCMs don't seem too gung ho on the early week system. I am not sure it is going to amount to much unless something significant changes. Because they do not treat the roads. Two days off for a 1" snowfall with some consideration for a third? WTH? If they would just mix a little salt in with the cinders, this packed ice/snow on the roads would be gone in less than a day. I realize they don't have a large fleet of vehicles but this is an example of what makes the Ozarks seem so primitive and unattractive to people thinking of relocating large businesses and contributes to all sorts of economic losses in terms of local businesses. It seems like a way of life to have untreated roads, but it is highly inefficient and costs that locals far more in terms of lost wages than the small additional amount it would cost to treat the roads properly. Some out of the box thinking would be helpful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 morning guys! well tulsa nws is going with rain this weekend however yesterdays 3pm disco spoke of a bomb next week does anyone see that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 I sure hope we don't get bombed. Did TSA tell the National Security Council about this threat? J/k! Temp this morning is 2º... wow! What a nice change from yesterday morning's 1º. Hopefully we can get close to freezing today. Concerning this weekend into early next week, the models really seem to be all over place. Hopefully within the next 48 hours or so we will be able to notice some trends in one direction or the other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 were 10 currently. what a heat wave. the tulsa NWS used the word significant snow for next week too saying this system will be the worst of the bunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 were 10 currently. what a heat wave. the tulsa NWS used the word significant snow for next week too saying this system will be the worst of the bunch. Actually Norman did that writeup for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 Actually Norman did that writeup for them. do you feel it will happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 13, 2011 Author Share Posted January 13, 2011 Not looking too good on the models today. Temps will be close and everything may be going north. They diverge pretty badly after Day 5. Looks like the Canadian is trying to bring down the Arctic, Euro has a cutoff on the S Cal coast, and GFS is just meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 Not looking too good on the models today. Temps will be close and everything may be going north. They diverge pretty badly after Day 5. Looks like the Canadian is trying to bring down the Arctic, Euro has a cutoff on the S Cal coast, and GFS is just meh. so perhaps a dry arctic blast? drat it all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 And in a few hours we will have an entirely different scenario. ha ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted January 14, 2011 Share Posted January 14, 2011 its getting icier in tulsa sat. and sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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