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Coastal Storm Potential - Jan 11-12 II


Baroclinic Zone

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Lundberg chucks from Ct to Maine

The I-95 corridor from northern Delaware right up to southwestern Maine will get blasted by this one, with a general 10 to 20 inches of snow along and east of I-95. There is a danger of it mixing with or changing to sleet and rain over southeastern Massachusetts and extreme southeastern Rhode Island and the east end of Long Island, which would cut down on snow amounts there. However, just inland from there, it may seem much like the days right after Christmas when strong winds whipped the powder into massive drifts. Expect extensive travel delays and closures Tuesday night into Wednesday throughout this corridor.

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Refreshing to finally have a solid / less fragile forecast for a classic SNE snowstorm...

As we await the 12Z Euro:

Anyone mets want to comment on the similarities to the 1995-96 La Nina winter when it seemed we had a Miller A or B just about every weekend... the past 3 weeks have been quite active and wondering if any causative parallels can be identified...?

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So at the risk of sounding like a weenie I ask anyway, any chance this thing comes West or North a little more? Looks like the precip shield pretty well fizzles out in a hurry and while there may be some accumulating snows here in North Central VT it doesn't look like a lot. We have a major snow drought going on up here.

Thanks!! (or flame away, whichever you please).

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How far west and north do you guys think the rain/snow line will make it for extreme SE areas?

I think the NAM is still too far NW and it was almost all snow. There may be some issues way SE, but it's plenty cold as modeled.

The MM5 - and slight hints elsewhere...of maybe a brief punch of a warmer layer. One of those deals where it's snowing to the snow and maybe a few non-flakes to the north for a very short time.

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