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Coastal Storm Potential - Jan 11-12 II


Baroclinic Zone

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00z ec really pounds se areas

Euro would make a lot of people happy....it brings 1" qpf all the way basically from Essex county-ORH-HFD line and southeast with a nice max near your area. But even NW of the 1" qpf, its still pretty generous with the 0.75" type stuff.

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Euro would make a lot of people happy....it brings 1" qpf all the way basically from Essex county-ORH-HFD line and southeast with a nice max near your area. But even NW of the 1" qpf, its still pretty generous with the 0.75" type stuff.

EC was over or near the BM right?

God, 15 more minutes till the 12z suite starts rolling out. The anticipation is killing me. Personally, I'd like to see the NAM come in a hair (10-15m) S & E of it's 06z position. :weenie: solution for my backyard.

Other than that, I don't expect too much in way of differences in the models.

I have to retract what I said a minute ago re NAM v GFS. If we were doing a verification the 6z GFS probably would have won particularly with the strength of the old m/l. Also probably a little better with the system coming out of the SE which plays with heights early on. Not a bad thing but I'll be surprised if we don't see a good move by the NAM to the SE. Will hot dog it if I'm wrong.

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Phil, would you be my weather spy for me, of course after I get passed phone silence through basic training, after graduation I will text you and let you know thanks.

you'll have to tell me about boot camp...I keep thinking about doing the USAF cause i can't seem to find a job...although, i've already done the USMC, so i've heard if i want to join any branch of the service, i wouldn't have to go through boot camp again...best of luck to you, and thanks for your committment! hope you aren't leaving so soon you miss this storm!

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Low is a little stronger, and SREFs try to hang back a little moisture over central and eastern areas.

What we've seen a slight trend in since last night is the models trying to give the low a little hook to the left as 5h re-closes off further east and captures it....it also helps prolong the event for eastern NE. We'll have to see just how storng that capture, hook, and mini-stall is because that could end up being like a steroid injection for snow totals if it happens.

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Phil, would you be my weather spy for me, of course after I get passed phone silence through basic training, after graduation I will text you and let you know thanks.

I wish you luck. Hope you held out for job of choice, Meteorology right? I was there 35 years ago the biggest mistake was settling for a Metalurgist job instead of the prior. 12 weeks will fly by, GL. Don't forget to check out the munching at night at the base of the dorms. Biggest cocaroaches I've ever seen! LOL.

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