Wx 24/7 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 GFS has tons of precip with it on the secondary "wave" tomorrow. I am curious to see where it ends up in the 24-30 hour time frame. Looking like a good hit for all of us though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 12z RGEM is out and still maintains its precip max right over the heart of our area. Bullseye of .68 liquid right over the MO/KS/OK state lines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 With the new totals coming out by the GFS, SGF has to be thinking about pulling the trigger for a WSWarning for at least some of the northern counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I know im going to give myself the kiss of death.. but It looks like it will snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Just now noticed that 6z GFS had another 4" storm for here Sun nite/Monday. Be curious to see how that unfolds on future runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 osage county has snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Hey All, Don't mean to intrude on your thread (mod delete if out of line).My Mom moved from Ft Lauderdale to Joplin last year. I relize there haven't been alot of events in your region this winter. Just curious as to how the RUC has been doing in your region this year? It has been doing quite well in the SE. With this quickly becomeing a nowcast event was hoping to use it to let her know how things are progressing. Thanks in Advance & Good Luck with the Snow! Don Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Hey All, Don't mean to intrude on your thread (mod delete if out of line).My Mom moved from Ft Lauderdale to Joplin last year. I relize there haven't been alot of events in your region this winter. Just curious as to how the RUC has been doing in your region this year? It has been doing quite well in the SE. With this quickly becomeing a nowcast event was hoping to use it to let her know how things are progressing. Thanks in Advance & Good Luck with the Snow! Don Don - I actually haven't followed it that closely this yr but the times I have referenced it seemed to be OK. Maybe somebody else on here can chime in whose had a little more knowledge of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 12z GFS snow map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Love that map it has snow for everyone. 12z GFS snow map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
minninni31 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Love that map it has snow for everyone. Yeah you know it's starting to look like we're all gonna share in this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
minninni31 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 yep, that's the snow expected on the ground from both storms although I dunno about storm 2 yet as it's been changing a lot from run to run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
minninni31 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I have sleet now in DEWEY NORTH BARTLESVILLE YUPIIII Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 12z GGEM looks like a solid hit for everyone as well. Close to .50 liquid from what I can tell on the B&W charts. No color maps yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 New Update from TSA office at 10:48 AM ...UPDATE... WILL ISSUE AN UPDATE TO THE WSW TO INCLUDE LEFLORE COUNTY IN THE ADVISORY. UPDATES WILL ALSO BE MADE FOR COLDER HIGH TEMPS THIS AFTERNOON OVER NORTHERN SECTIONS AND TO ADD A SMALL CHANCE OF SLEET ALONG OK/KS BORDER THIS AFTERNOON. SEE DISCUSSION BELOW. .DISCUSSION... FOCUS CONTINUES TO BE ON APPROACHING CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEM CURRENTLY DIVING TOWARD THE CENTRAL ROCKIES...WHICH IS STILL EXPECTED TO SWING QUICKLY THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. STRONG FORCING AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SPREAD MID CLOUDS OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS WITH SOME ECHOES ALOFT SHOWING ON RADAR. THE LOWER LEVELS REMAIN DRY AND SATURATION WILL TAKE A WHILE...HOWEVER THE STRONG LIFT SHOULD HELP SPEED THIS PROCESS ALONG OK/KS BORDER WITH SOME PRECIP BREAKING OUT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPS NOT GOING MUCH OF ANYWHERE WITH CLOUD COVER AND DYNAMIC COOLING LIMITING ANY SUBSTANTIAL WARM UP THIS AFTERNOON... NORTHERN AREAS WILL STRUGGLE INTO THE MID 30S AT BEST AND ANY PRECIP THIS AFTERNOON LIKELY IN THE FORM OF SLEET OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. WHILE THE MAIN IMPACTS WILL BE FELT LATER TONIGHT DID ADD A SMALL AMOUNT OF ACCUM TO FAR NORTH PRIOR TO 00Z. AT THIS TIME THE ADVISORY ONSET TIME OF 03Z WILL BE KEPT AS IS. 12Z DATA DOES HINT AT A SLIGHT SHIFT TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM TRACK AND HAVE THUS ADDED LEFLORE COUNTY TO THE ADVISORY AS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AT LEAST SHOULD SEE AN INCH OR MORE OF SNOW. OTHERWISE DATA CONTINUES TO SUPPORT ACCUMULATING SNOW OVER ALL BUT THE VERY FAR SOUTHERN SECTIONS THURSDAY MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Yeah Minninni that 126-hr snow map above is indicative of the 2nd system the GFS continues to show nailing a lot of E KS and OK by Monday. You may be in for a good double shot these next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I'll try to get some pictures of tomorrow snow miracle in Norman before I go to class. If I take pictures I'll upload them later tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 Springfield did lower amounts to 2-4" in their Winter weather advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
minninni31 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Yeah Minninni that 126-hr snow map above is indicative of the 2nd system the GFS continues to show nailing a lot of E KS and OK by Monday. You may be in for a good double shot these next few days. I am school bus driver may be not work for some days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Springfield did lower amounts to 2-4" in their Winter weather advisory. Hmmm... that surprises me actually. I wonder what they are seeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Hmmm... that surprises me actually. I wonder what they are seeing. that is a bit surprising because I see nothing this morning that would suggest lower totals here unless it's the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 12z GFS Bufkit snow totals. Most areas in the .35-.40 QPF range. JLN - 5.5 MON - 5.0 TUL - 3.8 FAY - 4.2 Similar output as the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 that is a bit surprising because I see nothing this morning that would suggest lower totals here unless it's the NAM. Yea I noticed lowered totals as well. Gfs is really bullish with 7-8" up here. Nam is about 3-4". The last 2 times the nam has nailed the ammounts really well up this way. I guess we will just have to watch this thing and see. The radar is looking nice on intellicast though but there is some dry air to overcome Springfield calling for snow i think it was sunday night and monday as well but not thinking much at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 12z Euro coming in about the same. .35-.38 range on QPF for MO and in the .25 range for TUL-FAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valerie Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 hazardous weather outlook already mentioning sunday/monday storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 NEW TSA snow map. Would be warning criteria Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 National weather service reports hail and snow pellets in joplin? Jomo is it actually doing anything down there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 NEW TSA snow map. Would be warning criteria That's both systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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