Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 WTF, RGEM/GGEM are pretty similar...same thing I was looking at another run I think last nights GGEM actually. Right around the BM within a mb of one another Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 4:01 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah models still can move around, hopefully those that were all upset feel a little better. I just can't understand how anyone..anyone can be complaining like schoolgirls? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 10, 2011 Author Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 4:43 PM, CT Blizz said: I just can't understand how anyone..anyone can be complaining like schoolgirls? It's those damn northerners. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 4:29 PM, weathafella said: It didn't change. I'm not sure. It's a statistical product, so maybe it doesn't like something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 4:44 PM, ETauntonMA said: It's those damn northerners. I saved some of these quotes for another time.... The GFS ensembles by the way are very close to the op Gfs run at 12z.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 4:40 PM, messenger said: WTF, RGEM/GGEM are pretty similar...same thing I was looking at another run I think last nights GGEM actually. Right around the BM within a mb of one another We'd have killed for a system even the low end models are depicting in the late 90s. Remember? This one looks to be a nice snow dump if not a blockbuster which is not off the table by any means. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 GFS ensembles are right over the BM, but a nice football shape to the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 4:36 PM, weathafella said: Gigantic warmup on the beyond d10 GFS. There's a good Jan thaw signal for the last week of the month. Full meltdown and do it again in February. Winter rocking along for NE. Euro ens cancelled any long range warmup..We're locked in thru month end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 10, 2011 Author Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 4:45 PM, Dryslot said: I saved some of these quotes for another time.... The GFS ensembles by the way are very close to the op Gfs run at 12z.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 4:45 PM, weathafella said: We'd have killed for a system even the low end models are depicting in the late 90s. Remember? This one looks to be a nice snow dump if not a blockbuster which is not off the table by any means. Agreed...In my head I've locked 8-14". Perhaps someone will get lucky and get a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Ensembles are more robust vs op on qpf which must reflect some very strong solutions among the members. 1.25+ up to the Pike in eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Scooter..any ideas on winds with this for the coast and for back here well inland? I'm just trying to limit the blowing disaster from the blizz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Might as well drive my car into a tree if this doesnt trend NW. Im driving back to ME at 3 WTfFFFF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 4:46 PM, CT Blizz said: Euro ens cancelled any long range warmup..We're locked in thru month end Doubtul. Rubber band breaks for a week or 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 4:45 PM, weathafella said: We'd have killed for a system even the low end models are depicting in the late 90s. Remember? This one looks to be a nice snow dump if not a blockbuster which is not off the table by any means. I agree. I'm just like you though you have that little concern with the MOS, I have the little concern of past trends rearing again...but we're starting so much further NW this time it's not going to matter much for US. On 1/10/2011 at 4:46 PM, CoastalWx said: GFS ensembles are right over the BM, but a nice football shape to the low. Thanks. I cannot read this stupid thing...how much snow is the GGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 4:37 PM, Happy Valley said: Not sure it was posted here yet but NWS Albany finally has WSW posted for the Berks and E. NY just S. of the CD. Brief new discussion posted also. Great. Now if they would hoist one for the adjoing zone to my north, I'll be surrounded. I hate being a cusp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 4:47 PM, weathafella said: Ensembles are more robust vs op on qpf which must reflect some very strong solutions among the members. 1.25+ up to the Pike in eastern areas. I noted the football shape for two things. There might be a few members west, and also that shape will allow for good Atlantic inflow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 4:48 PM, weathafella said: Doubtul. Rubber band breaks for a week or 2. How much you wanna put on it? Beers for the GTG on the 29th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 10, 2011 Author Share Posted January 10, 2011 Holy crap to the 12z Ensm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 4:48 PM, sbos_wx said: Might as well drive my car into a tree if this doesnt trend NW. Im driving back to ME at 3 WTfFFFF aim for a moose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 4:37 PM, messenger said: When you talk about weirdness...when is the RGEM ever 9 mb weaker than the GGEM at 48 hours? Throwing it out again because whenever I'm about to get buried by the GGEM inside of 48 someone will say "the cmc doesnt even use the GGEM inside of 48 hours" resolution sucks to make forecasts inside 48 hrs env canada would get blasted if they couldnt at least give a 2 day lead time, that why they ignore the GGEM. they should extend the RGEM to 72 hrs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 4:50 PM, messenger said: I agree. I'm just like you though you have that little concern with the MOS, I have the little concern of past trends rearing again...but we're starting so much further NW this time it's not going to matter much for US. Thanks. I cannot read this stupid thing...how much snow is the GGEM? Looks like 33 mm QPF?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toller65 Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Margusity's snowfall map posted this morning: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 4:48 PM, CT Blizz said: Scooter..any ideas on winds with this for the coast and for back here well inland? I'm just trying to limit the blowing disaster from the blizz I don't think winds will be nearly as strong as the last one. There probably will be some winds inland..maybe 20-30mph? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 10, 2011 Author Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 4:50 PM, ETauntonMA said: Holy crap to the 12z Ensm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 4:50 PM, CoastalWx said: I noted the football shape for two things. There might be a few members west, and also that shape will allow for good Atlantic inflow. Yeah, going to be some screaming jackpots with OES enhancement too. Verbatim if the ensembles verified it's 10-20 over a lot of the eastern 1/2 of MA (incldues will), eastern CT and Ri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 4:51 PM, toller65 said: Margusity's snowfall map posted this morning: He's missing a color on his 'key'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 4:52 PM, CoastalWx said: I don't think winds will be nearly as strong as the last one. There probably will be some winds inland..maybe 20-30mph? Good..that won't do too much damage then. 100% coverage now even with the wind yesterday..let's drop 14 more on top Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 On 1/10/2011 at 4:51 PM, CoastalWx said: Looks like 33 mm QPF?? Is there another gradient in there or do we have to wait for the color? I can't see how far back the 10mm extends? Just trying to see if the GGEM/RGEM are more like the UK or more like the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Man after last winter this past 2-3 week period has been awesome snow wise. I feel like it's 2001 or 2005 again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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