MoWeatherguy Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 GGEM is $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ Tks. Was trying to figure it out on those B&W charts lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 GFS Ens mean: 108: 120: 132: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 At least the Ens look a bit better for this region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 I'd say it would be really strange if the Euro didn't come north this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I'd say it would be really strange if the Euro didn't come north this run. Was thinking that earlier. Worlds apart if it doesnt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Interesting changes in the long range tonite as well. Deep troughing over the C US and then the SE ridge makes an appearance late in the run. Looks plenty cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 If GGEM is all snow, then... well, just look at that QPF... and that PRESSURE GRADIENT In addition, the 0Z ENSEMBLE MEAN has 1"+ QPF for me... can't wait to see the indiv. members on this... hopefully most of it is snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 If GGEM is all snow, then... well, just look at that QPF... and that PRESSURE GRADIENT I think the black dotted line is the freezing line on those B/W charts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 UKMET doesn't want to play with the other models now. Suppressed and weaker. It was bombing a low out over NE Arkansas in prior runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I think the black dotted line is the freezing line on those B/W charts. Black and white? No, I see orangish-red on those charts... OMG-worthy rates in such a short time combined with the massive pressure gradient... Definitely fits the criteria for that particular hue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 What hour is that map? 120? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 What hour is that map? 120? 117 I think. You can see them all here. http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Is there any way to get the 10m wind on the 0Z GGEM (other than GrADS... I really don't feel like taking 30 minutes to write another custom script right now)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 OK tks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Got work tmorrow so cant wait around on the Euro analysis tonite. Hoping for a good move from it tonite though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 Euro is heading farther north......... HR 114: 1008 low in E. TX. HVY precip in C KS (.75 qpf in 6 hrs at least) MOD-HVY precip surrounding that in KS and then LT-MOD precip in OK HR 120: Sub 1004 LOW in C ARK. It's cutting already. MOD-HVY precip in SW MO. LT-MOD precip in SE NE, and most of NE KS. 1000mb SLP just east of Springfield, MO at 126hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 This is tricky guys. I wouldn't be surprised it this wave swings even farther north. Then the next wave late next weekend takes a deeper track south. This is a weird wave, I am going to have to study on this one later tonight. Make it stop, Doug... make it stop.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backdoorfront Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 On This Day In Weather History - January 28 1887 The largest snowflakes in the world fell across Fort Keogh in Montana. The flakes were measured at a massive 15 inches across by 8 inches thick. I guess we will have to take their word for it. I just can't imagine it. Fat cat size snow balls falling from the sky? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Tulsa nws has us in sleet tuesday then snow that evening getting 4" and osage country getting 9". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 Snow/ice/rain, what will the 12z GFS show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 what a joke now tulsa has us down to 1.9" snow and no ice at all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
minninni31 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 Gonna be either rain or Ice in Tulsa at 96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 Looks either very rainy or very ice-stormy through 108 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockchalk83 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 what a joke now tulsa has us down to 1.9" snow and no ice at all! I would look at that snow and ice forecasts this far out with a gigantic grain of salt, especially this far out. In all likelihood, the forecaster who is working the update desk at NWS Tulsa simply loaded a model into his forecast graphic program and thats why you see the variation. I can assure you that forecasters(atleast in the NWS) really don't work on snow graphics until they are within 48 hours of an event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 GFS is a warm beast for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 Very much reminds me of.........: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
minninni31 Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I think this storm comes with more ice than snow especially in tulsa here in bartlesville both many ice and snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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