LVblizzard Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Clown map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
foggy Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 PNE: http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/cobb_nam/nam_kpne.dat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ababa Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 LGA 23.2 on Bufkit JFK 20.4 TEB 25.3 HPN 25.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northwest NJ Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Check out Upton's QPF total. Note how they are not converted into snow totals. http://www.erh.noaa....totalprecip.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
foggy Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Clown map: That's old Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 That's old No, look at the time stamp. 0z Thursday is 72 hours from 0z Monday, which is when this run initialized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 That's old this one isnt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 For people who want to see QPF zoomed in high quality with counties, NOTE the color scale tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 WV GOM hosing in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 LGA 23.2 on Bufkit JFK 20.4 TEB 25.3 HPN 25.7 Remember, adding hourly totals will not yeild actual storm totals....officially measured between every 6-12 hours....Still would be upwards of 18-20", I'd think... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 For people who want to see QPF zoomed in high quality with counties, NOTE the color scale tho that's 1.5-2.00" for select parts of LI/SENY and CT- SICK! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest stormchaser Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 This one really has some GOM feed going into it... holy crap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Remember, adding hourly totals will not yeild actual storm totals....officially measured between every 6-12 hours....Still would be upwards of 18-20", I'd think... 6. Interesting comment though... so you're saying that BufKIT makes an assumption of measuring hourly with its snow output? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 RGEM is east of the NAM but west of its 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rok Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Why do we continue to post the clown maps, according to them for 12/26 I was supposed to get 6-8" and I received 21"...enough said lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 6. Interesting comment though... so you're saying that BufKIT makes an assumption of measuring hourly with its snow output? The new BUFKIT has an option to add hourly snow totals, which seems the most accurate (versus some often funky algorithms). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 PT was impressed with the OZ NAM check his update: http://wxoutlooks.blogspot.com/ What I did basically was take the seasonal projected snowfall total for Central Park way up based on the fact that even though most of the models show the -NAO block retrograding periodically, but it never really happens. The set up even after this storm passes continues the -NAO east block and is extremely favorable for yet another major storm not too far down the road. Most of the models continue to show the motherload of arctic air nosing se over time. I honestly do not recall a pattern like this holding firm for this long ever in my life and still, I do not see the pattern truly breaking. Amazing! WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 00z NAM Bufkit JFK- 20.4" EWR- 23.9" PHL- 17.5" ABE 13.7" RDG- 8.5" AVP 8.1" HPN 25.7" TTN- 15.9" ACY 3.4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Yes...I saw that on the latest Bufkit update back in November...but it mentioned they were working on an adjustment for normalization to standard 6. Interesting comment though... so you're saying that BufKIT makes an assumption of measuring hourly with its snow output? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 WV GOM hosing in That image got my attention since it is taping that disturbance in the eastern Pacific. In fact I looked at the last available visible images of that disturbance and there looks to be a weak rotary circulation on the western side of the disturbance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 00Z RGEM brings snow to NYC's doorstep by 00Z Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 The water vapor clearly shows the real subtropical jet feeding into this system as there is a tropical disturbance south of Mexico (MJO induced perhaps?) sending moisture up into the storm on top of the wide open gulf of mexico. Also note the convection over the carribean. Very similar thing happened for the boxing day storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Why do we continue to post the clown maps, according to them for 12/26 I was supposed to get 6-8" and I received 21"...enough said lol Its model output like anything else. Some of them showed me getting 15-20 and I barely got 10... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tson96 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 00z NAM Bufkit JFK- 20.4" EWR- 23.9" PHL- 17.5" ABE 13.7" RDG- 8.5" AVP 8.1" HPN 25.7" TTN- 15.9" ACY 3.4" Don't forget POU 31" LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 <br />00z NAM Bufkit<br /><br />JFK- 20.4"<br />EWR- 23.9"<br />PHL- 17.5"<br />ABE 13.7"<br />RDG- 8.5"<br />AVP 8.1"<br />HPN 25.7"<br />TTN- 15.9"<br />ACY 3.4"<br /><br /><br /><br />Funny.. It had that same total for HPN on the last huge hit for the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 What I did basically was take the seasonal projected snowfall total for Central Park way up based on the fact that even though most of the models show the -NAO block retrograding periodically, but it never really happens. The set up even after this storm passes continues the -NAO east block and is extremely favorable for yet another major storm not too far down the road. Most of the models continue to show the motherload of arctic air nosing se over time. I honestly do not recall a pattern like this holding firm for this long ever in my life and still, I do not see the pattern truly breaking. Amazing! WX/PT <cry me a river rant> It figures this happens when I'm way out west... but yes this pattern has been utterly unbelievable. I can't believe we may be looking at the 6th KU in 14 months. Just insane... If I ever get back east the pattern will be atrocious for decades, mark my words... </cry me a river rant> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 too go along with the other posters about where the rgem was Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 RGEM is east of the NAM but west of its 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 A big difference on the 0Z NAM/SREF & now GEM is the primary low hangs on just long enough to tug the secondary close to the coast. On the 12z GFS/ 18z NAM the primary died quickly which allowed the coastal to escape out to sea. Look for the primary strength on the GFS in earlier frames... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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