JoMo Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 probly to far south or north or nothing lol I think there will be a storm somewhere, however it's track and intensity are very much up in the air. Seasonal trend would suggest nothing wraps up and we just get a couple weak waves ejecting out causing some light precip before the cold front blasts through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GFS a lot different looking at h120 already tonite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 GFS a lot different looking at h120 already tonite. Not much happening through 180, looks like increasing moisture with the open trough to our west at 180 though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Just wondering how much fanfare its gonna have swinging out - if any at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Guess I got my answer - that big winter event for the S Plains I've been waiting on. OK not a big event but looks decent for now lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 Guess I got my answer - that big winter event for the S Plains I've been waiting on. yeah it's at a different time now. We'll see what the GGEM and Euro says. GFS ENSEMBLES are way farther south along the Gulf Coast. GGEM would deliver a good hit Euro main action is just east of here I heard from Hoosier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Dry and boring *sigh*... well, at least temps are going to warm up a few degrees by week's end. Just in time for another arctic air mass to come crashing in next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GFS still pretty far south with our next week system, slower to pull out the SW trough as well. Clips us at 192. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 GFS still pretty far south with our next week system, slower to pull out the SW trough as well. Clips us at 192. 06z GFS Ens had some good hits for here. Euro was nearly a great hit I believe, GGEM was a good hit. So waiting on them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 06z GFS Ens had some good hits for here. Euro was nearly a great hit I believe, GGEM was a good hit. So waiting on them. Yeah Euro got its act together a bit east of us with the best moisture, but also looked a bit warm at the onset east of here as well. Just light precip here lagging behind in the cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 GGEM 150 and 156 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Much better, quicker to eject. Not hangin the trough back like the GFS is trying to do once again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 Some spread on the GFS would be an understatement. 156: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Lol one of the worst I've seen. NAO transition must have it confused or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 Looks like the Euro really came north and the storms going to get its act together east of here maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Looks like the Euro really came north and the storms going to get its act together east of here maybe? Looks like a rain to mix to snow scenario for JLN. 0.25-0.50" total QPF (which includes pretty much all of MO and back west to SE KS and NE OK), with the 0.50"+ line starting somewhere just east of SGF and then moving ENE from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Euro really too warm here until the last few hours. Pretty much the same case as it crosses all of MO. JLN showing .45 but only about the last .15 or so falls with 850's and surface temps cold enough, so yes a mix maybe in order during transition. Similar for SGF and TUL but a bit drier for NW AR and really doesnt appear to get cold enough in time for mix/snow there. Still 7 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Oh and JMA is pure porn days 7-8 here. 1005 surface low forming over N LA and moves NE to a 998 bomb over IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 yeah and the NOGAPS looks to be a good hit in NW Ark. HPC isn't going with the Euro. That seems strange for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 yeah and the NOGAPS looks to be a good hit in NW Ark. HPC isn't going with the Euro. That seems strange for them. Yeah seems they're siding against Euro and GGEM I guess sticking with the theme of the winter with nothing cutting that sharp I dont know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Lol at STL AFD this afternoon - guess it's gonna get really cold next week: WHILE THE ECMWF IMPACTS US SIGNIFICANTLY WITH ANOTHER WINTER STORM FOLLOWED BY THE MOTHER OF ARCTIC AIR OUTBREAKS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 how cold are we talkin here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 how cold are we talkin here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 26, 2011 Author Share Posted January 26, 2011 18z NOGAPS looks pretty good. I hope the 00z runs come to some kind of a solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 18z NOGAPS looks pretty good. I hope the 00z runs come to some kind of a solution. doubtful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 i'd say thats stupid cold my friend!!! do we mean highs in the single digits? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I'll take a subzero morning for 500 Alex. In the meantime, I am going to enjoy my mid 50's later this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 DGEX has massive snows across TX and LA, keeping in the spirit of the GFS I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The TWC is even going with snow showers monday slap my face! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I'll take a subzero morning for 500 Alex. In the meantime, I am going to enjoy my mid 50's later this week. oh gee guess i better get the lights off the house then. please say it isnt so highs like 5??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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