MaineJayhawk Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 EDIT: Just saw they pulled the trigger on the watch. I didn't expect that until the afternoon package. Very nice. Maybe GYX's southern coastal sections can warrant a watch. I am expecting WWAs with the PM edition unless a dramatic and favorable shift in guidance occurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 The Rev is going to have a good time with that accum map in 20 minutes. Looks like he's in line for 14". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 The scope of this storm is quite impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Nice spread on that BOX map, everyone gets something decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 6z GFS QPF ... Well that 6z run gave you a few inches. I'm locking in 4" here but 8" for ASH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 The Rev is going to have a good time with that accum map in 20 minutes. Looks like he's in line for 14". Of course.. And 14 it is.. somewhere between 13.6 and 14.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 12-18 with lolli's to 20 seems to be the way to go right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 3z SREFs are still pretty juicy. Mean SLP is a tick SE from 21z. My favorite graphic this morning..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 For archive purposes...since we're unlikely to see a solution this good again. Just a thing of beauty..HECS FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Hopefully ratios are good. maybe 12:1, up to 15:1 this time around? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I do like the fact the SREFs have been steadfast. I went 6"-12" tonight statewide (CT). I will be honest I had 6"-12"+ but took out the "+" after seeing the GFS LOL ..just ridiculous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 No joke: I dreamt that I woke up Wed AM and every station in SNE was reporting S+. I came downstairs to a WSW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 LOL Will said he was going to bed at 3:30 and he's still awake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 No joke: I dreamt that I woke up Wed AM and every station in SNE was reporting S+. I came downstairs to a WSW. Were the sheets wet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Well I slept about 90 minutes. Glad to see the 06z GFS ensembles juiced up the qpf again after looking slightly skimpier at 00z. BOX amounts are pretty bullish. So they are definitely on board for a pretty major storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 LOL Will said he was going to bed at 3:30 and he's still awake Probably did what I do sometimes.....kept the window open so he could pick up from where he left when he awakens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Well I slept about 90 minutes. Glad to see the 06z GFS ensembles juiced up the qpf again after looking slightly skimpier at 00z. BOX amounts are pretty bullish. So they are definitely on board for a pretty major storm. You are insane dude. LOL.. I don't know how you do it. 12-18 should be locked by all mets today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Well I slept about 90 minutes. Glad to see the 06z GFS ensembles juiced up the qpf again after looking slightly skimpier at 00z. BOX amounts are pretty bullish. So they are definitely on board for a pretty major storm. Wow you're truly crazier than I am. Actually the only difference is you're younger....lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 You are insane dude. LOL.. I don't know how you do it. 12-18 should be locked by all mets today I'm not comfortable going 12" as a min yet. Its trying to trend that way, but we aren't less than 24h out yet...we still have 36-48 hours to go. I would certainly keep more generic warning totals on the table right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I'm not comfortable going 12" as a min yet. Its trying to trend that way, but we aren't less than 24h out yet...we still have 36-48 hours to go. I would certainly keep more generic warning totals on the table right now. If 00z runs tonight still look the same..will you go 12+ for all? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I think Ray's 8-14 is a good call at this point. SREFs have been signalling a big snowstorm for 2 days now but as Will said, it's tough calling for 12+ 48 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Disappointing that ALY hasn't updated it's long term AFD. That said, I don't see any reason why this stystem should make anything more than minor adjustments trackwise. Seems kind of straight forward. I think this is one of those few situations where everyone gets a moderate-to- high end warning event. P-type doesn't seem to be an issue, just a matter of qpf and dynamics to determine jackpot areas. When was the last time we had something straight forward like this? (Now watch the 12z runs throw wrenches in the works, lol). EDIT: Good news, the plow just came by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Damn no sleep i was watching alaskan state troopers and admiring their snowover in churchill it must last 6 months minium.Upton finally posted warnings 6-12 here we go again. I hope the plows are out this time it really sucks when their not . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 NECN has 12+ from 495 west thru ORH most of CT and down to just NE of NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 I think Ray's 8-14 is a good call at this point. SREFs have been signalling a big snowstorm for 2 days now but as Will said, it's tough calling for 12+ 48 hours out. I don't have any trouble calling for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 You are insane dude. LOL.. I don't know how you do it. 12-18 should be locked by all mets today mets in many of the SNE markets today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 If 00z runs tonight still look the same..will you go 12+ for all? Well something close to that anyway if all guidance is gung ho at 00z. We're basically just over 24h out by that point. This is an extremely dynamic looking system so if there's no reason to think it won't track somewhere between the benchmark and CC, then I'd definitely go balls to wall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 10, 2011 Author Share Posted January 10, 2011 Well I'm feeling pretty good about where I am right now. The 06z NAM was porn. The 06z GFS was pretty nice too. Euro holds serve for me. This looks like it may be my biggest storm of the year and possibly since Jan 2005. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 You are insane dude. LOL.. I don't know how you do it. 12-18 should be locked by all mets today No kids FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 10, 2011 Author Share Posted January 10, 2011 03z SREF mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.