tombo82685 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 how about for the burbs and leheigh valley ill do a run down in like 5 mins for pa places Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Wow, this run draws a lot of similarities to Feb 1983. Impressive run. let's hope the GFS continues the fun :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 We saw the NAM and GFS show mega QPF dumps like that prior to 12/26. That coastal development just happens so quick, and much more west. Just crazy, and a quick-mover too. Interesting runs later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 This is a Miller B system. The energy transfers and the system goes kaboom. That's the biggest thing to worry about... how quickly can that happen. And also, of course, that this is the NAM beyond 48 hours Why not further south? This run of the NAM is not believable this far out. History usually dictates these coastal lows to blow up near the Delmarva area. What are the odds of this happening in twice in two weeks where the lows bomb out in NJ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 and also, of course, that this is the NAM beyond 48 hours thanks Ray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White_Mtn_Wx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 One to store in your archives.. May the destruction of the White Mountains commence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ray8002 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 NYC looks golden on this run.. Lots of mixing for the jersey shore on this run.. Still looks like a good thump for them too though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Wow, this run draws a lot of similarities to Feb 1983. Impressive run. let's hope the GFS continues the fun :-) I said this same thing couple of days ago in the earlier model runs. Thanks Ralph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Yes, I would like to know as well Thanks It's typically aligned the area of best 850 Hpa frontogenesis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 is it me or this set up and potential evolution reminiscent of Feb 2006? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 looking at soundings for LGA as someone mentioned long island and the city, absolutely 100% all snow. Profile is cold with NNE wind from 700 and below Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 ill do a run down in like 5 mins for pa places I'll save you the time, Tombo: Thru 66: TTN - 1.15 DYL - 1.02 UKT - 0.89 ABE - 0.82 MPO - 0.80 RDG - 0.66 AVP - 0.69 NXX - 1.01 PNE - 1.06 LOM - 0.97 PTW - 0.85 PHL - 0.97 LNS - 0.54 MUI - 0.45 MDT - 0.42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I can only use the high res on the nam up to 60 hrs, so this is the totals to hr 60 phl 1.03 dyl .94 ukt .79 abe .7 mpo .63 lom .97 nxx .98 pne 1.04 ptw .79 rdg .52 lns .5 thv .43 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Wow, this run draws a lot of similarities to Feb 1983. Impressive run. let's hope the GFS continues the fun :-) Not really. 83 was a Miller A - DC got in on the action. DC doesn't get good on this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ridingtime Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 If this actually happens per the NAM, I think this winter will be declared as one of the rarest strong La Nina winters ever. This is not just supposed to happen. Thank you G-d for upper level blocking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Wow. Literally the perfect run for mostly everybody in this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 congrats guys. this is another historic winter for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I'll save you the time, Tombo: Thru 66: TTN - 1.15 DYL - 1.02 UKT - 0.89 ABE - 0.82 MPO - 0.80 RDG - 0.66 AVP - 0.69 NXX - 1.01 PNE - 1.06 LOM - 0.97 PTW - 0.85 PHL - 0.97 LNS - 0.54 MUI - 0.45 MDT - 0.42 Generally a little higher in PA than 12 z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redbanknjandbigbasslakepa Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 ray what is the link for nam soundings? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I'll save you the time, Tombo: Thru 66: TTN - 1.15 DYL - 1.02 UKT - 0.89 ABE - 0.82 MPO - 0.80 RDG - 0.66 AVP - 0.69 NXX - 1.01 PNE - 1.06 LOM - 0.97 PTW - 0.85 PHL - 0.97 LNS - 0.54 MUI - 0.45 MDT - 0.42 is that the high res one? i have the 40 km ones and those numbers are diff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 is it me or this set up and potential evolution reminiscent of Feb 2006? As I said to Wiggum, no. 2006 was also Miller A... DC got in on the fun. They won't do nearly as well further SW with this Miller B. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noreaster07 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Bufkit numbers for NYC area should be hilarious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 is it me or this set up and potential evolution reminiscent of Feb 2006? thats what i was thinking... 11pm about 2", 6am 18" in my yard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Can someone run NYC, lga, JFK, ewr, bdr, ISP and okx for the NYC crew. I would do it but I'm on iPhone right now. Thanks in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 is that the high res one? i have the 40 km ones and those numbers are diff Well, remember I went thru 66.. didn you only go thru 60? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest stormchaser Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Where does everybody get the links to ECMWF with QPF output? Thanks Go Jets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Well, remember I went thru 66.. didn you only go thru 60? the high res that i have only goes to hr 60, heres the one i use http://wxcaster.com/models_text.htm the name at 40 km 3 hr incr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 This reminds me of February 2006 for NYC with regards to the banding potential and the intense dynamics (Not as strong as DEC 26th, though) that are going to be with it; as well as the sfc low track... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Low res (change the ICAO) http://68.226.77.253/text/NAM80km/NAM_KTTN.txt Hi res (only thru 60) http://68.226.77.253/text/NAM212/NAM212_KTTN.txt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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