moneypitmike Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Wow! The NAM absolutely rips SN+ for CT from about 6z-12z Wednesday morning! It dumps out 0.6+" of QPF between 9z and 12z for much of the state! Question is...can it score a coup here? Congrats, GON!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 looks like the surface low goes right over ACK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Wow! The NAM absolutely rips SN+ for CT from about 6z-12z Wednesday morning! It dumps out 0.6+" of QPF between 9z and 12z for much of the state! Question is...can it score a coup here? Let's hope it's that...wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I can only hope that the Nam is on to something here........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Wow! The NAM absolutely rips SN+ for CT from about 6z-12z Wednesday morning! It dumps out 0.6+" of QPF between 9z and 12z for much of the state! Question is...can it score a coup here? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Wow! The NAM absolutely rips SN+ for CT from about 6z-12z Wednesday morning! It dumps out 0.6+" of QPF between 9z and 12z for much of the state! Question is...can it score a coup here? Isn't this the general theme of all the other models? I don't think there's much question that ECT/Will/Bob/Weathfella/Ray are going to get rocked. It's the fringers east and west that have some issues. I think this just reinforces the Euro is probably right on this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Looks like another great snowstorm. Especially for the interior locations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 This is the run wet dreams are made of Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Congrats, GON!!!! Well gotta look at thermal profiles at the coast...ratios may suffer a bit more down there and they likely wouldn't do any better than inland areas even with an extra 0.25" of QPF. But NAM nails pretty much all of CT, except for the extreme NW hills, with 1.25"+. I don't know...it may still be too amped up...but here's to hoping things verify somewhere between that and the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I can only hope that the Nam is on to something here........ Right, but WHERE will the Norlun set up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Nice backside band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gibbsfreeenergy Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 This is the run wet dreams are made of I am driving to wallingford wed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Holy hell! This is 2-3 per inch snowfall rates! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Isn't this the general theme of all the other models? I don't think there's much question that ECT/Will/Bob/Weathfella/Ray are going to get rocked. It's the fringers east and west that have some issues. I think this just reinforces the Euro is probably right on this time. Kev/Ginx/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I can only hope that the Nam is on to something here........ Affirmative! And if it does, I'll be the first to yippee ki yay! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I am driving to wallingford wed LOL..better come Tuesday nite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Thermal profiles are cold, even for the Cape. Phil wold be mostly snow I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 sorry to imby it...but i like this nam run a bit more than 06z (which i liked more than 00z ) as it takes the 925 low more over chh/ack than mvy/pvc...makes a world of difference in the thermal profiles as it really shrinks the warm layer..especially considering how rapidly the system deepens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Hey guys help me out here. I'm in Brockton. And during the 12/26 storm the 540 line was basically right over my head in the models and I never went to a mix or rain. But in all the models so far with this storm I haven't seen the 540 come anywhere past the canal. So I'm a little confused as to why there is all this talk of a rain/snow line moving so far inland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 This is the run wet dreams are made of Maybe you shoudl lock in your 6-12+, Kevin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Isn't this the general theme of all the other models? I don't think there's much question that ECT/Will/Bob/Weathfella/Ray are going to get rocked. It's the fringers east and west that have some issues. I think this just reinforces the Euro is probably right on this time. ??? yes the theme is somebody rips hard for 6-9 hours...there's no question about that. the question is whether the NAM is on to something by targeting most of CT...or will it set up more in SE CT up through BOS...which seems to be more in line with the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 How much of "coop" is that NAM really scoring? It's moved progressively southeast toward the globals since 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Thermal profiles are cold, even for the Cape. Phil wold be mostly snow I think. ha ha...yeah my thoughts as well. this run kind of goes with what we were saying earlier...that we could probably merge those nam/gfs runs a bit but lean more nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeVries Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I'd like to see the clown map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 The low scoots out east a little quicker, but lots of moisture rotates in from the ne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 ??? yes the theme is somebody rips hard for 6-9 hours...there's no question about that. the question is whether the NAM is on to something by targeting most of CT...or will it set up more in SE CT up through BOS...which seems to be more in line with the Euro. It is a huge difference for someone like me. I want the NAM nearly inappropriately, obviously. Instead of my 6-10 I'll get 15-18. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Kev/Ginx/ You're ECT , Ryan's good too all of ct. I mean it's fine this is the NAM's version of the correct solution which will be similar to the euro. It's colder, it's trending a little east each run but not much, just enough to get towards the consensus. I think we see it continue to make similar bumps SE in time right until it falls into consensus. My only slight concern would be to see the rest of the 12z suite because just an observation but it's still shuffling the s/w energy east a bit and it's always the last to the party with that stuff. It's still well west of even the 6z GFS depiction and IMO that's a red flag until we see the other guidance at 500mb come in closer to it. EDIT so people dont get uptight...I think the NAM is probably too far NW still by a decent margin but in the grand scheme it doesn't matter for most of the readership here. It will probably effect ENY and parts of VT if it continues to shift...but the widespread 6-12 seems like a lock with refinements later for 8-16 (based on the NAM and pending the others not saying the NAM is out to lunch...that difference at 500 at 48 bugs me until I see the others have stopped shifting east) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 How much of "coop" is that NAM really scoring? It's moved progressively southeast toward the globals since 00z. well in CT...we're talking a difference of 1.25" QPF on the NAM versus 0.75" on the globals. Big difference in QPF. Of course it is the NAM...even if there's no more shift in the track, it'll probably start cutting QPF by 0z run tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rivers Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Bring it on!! hold that pattern I want to get burried ..some are talking blizzard for the boston area . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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