Spot Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 NAM does have my interest this evening. To bad its the NAM and its still 24+ hours away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 The RGEM was trying to so something similar to that earlier today as well - heavier precip over N AR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 The RGEM was trying to so something similar to that earlier today as well - heavier precip over N AR. yeah the 00z RGEM has heavier precip over extreme N OK into Arkansas. Looks like a good hit though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Can someone give me their thoughts on the start time of this. Our local news said 3 different start times and the NWS in Tulsa says another. Anyone have an opinion on when things start rolling into NW Ark? My flight out is scheduled for 7:00 AM. I'm wondering if it will be bad at that time. Any insight is appreciated. Best of luck to everyone on this one. Getting excited about the possibility even if I miss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 BUFKIT has updated: http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/index.html 8.6" Fayetteville 6.4" Monett 6.2" Joplin 4.9" Springfield 4.8" Tulsa 1.2" Wichita Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 yeah the 00z RGEM has heavier precip over extreme N OK into Arkansas. Looks like a good hit though. Looks pretty good for most of us. That is some healthy QPF over NC OK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 BUFKIT has updated: http://www.meteor.ia...data/index.html 8.6" Fayetteville 6.4" Monett 6.2" Joplin 4.9" Springfield 4.8" Tulsa 1.2" Wichita Impressive. Seems to be concentrating the heavier amounts right over the 4-states area now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 Can someone give me their thoughts on the start time of this. Our local news said 3 different start times and the NWS in Tulsa says another. Anyone have an opinion on when things start rolling into NW Ark? My flight out is scheduled for 7:00 AM. I'm wondering if it will be bad at that time. Any insight is appreciated. Best of luck to everyone on this one. Getting excited about the possibility even if I miss it. If tonights NAM is correct then it will start before 7 AM Thurs down there. Maybe eh.. 4-5 AM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 Impressive. Seems to be concentrating the heavier amounts right over the 4-states area now. Probably a little overdone as I saw some of the ratios at 22:1 or greater on there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Some healthy ratios showing up on there as well. NAM much colder now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 9.6 showing up at Harrison on Bufkit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 What do the mets say tonight at 10? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 What do the mets say tonight at 10? LOL Well Doug has upped his totals, but his snow map is a mess to read since there are different areas that see different amounts. He has Monett in the 4-7" range now, Joplin in the 3-5" range. 2-4" in SE KS I believe. I didn't notice OK, so I dunno. Areas north of here in the 4-7" range as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 GFS looks like it may be going a bit farther south as well. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Dont see that on his blog. Was that on the newscast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 Dont see that on his blog. Was that on the newscast? yeah. It's an hour long from 9:00-10:00 on Fox 14, he'll be on KOAM at 10 as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 00z GFS had an increase in snow totals: Facebook is chillin in this thread. 00z NAM for comparison: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 yeah. It's an hour long from 9:00-10:00 on Fox 14, he'll be on KOAM at 10 as well. Oh OK. On dish here and dont get the Joplin locals. Stuck with the S'Field channels here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Looking much better for the OK and AR crew on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 yeah the hires models should be interesting The GFS is different than the NAM in where it places the heaviest snow to our north as well. Doug said at the top of the newscast that he's getting in some of the latest data and it looks interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Yeah that was something new on the GFS tonite with the heavier snow to our N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 Storm #2 for next Mondayish isn't being handled well at all right now on the GFS, heh Doug is saying 3-6" from Joplin SE basically. 2-4" in SE KS and NE OK. I'm thinking his Fox 14 graphics and KOAM graphics aren't on the same puter or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Storm #2 for next Mondayish isn't being handled well at all right now on the GFS, heh Doug is saying 3-6" from Joplin SE basically. 2-4" in SE KS and NE OK. I'm thinking his Fox 14 graphics and KOAM graphics aren't on the same puter or something. So what was the new data he mentioned? Maybe these are his updated totals. And yeah the GFS has really done an about face on the Sun/Mon system. Really looks out of whack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 So what was the new data he mentioned? Maybe these are his updated totals. And yeah the GFS has really done an about face on the Sun/Mon system. Really looks out of whack. It was the latest model runs. He says he will update his blog tonight when he gets home. Well his Fox 14 graphics were updated to show 4-7" in a couple areas, and his KOAM graphics were 3-6 max. Also the Fox 14 graphics had a 20% chance of snow on Thurs, and the KOAM ones.. 80% chance. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Summary of the Springfield TV mets at least the ones I saw. Lighty didnt have anything updated at all from the 6PM newscast. Still has 1-2 inch totals over N AR. Keller had a strange model run for his projections. Showed some really heavy snow up KC way and basically 2-3 inches for everybody in the SW MO region. Says the northern branch storm was trying to take over and steal the show for folks up to our north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusfront Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Doug will be updating the month long when he gets home he just said on the 10:00 cast .. so it may be an hour or so then it sounds like . How out of whack are the models on the sun,mon system looking like ice or something ? or just weird qpf totals? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 It was the latest model runs. He says he will update his blog tonight when he gets home. Well his Fox 14 graphics were updated to show 4-7" in a couple areas, and his KOAM graphics were 3-6 max. Also the Fox 14 graphics had a 20% chance of snow on Thurs, and the KOAM ones.. 80% chance. lol Sounds like our local TV mets were having some technical issues tonite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 Doug will be updating the month long when he gets home he just said on the 10:00 cast .. so it may be an hour or so then it sounds like . How out of whack are the models on the sun,mon system looking like ice or something ? or just weird qpf totals? Just weird and not knowing what to do with everything. Speed, timing, everything is different. I don't think it has a good handle on what's going to happen so it will be different from run to run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Long range GFS looking cold and active once again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Not sure what is going to pan out over the next 48 hours or so, but I do know there is some huge bust potential in the forecast. I would especially not want to be forecasting in NW Arkansas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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