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Coastal Storm Potential - Jan 11-12 II


Baroclinic Zone

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Well if it tracks se of ACK, it probably won't make it much past the Canal. Even the NAM was virtually all snow for Phil.

Hopefully this is where it tracks. The 26th storm tracked a little too close to the coast for me in Newport. I only had 6-7 inches while the coastal towns just a few miles to my west, north, and even east in Westport and South Dartmouth, MA had 10-11 inches. Newport's on an island and it often feels like a mini-Nantucket.

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Seriously. It's going to snow for about 75-80% of the New England area and people are bitchin'.:axe:

Its those of us in NNE doing all the bitchin', because we've been in that 20-25% for quite some time now... event after freakin' event. Either you win with the orographic events, or it's arctic desert.

I don't think anyone from the north country wants to spoil anyone's fun in SNE, but much of our winter economy DOES require a consistent, reliable snowfall. The two inches on my front lawn are neither reliable nor consistent....

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Its those of us in NNE doing all the bitchin', because we've been in that 20-25% for quite some time now... event after freakin' event. Either you win with the orographic events, or it's arctic desert.

I don't think anyone from the north country wants to spoil anyone's fun in SNE, but much of our winter economy DOES require a consistent, reliable snowfall. The two inches on my front lawn are neither reliable nor consistent....

I noticed this morning many ski areas are only at 50% trail count or less. Not what you like to see heading into mid-January.

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6-12 all of MA/CT/RI...watching the western NW edge of that for any deviation SE but even then 6" would be doable I think. Max band of 8-16 targeted somewhere between Weathefella, Hingham/Middleboro/Bob/WSW to a position S of Kev in terms of max QPF...also extending up to ray/will.

Very similar to the 12z GEFS really. I'm deliberately going lower than the 12z GEFS pending the euor and 18z stuff. Plenty of time to adjust up.

Later call after 18z, still have that phase shift concern until the Euro stays or comes even further west.

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Its those of us in NNE doing all the bitchin', because we've been in that 20-25% for quite some time now... event after freakin' event. Either you win with the orographic events, or it's arctic desert.

I don't think anyone from the north country wants to spoil anyone's fun in SNE, but much of our winter economy DOES require a consistent, reliable snowfall. The two inches on my front lawn are neither reliable nor consistent....

Understandably so. The combination of the -NAO/AO have been detrimental to the northern areas this year. I personally hope that at least something falls up there.

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<br />Its those of us in NNE doing all the bitchin', because we've been in that 20-25% for quite some time now... event after freakin' event.  Either you win with the orographic events, or it's arctic desert.  <br /><br />I don't think anyone from the north country wants to spoil anyone's fun in SNE, but much of our winter economy DOES require a consistent, reliable snowfall.  The two inches on my front lawn are neither reliable nor consistent....<br />
<br /><br /><br />

I wholeheartedly agree. Plus those orographic snows tend to be fluff, fluff, fluff. Not a lot of substance.

That said, I really hope you guys all enjoy the storm!!

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I noticed this morning many ski areas are only at 50% trail count or less. Not what you like to see heading into mid-January.

Can we start a "ski resort" thread? Or should that just be the NNE thread?

As happy as I am with the current forecast, I love skiing and wish you all NNE'rs PLENTY of white gold. Maybe we can get the storm to recurve and loop over NE a few times???

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I noticed this morning many ski areas are only at 50% trail count or less. Not what you like to see heading into mid-January.

It's amazing.... fighting for every damn half inch. What keeps me going in the winter is the ability to get out each day on my XC skis.... and all you need is a lousy three inches. We had that... for about five days before the torch of a couple weeks ago. You should see all the snowmobiles for sale on windswept front lawns...

Growing up in CT, I watched storm after storm track well west/northwest of the BM.... snow to sleet to rain for SNE, and big snows for VT. This hasn't happened in ages- especially since I moved up here. I think it was Valentine's Day of 07 the last time western VT has had a favorable storm track. Ugh...

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