Boston-winter08 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Hey guys help me out here. I'm in Brockton. And during the 12/26 storm the 540 line was basically right over my head in the models and I never went to a mix or rain. But in all the models so far with this storm I haven't seen the 540 come anywhere past the canal. So I'm a little confused as to why there is all this talk of a rain/snow line moving so far inland? it's a boundary level issue (surface temp) this time (at least is was on the 18z NAM)...you would be good this run verbatim, but the 540 line is NOT the end-all in terms of the rain/snow line...it is the temp at one level of the atmosphere, but you need the entire column to be cold enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I think we've got ourselves a "congrats, everyone" run. The only folks left out are Rick and Andy. But, hopeufly, they can score someothing too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Hey guys help me out here. I'm in Brockton. And during the 12/26 storm the 540 line was basically right over my head in the models and I never went to a mix or rain. But in all the models so far with this storm I haven't seen the 540 come anywhere past the canal. So I'm a little confused as to why there is all this talk of a rain/snow line moving so far inland? It's not going to. Rapidly deepening low will help keeps winds more ne-n. Unless this lows goes over pym, but that doesn't seem likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Anyone know what the ratios are looking like? I would hope I am in the 15-1+ area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Very similar to yesterday's 12z run I believe. Reintroduces a clear screwzone somewhere in central MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 The low scoots out east a little quicker, but lots of moisture rotates in from the ne. Any p-type issues here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Still a nne component to 850 winds at hr 66. Maybe -sn lingers near the coast for a bit. Winds all around are backing to more nw, however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Any p-type issues here? No, we are good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Very similar to yesterday's 12z run I believe. Reintroduces a clear screwzone somewhere in central MA How so? The 700mb closes off south of CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 No, we are good. Nice, that was the last thing i was reading last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Is that staying snow on LI? Wowzers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Can a brotha get a clown map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I think we've got ourselves a "congrats, everyone" run. The only folks left out are Rick and Andy. But, hopeufly, they can score someothing too. Almost everyone.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Just peeked at FOUS....1.51 BOS....all snow! ALB//624717 -4414 213114 20948889 BTV//736033 -4014 213208 19908889 06000804624 -4213 233116 25959291 06000824729 -1812 233110 23928992 12000853026 -0112 242915 28949393 12000882632 -1613 243409 26919393 18000822240 -1817 263212 29929794 18000892829 -2215 273407 25909293 24000802645 -1216 273408 30909693 24000943138 00116 273505 26909393 30000873353 -1315 250105 30949793 30000933645 -0716 253303 27929392 36000965539 01015 210307 30959693 36000943853 00415 230104 28939393 42000987338 04114 140210 30939592 42000966143 -0514 170106 27939492 48012938849 05214 080115 26949290 48000976654 02215 123407 25929291 54039938737 04615 053515 22959188 54000977752 01516 073414 24939189 60010908142 00916 073317 22959088 60004958443 -3715 083418 22949189 BOS//604615 -2313 152916 20949189 LGA//593522 04419 223017 24969492 06000735124 -4914 182918 25979691 06000723230 -2618 223113 29989692 12000813122 00011 203015 29969994 12000833038 -2816 243114 31979894 18000812125 -2212 223213 31949895 18000812348 -0417 253311 34959995 24000781742 00917 233311 32929796 24000782551 00016 253612 34939894 30000772156 00016 233203 32979795 30000816042 -0216 233503 33979995 36000774746 00416 211802 32989795 36000825643 -0216 200708 34999996 42000825744 07316 140714 33999695 42016989524 10411 110514 35999696 48037999752 19915 030527 33009495 48080969119 06810 033516 26989492 54087959221 04012 923530 29989591 54019928522 -0313 033116 22989488 60030928631 01013 973226 26989390 60002828330 -0716 063017 22999388 PHL//611641 -3022 263113 28949592 IPT//692234 02919 283214 24939390 06000642053 -2221 242812 32999793 06000712844 -0918 263311 29979590 12000752453 -0618 253211 33999793 12000872745 -1716 273511 31959692 18000892945 -1617 263408 35959995 18000983050 -0115 273610 32929793 24000865451 00617 250109 34949995 24000985154 01315 270307 31929792 30000756032 -0717 230702 34989996 30000886931 01114 231103 31969792 36000907343 03311 180910 36999897 36000838231 01610 181211 31979693 42036979313 14509 100113 33989794 42020959127 03211 111207 25969290 48027966710 -0412 063012 22989489 48012948415 -0110 073503 20969187 54001856512 02312 062815 20999388 54002878328 -0213 073314 21979186 60000838325 -1014 103120 21999287 60002788439 01514 123220 21958987 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I think we've got ourselves a "congrats, everyone" run. Not until I see an image like this on 395, running through Killingly, CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 It's not going to. Rapidly deepening low will help keeps winds more ne-n. Unless this lows goes over pym, but that doesn't seem likely. Thank you sir. All this talk of the r/s line had me worried. But now that the nam appears to have done away with it for now. and all the other models are way south east......I'm gunna get buried as it stands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 This run pivots a nice deformation band near GC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 10, 2011 Author Share Posted January 10, 2011 It's on like Donkey Kong! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 My new favorite graphic. SREFs can't get much better for a big snow event IMBY: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Yuck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Raleigh's website shows the central pressure falling 13mb in 6 hours...should induce a nice isollabaric component to the wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Wow the latest SREFs even improve our percentages on Cape Cod, MA for more than 4" of snow, even the 8"+ probs get better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Yuck wtf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 wtf? Yeah, what gives? More like, yum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Almost everyone.... NAM puts me on the 0.75 line, but I doubt that happens... it's been getting less with each run. Thinking I get in the 4-6 range. I guess there's always hope for a surprise, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 wtf? However will I get to school that day (loving it) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 70% chance of 8+ on the SREF for ORH, 30% chance of 12+. Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Yeah, what gives? More like, yum. reverse sykologee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 However will I get to school that day (loving it) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 The 12Z NAM is actually quite a bit less for NNE this run. So it may be falling for in line with the other models, but I would be more than happy with this as an outcome. Let's just hope this will be a trend for the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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