MJHUB Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 its all fun and games till im shoveling my back yard so my foot tall dog can go to the bathroom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 9:40 PM, HubbDave said: I think I love you It's so dangerous to call those highly specific orgasms that it borders on irresponsibility, but since I'm not a pro, oh well.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 9:33 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Your first brew is on me in BWI next summer. I just wish the cf would make it a but further in than I think it will, but 0 complaints. Sounds good to me! Let's see what verifies for you first I really think you'll be getting absolutely pulverized Wednesday between like 8am and noon, possibly complete with fireworks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 9:44 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: It's so dangerous to call those specific that it borders on irresponsibility, but since I'm not a pro, oh well.... Danger is your middle name! I think further south (Sutton area), but hey, I'll take every inch and make it hurt so good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 9:37 PM, Kbosch said: Warnings up through NYC and LI. It won't be long now. Suspect they're doing a separate warning for CT zones since those aren't up there yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grinch1989 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 9:28 PM, CoastalWx said: This is the newer BOX map. Man, Kev can't catch a break Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 WOW!!! http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/cobb_nam/nam_kbdl.dat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 ALY's just upped the watch coverage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 9:30 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: This is what I was saying, yesterday.....storms like this drip 30" in 12 hrs sometimes.....Earth light got just over 30" in about 12 hrs in that blizzard. NEVER expect that, but it's not impossible and is VERY localized. you might be right but i think i would cap this around 2 feet reason being that was an insane bomb that generated a very very strong QPF max signal over NJ/NYC on both the NAM/GFS (esp with the GFS which was a big flag) at the point of rapid intrensification....and it was a consistent signal for several runs.... hopefully you are right though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 9:38 PM, ORH_wxman said: Lol...you guys are talking 30"? I doubt it...but 20" jackpot isn't out of the question. What is the difference between this and some of the others that dropped that in 12+ hrs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaryS Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 9:05 PM, blizzardgeek said: Brotha got a clown map. Congrats me, Jerry and Ray. North Shore Bullseye!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 18z GFS going to keep us on our toes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 9:48 PM, messenger said: 18z GFS going to keep us on our toes. You think west? Mixing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 9:47 PM, ineedsnow said: WOW!!! http://www.meteor.ia...am/nam_kbdl.dat but you have to factor in their slanted stick ruler....so it is probably a foot or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Gfs is over the bm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 GFS has the same surface low position (roughly) but H5 is a little stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 LOL, you knwo there really is no choice but to take the EC track/ens.... American models..one goes east, one goes west...funny times. gfs is east through the first 30 or so but may be a hooker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 9:38 PM, ursa99 said: Here it is... Saw that at the gym...not a bad forecast at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 9:49 PM, HubbDave said: You think west? Mixing? looks to hold serve, if anything a tad east...the upper levels do resemble the NAM a bit more, especially early on IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 If anyone is thinking we have a good shot at 15"+...then we are setting ourselves up for disappointment IF we get widespread 8-14" amounts. JMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 9:49 PM, HubbDave said: You think west? Mixing? Bad choice of words, edge of seat might have been better. It's just a smidge maybe east of the earlier run but it's inconsequential through 42. In short....the euro/ec continue to be right around one another and that's the way to go NAM be damned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 9:47 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: What is the difference between this and some of the others that dropped that in 12+ hrs? Something ridiculous happened in those that you would never want to predict, especially still 24-36h out....synoptically, its not impossible with this setup, but just highly unlikely. In 2/5/01, you had a band from hell with thunder and lightning that lit up the CT Valley, SW NH, and N ORH county for 10 hours so we saw 20-30" in that band....but there's no guarantee you get that even if it looks great. There will certainly be some awesome banding, but it might not park itself over the same spot for 10 hours in a row...maybe 3 hours in a one spot and in 3 in another, and then 3 in yet another...then it weakens as it tries to pivot back SE....who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 9:49 PM, CoastalWx said: GFS has the same surface low position (roughly) but H5 is a little stronger. You know the NAM was fun when that ends up being a buzz kill! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 NAM and GFS low positions are 100 miles apart (different) at 42 hours...18z GEFS is hopefully reassuring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 JR on Ch 7 calling for thundersnows also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mica Vim Toot Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 6:32 PM, MaineJayhawk said: Wicked tough. It's been terribke since the MLK storm last year. I've had only 23" since then -- nearly a full 365 days! Haven't plowed since last February here. Vim Toot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 9:51 PM, messenger said: Bad choice of words, edge of seat might have been better. It's just a smidge maybe east of the earlier run but it's inconsequential through 42. In short....the euro/ec continue to be right around one another and that's the way to go NAM be damned. You and Phil can exhale now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 9:47 PM, ineedsnow said: WOW!!! http://www.meteor.ia...am/nam_kbdl.dat Nowhere get's 30" from this, unless it's an extremely lucky spot somewhere on the CT/MA/RI border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 9:51 PM, ORH_wxman said: Something ridiculous happened in those that you would never want to predict, especially still 24-36h out....synoptically, its not impossible with this setup, but just highly unlikely. In 2/5/01, you had a band from hell with thunder and lightning that lit up the CT Valley, SW NH, and N ORH county for 10 hours so we saw 20-30" in that band....but there's no guarantee you get that even if it looks great. There will certainly be some awesome banding, but it might not park itself over the same spot for 10 hours in a row...maybe 3 hours in a one spot and in 3 in another, and then 3 in yet another...then it weakens as it tries to pivot back SE....who knows. Well I want to and am, since I have no paying clients. Do I expect that; no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 GFS H5 stronger? That has been a trend each run, yes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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